Club Brugge KV
Attack—
Defense risk—
Club Brugge KV
2nd · 41 pts · 20 played
LLWWW
First leg0–1
2–3Full time
RAAL La Louvière
13th · 20 pts · 20 played
DLDLD
Our take
Club Brugge KV were clear favourites.
Club Brugge KV were the stronger side on L90 Strength (65 vs 24). Club Brugge KV usually keep the ball (57% on average), which points to more chances at both ends. Club Brugge KV had 21.3 days of rest, RAAL La Louvière 20.2 and had to travel 105 km.
Away travel105 kmRest days21.3 · 20.2Matches / 14d0 · 0
Club Brugge KV71%
Draw19%
RAAL La Louvière11%
Club Brugge KV70%
Draw19%
RAAL La Louvière11%
Club Brugge KV71%
Draw19%
RAAL La Louvière11%
Club Brugge KV64%
Draw22%
RAAL La Louvière15%
Club Brugge KV70%
Draw19%
RAAL La Louvière11%
Over 2.5 58%
Both score 48%
Likeliest score 2–0
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (Brugge)
No weather data yet
RefereeSimon Bourdeaud'hui
- Cards per match 3.5
- Penalties per match 0.14
- Matches 21
Team strength
Club Brugge KVRAAL La Louvière
65
L90 StrengthIn forecast
24
75
Current StrengthIn forecast
17
86
AttackIn forecast
15
58
DefenceIn forecast
15
—
Form indexContext
—
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisRAAL La Louvière
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
Club Brugge KVRAAL La Louvière
1.80
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
0.75
1.10
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.05
1.53
xGVia Att/Def
0.84
1.07
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.21
+0.27
Goals minus xGContext
-0.09
85%
Scored inContext
55%
35%
Clean sheetsContext
40%
16.15
ShotsContext
9.40
5.15
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
2.89
32%
On target shareContext
29%
11.20
Shots in the boxContext
6.68
68%
Box shareContext
69%
11%
ConversionContext
8%
1.93
OffsidesContext
2.25
11.75
Shots allowedContext
11.85
3.85
On target allowedVia Att/Def
4.58
2.75
BlocksContext
3.17
3.22
Goalkeeper savesContext
3.58
77%
Save rateContext
78%
62%
PossessionIn forecast
35%
553
PassesContext
262
482
Accurate passesContext
185
87%
Pass accuracyContext
71%
7.04
Team ratingContext
6.78
9.20
FoulsContext
11.25
11.60
Fouls sufferedContext
11.45
1.30
Yellow cardsContext
1.70
0.05
Red cardsContext
0.05
1.80
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
0.80
1.90
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.20
1.63
xGVia Att/Def
0.91
1.69
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.28
+0.17
Goals minus xGContext
-0.11
60%
Scored inContext
60%
10%
Clean sheetsContext
30%
15.40
ShotsContext
9.70
5.30
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
3.22
34%
On target shareContext
30%
11.67
Shots in the boxContext
7.56
74%
Box shareContext
75%
12%
ConversionContext
8%
1.20
OffsidesContext
2.25
14.00
Shots allowedContext
12.50
4.80
On target allowedVia Att/Def
4.44
2.80
BlocksContext
3.38
3.63
Goalkeeper savesContext
3.11
63%
Save rateContext
70%
56%
PossessionIn forecast
36%
503
PassesContext
271
433
Accurate passesContext
194
86%
Pass accuracyContext
72%
6.90
Team ratingContext
6.78
9.50
FoulsContext
10.90
9.70
Fouls sufferedContext
10.80
1.50
Yellow cardsContext
1.60
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.10
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Club Brugge KV
Rest21.3 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
RAAL La Louvière
Rest20.2 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel105 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Club Brugge KV |
RAAL La Louvière |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 0 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 21.3Belgian Pro League 2025-2026, 26 Dec | 20.2Belgian Pro League 2025-2026, 27 Dec |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 105 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 0 km | 0 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 0 / 0 / 2 | 0 / 0 / 2 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 7.9 | 7.8 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Club Brugge KV
Confirmed XI
16T. van den Heuvel(G)
65J. Seys
44B. Mechele
4J. Ordoñez
64K. Sabbe
8C. Tzolis
25A. Stanković
20H. Vanaken
67M. Diakhon
17R. Vermant
10H. Vetlesen
RAAL La Louvière
Confirmed XI
21M. Peano(G)
25D. Lamego
99Y. Okou
13M. Maisonneuve
11J. Liongola
5T. Lutonda
8S. Gueulette
19Darío Benavides
23J. Ito
9M. Guindo
22J. Afriyie
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Club Brugge KV
Absences are shown before kick-off
RAAL La Louvière
Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
- Club Brugge KV+0.0 pp
- Draw+0.0 pp
- RAAL La Louvière+0.0 pp
Home / Away this season
Club Brugge KV · Home
2.44points per game · 9 home games
- W-D-L
- 7-1-1
- Scored
- 1.89
- Conceded
- 1.00
RAAL La Louvière · Away
0.70points per game · 10 away games
- W-D-L
- 1-4-5
- Scored
- 1.00
- Conceded
- 1.50
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Common opponents 14 this season
| Opponent | Club Brugge KV | RAAL La Louvière |
|---|---|---|
| Genk | W 5–3 AW 2–1 H | D 1–1 A |
| Gent | W 2–1 HD 1–1 A | L 0–1 A |
| Dender | W 5–1 AW 2–1 H | L 1–2 HD 0–0 A |
| St. Truiden | L 2–3 AW 2–0 H | L 1–2 A |
| Antwerp | L 0–1 HW 1–0 A | L 1–3 A |
| Charleroi | W 1–0 H | D 0–0 AW 1–0 H |
| Anderlecht | L 0–1 A | L 0–1 H |
| OH Leuven | W 1–0 A | D 0–0 HW 2–1 A |
| Union St. Gilloise | W 1–0 H | D 0–0 H |
| Standard Liege | W 2–1 A | L 0–2 H |
| KVC Westerlo | D 5–5 H | L 1–2 AD 0–0 H |
| Zulte Waregem | W 1–0 A | D 2–2 AD 0–0 H |
| Cercle Brugge | W 2–0 H | W 2–1 H |
| KV Mechelen | L 1–2 A | L 2–3 A |
| Points | 41 of 57 · 2.16 per game | 17 of 57 · 0.89 per game |
League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.
Head to head last 1 of 1 meetings
0 Club Brugge KV wins0 draws1 RAAL La Louvière wins
Goals per game0.00 – 1.00
Over 2.50%
Both scored0%
Clean sheets0% · 100%
- 13 Sep 2025RAAL La Louvière1–0Club Brugge KV
All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.
Goals & match trends
| Club Brugge KV | RAAL La Louvière | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.80 | 0.75 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.10 | 1.05 | |
| Match goals | 2.90 | 1.80 | 3.01 |
| Over 1.5 | 60% | 50% | |
| Over 2.5 | 45% | 40% | 58% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 15% | |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 45% | 48% |
| Clean sheets | 35% | 40% | |
| Failed to score | 15% | 45% | |
| Games | 20 | 20 |
| Club Brugge KV | RAAL La Louvière | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.90 | 0.80 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.10 | 1.20 | |
| Match goals | 3.00 | 2.00 | 3.01 |
| Over 1.5 | 50% | 60% | |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 50% | 58% |
| Over 3.5 | 30% | 20% | |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 60% | 48% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 30% | |
| Failed to score | 20% | 40% | |
| Games | 10 | 10 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Club Brugge KV | RAAL La Louvière | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 6.50 | 4.20 | |
| Corners conceded | 4.83 | 3.85 | |
| Match total | 11.33 | 8.05 | 9.63 |
| Over 8.5 | 83% 15/18 | 40% 8/20 | |
| Over 9.5 | 83% 15/18 | 30% 6/20 | |
| Over 10.5 | 72% 13/18 | 25% 5/20 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 1.35 | 1.75 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.35 | 1.55 | |
| Match total | 3.70 | 3.30 | 4.04 |
| Over 3.5 | 45% 9/20 | 45% 9/20 | |
| Over 4.5 | 30% 6/20 | 25% 5/20 | |
| Club Brugge KV | RAAL La Louvière | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 5.38 | 4.00 | |
| Corners conceded | 5.63 | 4.50 | |
| Match total | 11.01 | 8.50 | 9.63 |
| Over 8.5 | 75% 6/8 | 50% 5/10 | |
| Over 9.5 | 75% 6/8 | 30% 3/10 | |
| Over 10.5 | 75% 6/8 | 30% 3/10 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 1.50 | 1.70 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.10 | 1.60 | |
| Match total | 3.60 | 3.30 | 4.04 |
| Over 3.5 | 40% 4/10 | 50% 5/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 30% 3/10 | 20% 2/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · Simon Bourdeaud'hui 21 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards3.43league 3.80
Red cards0.05league 0.19
Cards 5+29%league 41%
Fouls23.7league 22.9
Penalties0.14league 0.29
Home wins38%league 41%
Club Brugge KV1 with this referee
Record1-0-0
Cards · opp.2.0 · 0.0
Pens for · against0 · 0
- W22 Nov 25H · Charleroi1–02
RAAL La LouvièreNo previous matches with this referee.
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
Club Brugge KV20 games · scored 36 · conceded 22
3
5
0-15
5
4
16-30
4
2
31-45
6
3
46-60
7
2
61-75
11
6
76-90
RAAL La Louvière20 games · scored 15 · conceded 21
1
4
0-15
5
2
16-30
2
3
31-45
2
46-60
2
2
61-75
5
8
76-90
Club Brugge KV10 games · scored 18 · conceded 19
2
2
0-15
4
5
16-30
2
2
31-45
2
4
46-60
4
2
61-75
4
4
76-90
RAAL La Louvière10 games · scored 8 · conceded 12
1
2
0-15
1
16-30
2
2
31-45
2
46-60
2
61-75
4
4
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Beta
Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.
