Süper Lig Gameweek 31 Sun, May 2 · 13:00 Çorum Şehir Stadyumu, Çorum
Çorum FK 6th · 13 pts · 8 played
VS— Compare
Trabzonspor 4th · 16 pts · 8 played
Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel405 kmRest days7 · 7Matches / 14d2 · 2
Real contextStrength only
Çorum FK—%
Draw—%
Trabzonspor—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (Çorum)

Forecast from 17 Apr

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Çorum FK and Trabzonspor. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Streaks insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Team strength

Çorum FKTrabzonspor
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
32 Current StrengthIn forecast 46
31 AttackIn forecast 54
36 DefenceIn forecast 48
70 Form indexContext 78
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Çorum FK

Attack—
Defense risk—

Trabzonspor

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Çorum FKTrabzonspor
2.25 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.25
1.63 Goals concededVia Att/Def 0.63
1.12 xGVia Att/Def 1.58
1.42 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.46
+1.13 Goals minus xGContext +0.67
88% Scored inContext 88%
25% Clean sheetsContext 50%
12.25 ShotsContext 13.25
4.88 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 6.63
40% On target shareContext 50%
7.00 Shots in the boxContext 10.00
55% Box shareContext 70%
18% ConversionContext 17%
1.86 OffsidesContext 2.57
14.75 Shots allowedContext 13.50
4.75 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.00
4.50 BlocksContext 2.86
3.57 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.38
68% Save rateContext 88%
53% PossessionIn forecast 53%
466 PassesContext 430
403 Accurate passesContext 365
87% Pass accuracyContext 85%
6.92 Team ratingContext 7.12
12.88 FoulsContext 10.38
9.38 Fouls sufferedContext 16.13
2.13 Yellow cardsContext 2.00
0.13 Red cardsContext 0.13
This league season, per match · 8 and 8 games
2.25 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.80
1.63 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.00
1.12 xGVia Att/Def 1.58
1.42 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.46
+1.13 Goals minus xGContext +0.22
88% Scored inContext 70%
25% Clean sheetsContext 40%
12.25 ShotsContext 13.25
4.88 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 6.63
40% On target shareContext 50%
7.00 Shots in the boxContext 10.00
55% Box shareContext 70%
18% ConversionContext 17%
1.86 OffsidesContext 2.57
14.75 Shots allowedContext 13.50
4.75 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.00
4.50 BlocksContext 3.22
3.57 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.38
68% Save rateContext 88%
53% PossessionIn forecast 52%
466 PassesContext 430
403 Accurate passesContext 365
87% Pass accuracyContext 85%
6.92 Team ratingContext 7.12
12.88 FoulsContext 10.00
9.38 Fouls sufferedContext 16.30
2.13 Yellow cardsContext 1.90
0.13 Red cardsContext 0.30
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 8 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Çorum FK
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel0 km1,282 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 70 · 12 pts vs 9.6 for an average club · +4.4 vs expected
  • W16 OctH · Rizespor2–11.7 xPts
  • W11 OctA · Gazişehir Gaziantep3–01.3 xPts
  • L19 SepH · Alanyaspor1–21.8 xPts
  • W12 SepA · Samsunspor5–11.1 xPts
  • W6 SepH · Eyüpspor3–01.7 xPts
Trabzonspor
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel405 km1,807 km in 14d
Schedule load11%Low
Form 78 · 12 pts vs 8.4 for an average club · +4.9 vs expected
  • W19 OctH · Besiktas2–01.3 xPts
  • W10 OctA · Samsunspor3–01.6 xPts
  • W19 SepH · Galatasaray4–00.9 xPts
  • L12 SepA · Konyaspor0–11.5 xPts
  • W6 SepH · Genclerbirligi5–01.9 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Çorum FK Trabzonspor
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Low · 11
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match7Süper Lig 2026-2027, 25 Apr7Süper Lig 2026-2027, 25 Apr
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km405 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways1,282 km1,807 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days1 / 2 / 41 / 2 / 4
Next matchdays after this one77

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Çorum FK Last XI · not confirmed
3-4-3 · vs Rizespor (H) 2–1, 16 Oct
1Marcos Felipe(G)
6H. Smolčić 2Ç. Söyüncü 5Alexandre Penetra
24A. Borza 10M. Diomande 3B. Özdemir 11G. Sazdağı
89A. Kyziridis 19J. Ramírez 7C. Ünder
Trabzonspor Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs Besiktas (H) 2–0, 19 Oct
24A. Onana(G)
55Sidny Lopes Cabral 15S. Savić 27Chibuike Nwaiwu 20Wagner Pina
6Fabinho 11O. Tufan
58D. Şimşir 7E. Muçi 10Mohamed Salah
9F. Gluda Djú

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Çorum FK Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Trabzonspor Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Çorum FK · Home 1.50points per game · 4 home games
W-D-L
2-0-2
Scored
1.50
Conceded
1.00
Trabzonspor · Away 1.00points per game · 4 away games
W-D-L
1-1-2
Scored
1.25
Conceded
1.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 4 this season

OpponentÇorum FKTrabzonspor
Samsunspor W 5–1 A W 3–0 A
Besiktas L 2–6 A W 2–0 H
Kasimpasa L 0–1 H D 1–1 A
Galatasaray D 2–2 A W 4–0 H
Points4 of 12 · 1.00 per game10 of 12 · 2.50 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

Çorum FKTrabzonsporForecast
Scored per game 2.252.25
Conceded per game 1.630.63
Match goals 3.882.88
Over 1.5 88%88%
Over 2.5 88%63%
Over 3.5 38%25%
Both teams scored 63%38%
Clean sheets 25%50%
Failed to score 13%13%
Games88
Çorum FKTrabzonsporForecast
Scored per game 2.251.80
Conceded per game 1.631.00
Match goals 3.882.80
Over 1.5 88%80%
Over 2.5 88%60%
Over 3.5 38%30%
Both teams scored 63%30%
Clean sheets 25%40%
Failed to score 13%30%
Games810

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

Çorum FKTrabzonsporLeague
Corners
Corners won3.865.13
Corners conceded6.003.25
Match total9.868.389.12
Over 8.571% 5/750% 4/8
Over 9.557% 4/713% 1/8
Over 10.543% 3/713% 1/8
Cards
Cards2.252.13
Opponent cards1.382.88
Match total3.635.014.04
Over 3.550% 4/875% 6/8
Over 4.513% 1/863% 5/8
Çorum FKTrabzonsporLeague
Corners
Corners won3.865.20
Corners conceded6.004.00
Match total9.869.209.12
Over 8.571% 5/760% 6/10
Over 9.557% 4/730% 3/10
Over 10.543% 3/730% 3/10
Cards
Cards2.252.30
Opponent cards1.382.90
Match total3.635.204.04
Over 3.550% 4/880% 8/10
Over 4.513% 1/870% 7/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Goal timing

Çorum FK8 games · scored 18 · conceded 13
4 3 0-15
1 16-30
2 2 31-45
3 2 46-60
3 3 61-75
5 3 76-90
Trabzonspor8 games · scored 18 · conceded 5
5 1 0-15
3 1 16-30
5 1 31-45
2 1 46-60
1 61-75
2 1 76-90
Çorum FK8 games · scored 18 · conceded 13
4 3 0-15
1 16-30
2 2 31-45
3 2 46-60
3 3 61-75
5 3 76-90
Trabzonspor10 games · scored 18 · conceded 10
5 1 0-15
3 3 16-30
5 1 31-45
2 3 46-60
1 61-75
2 2 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.

Next fixtures Süper Lig

View all fixtures →
Fenerbahce Istanbul Basaksehir May 213:00 Goztepe Kasimpasa May 213:00 Alanyaspor Amed May 213:00 Rizespor Galatasaray May 213:00 Gazişehir Gaziantep Konyaspor May 213:00 Eyüpspor Genclerbirligi May 213:00 Samsunspor Besiktas May 213:00 Çorum FK Trabzonspor May 213:00 Kocaelispor Erzurumspor FK May 213:00