Belgian Pro League Knockout phase Sat, Aug 9 · 15:00 Jan Breydelstadion, Brugge
Club Brugge KV 6th · 3 pts · 2 played
2–0Full time
Cercle Brugge 14th · 1 pts · 2 played
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

Club Brugge KV were clear favourites.

Club Brugge KV were the stronger side on L90 Strength (62 vs 26). Club Brugge KV had 7.8 days of rest, Cercle Brugge 6 and had to travel 0 km.

Away travel0 kmRest days7.8 · 6Matches / 14d2 · 2
Club Brugge KV67%
Draw20%
Cercle Brugge13%
Expected goals 2.16 – 0.85
Club Brugge KV67%
Draw20%
Cercle Brugge13%
Expected goals 2.13 – 0.84
Club Brugge KV67%
Draw20%
Cercle Brugge13%
Expected goals 2.16 – 0.84
Club Brugge KV59%
Draw23%
Cercle Brugge18%
Expected goals 1.93 – 0.96
Club Brugge KV66%
Draw20%
Cercle Brugge13%
Expected goals 2.14 – 0.85
Over 2.5 58% Both score 51% Likeliest score 2–0
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (Brugge)

No weather data yet

RefereeLothar D'hondt
  • Cards per match 3.8
  • Penalties per match 0.30
  • Matches 23

Team strength

Club Brugge KVCercle Brugge
62 L90 StrengthIn forecast 26
75 Current StrengthIn forecast 21
86 AttackIn forecast 24
58 DefenceIn forecast 28
— Form indexContext —
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Club Brugge KV

Attack—
Defense risk—

Cercle Brugge

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Club Brugge KVCercle Brugge
1.50 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.00
1.50 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.00
1.81 xGVia Att/Def 0.95
1.45 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.39
-0.31 Goals minus xGContext -0.95
100% Scored inContext 0%
0% Clean sheetsContext 50%
19.00 ShotsContext 11.00
5.00 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 2.00
26% On target shareContext 18%
13.50 Shots in the boxContext 7.50
71% Box shareContext 69%
8% ConversionContext 0%
1.50 OffsidesContext 3.00
13.00 Shots allowedContext 10.00
7.50 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.00
1.50 BlocksContext 1.50
5.50 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.50
73% Save rateContext 63%
61% PossessionIn forecast 50%
574 PassesContext 383
506 Accurate passesContext 290
88% Pass accuracyContext 76%
7.04 Team ratingContext 6.94
8.50 FoulsContext 10.00
9.00 Fouls sufferedContext 17.00
0.50 Yellow cardsContext 2.00
0.50 Red cardsContext 0.00
This league season, per match · 2 and 2 games
1.30 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.60
1.50 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.20
1.12 xGVia Att/Def 1.39
1.60 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.47
+0.18 Goals minus xGContext +0.21
80% Scored inContext 60%
20% Clean sheetsContext 40%
11.10 ShotsContext 13.50
4.00 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 5.50
32% On target shareContext 41%
7.20 Shots in the boxContext 9.90
62% Box shareContext 73%
12% ConversionContext 12%
1.17 OffsidesContext 2.57
13.90 Shots allowedContext 12.00
5.90 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.30
4.14 BlocksContext 3.22
4.30 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.60
73% Save rateContext 61%
48% PossessionIn forecast 46%
484 PassesContext 325
420 Accurate passesContext 222
87% Pass accuracyContext 68%
6.97 Team ratingContext 7.06
7.10 FoulsContext 12.20
8.60 Fouls sufferedContext 13.50
1.10 Yellow cardsContext 1.60
0.20 Red cardsContext 0.00
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Club Brugge KV
Rest7.8 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel0 km180 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
No finished matches with a forecast yet.
Cercle Brugge
Rest6 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel0 km139 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Club Brugge KV Cercle Brugge
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match7.8Belgian Pro League 2025-2026, 1 Aug6Belgian Pro League 2025-2026, 3 Aug
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km0 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways180 km139 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days0 / 2 / 21 / 2 / 2
Next matchdays after this one78.1

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Club Brugge KV Confirmed XI
4-3-3
29N. Jackers(G)
14B. Meijer 44B. Mechele 58J. Spileers 41H. Siquet
10H. Vetlesen 20H. Vanaken 25A. Stanković
8C. Tzolis 17R. Vermant 11C. Sandra
+3 more reported missing outside this XI
Cercle Brugge Confirmed XI
4-4-2
21M. Delanghe(G)
20Flávio Nazinho 66C. Ravych 5Emmanuel Kakou 2I. Diakité
37E. Diop 18P. Gerkens 28H. Van der Bruggen 6L. Agyekum
11A. Minda 9S. Ngoura
+2 more reported missing outside this XI

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Club Brugge KV Scores 0.00 · concedes +0.02 goals Absences are shown before kick-off
Cercle Brugge Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
  • Club Brugge KV-0.3 pp
  • Draw+0.1 pp
  • Cercle Brugge+0.3 pp

Home / Away this season

Club Brugge KV · Home 3.00points per game · 1 home games
W-D-L
1-0-0
Scored
2.00
Conceded
1.00
Cercle Brugge · Away 1.00points per game · 1 away games
W-D-L
0-1-0
Scored
0.00
Conceded
0.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head last 2 of 2 meetings

0 Club Brugge KV wins2 draws0 Cercle Brugge wins
Goals per game0.50 – 0.50 Over 2.50% Both scored50% Clean sheets50% · 50%
  • 18 Feb 2024Cercle Brugge1–1Club Brugge KV
  • 12 Nov 2023Club Brugge KV0–0Cercle Brugge

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

Club Brugge KVCercle BruggeForecast
Scored per game 1.500.00
Conceded per game 1.501.00
Match goals 3.001.00 3.01
Over 1.5 100%50%
Over 2.5 100%0% 58%
Over 3.5 0%0%
Both teams scored 100%0% 51%
Clean sheets 0%50%
Failed to score 0%100%
Games22
Club Brugge KVCercle BruggeForecast
Scored per game 1.500.00
Conceded per game 1.501.00
Match goals 3.001.00 3.01
Over 1.5 100%50%
Over 2.5 100%0% 58%
Over 3.5 0%0%
Both teams scored 100%0% 51%
Clean sheets 0%50%
Failed to score 0%100%
Games22

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

Club Brugge KVCercle BruggeLeague
Corners
Corners won5.504.00
Corners conceded4.003.00
Match total9.507.008.65
Over 8.550% 1/20% 0/2
Over 9.550% 1/20% 0/2
Over 10.550% 1/20% 0/2
Cards
Cards1.002.00
Opponent cards3.001.00
Match total4.003.003.76
Over 3.5100% 2/250% 1/2
Over 4.50% 0/20% 0/2
Club Brugge KVCercle BruggeLeague
Corners
Corners won3.635.90
Corners conceded3.633.60
Match total7.269.508.65
Over 8.525% 2/830% 3/10
Over 9.525% 2/830% 3/10
Over 10.525% 2/830% 3/10
Cards
Cards1.301.80
Opponent cards2.002.00
Match total3.303.803.76
Over 3.540% 4/1060% 6/10
Over 4.520% 2/1020% 2/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Lothar D'hondt 23 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards3.48league 3.59
Red cards0.30league 0.18
Cards 5+30%league 29%
Fouls24.1league 23.9
Penalties0.30league 0.47
Home wins39%league 47%
Club Brugge KV1 with this referee
Record1-0-0 Cards · opp.2.0 · 0.0 Pens for · against1 · 0
  • W13 Aug 23A · AS Eupen5–02
Cercle Brugge4 with this referee
Record2-1-1 Cards · opp.1.5 · 1.5 Pens for · against1 · 0 Reds2
  • D9 Mar 24A · Charleroi0–02
  • W11 Feb 24A · Gent2–13
  • L27 Dec 23A · Anderlecht0–21
  • W5 Aug 23H · Charleroi2–00

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.

Goal timing

Club Brugge KV2 games · scored 3 · conceded 3
2 0-15
16-30
31-45
1 46-60
2 61-75
1 76-90
Cercle Brugge2 games · scored 0 · conceded 2
1 0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
1 76-90
Club Brugge KV10 games · scored 13 · conceded 15
3 4 0-15
2 16-30
2 1 31-45
5 46-60
3 2 61-75
3 3 76-90
Cercle Brugge10 games · scored 16 · conceded 12
3 2 0-15
3 1 16-30
2 31-45
2 1 46-60
3 3 61-75
3 5 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Beta

Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.

Next fixtures Belgian Pro League

View all fixtures →
St. Truiden Dender 20 Club Brugge KV Cercle Brugge 20 KVC Westerlo KV Mechelen 01 Gent Union St. Gilloise 23 RAAL La Louvière Charleroi 10 Anderlecht Zulte Waregem 23 Standard Liege Genk 21 Antwerp OH Leuven 31