Süper Lig Gameweek 31 Sun, May 2 · 13:00 GAIN Park Stadium, Alanya
Alanyaspor 9th · 12 pts · 8 played
VS— Compare
Amed 2nd · 17 pts · 8 played
Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel743 kmRest days7 · 7Matches / 14d2 · 2
Real contextStrength only
Alanyaspor—%
Draw—%
Amed—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (Alanya)

Forecast from 17 Apr

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Alanyaspor and Amed. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Streaks insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Team strength

AlanyasporAmed
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
24 Current StrengthIn forecast 34
18 AttackIn forecast 38
24 DefenceIn forecast 46
49 Form indexContext 66
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Alanyaspor

Attack—
Defense risk—

Amed

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

AlanyasporAmed
1.00 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.25
1.13 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.13
0.96 xGVia Att/Def 1.84
1.60 xG allowedVia Att/Def 0.75
+0.04 Goals minus xGContext +0.41
75% Scored inContext 88%
38% Clean sheetsContext 38%
10.88 ShotsContext 14.25
3.25 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.75
30% On target shareContext 33%
6.75 Shots in the boxContext 7.63
61% Box shareContext 53%
9% ConversionContext 16%
2.14 OffsidesContext 2.83
15.00 Shots allowedContext 9.25
4.88 On target allowedVia Att/Def 3.50
4.38 BlocksContext 3.00
3.88 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.38
80% Save rateContext 68%
42% PossessionIn forecast 47%
334 PassesContext 386
270 Accurate passesContext 317
81% Pass accuracyContext 82%
6.93 Team ratingContext 6.93
12.13 FoulsContext 14.00
13.38 Fouls sufferedContext 10.25
1.38 Yellow cardsContext 3.00
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00
This league season, per match · 8 and 8 games
1.20 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.25
1.20 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.13
1.04 xGVia Att/Def 1.84
1.60 xG allowedVia Att/Def 0.75
+0.16 Goals minus xGContext +0.41
80% Scored inContext 88%
30% Clean sheetsContext 38%
11.00 ShotsContext 14.25
3.80 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.75
35% On target shareContext 33%
6.50 Shots in the boxContext 7.63
58% Box shareContext 53%
11% ConversionContext 16%
2.13 OffsidesContext 2.83
14.20 Shots allowedContext 9.25
5.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def 3.50
4.10 BlocksContext 3.00
3.90 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.38
78% Save rateContext 68%
44% PossessionIn forecast 47%
354 PassesContext 386
291 Accurate passesContext 317
82% Pass accuracyContext 82%
6.92 Team ratingContext 6.93
12.30 FoulsContext 14.00
13.30 Fouls sufferedContext 10.25
1.30 Yellow cardsContext 3.00
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 8 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Alanyaspor
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel0 km307 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 49 · 8 pts vs 8.2 for an average club · +2.4 vs expected
  • L17 OctA · Fenerbahce0–30.5 xPts
  • D10 OctH · Erzurumspor FK0–01.6 xPts
  • W19 SepA · Çorum FK2–11.0 xPts
  • D12 SepH · Goztepe2–21.6 xPts
  • W7 SepA · Rizespor1–01.0 xPts
Amed
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel743 km693 km in 14d
Schedule load6%Low
Form 66 · 11 pts vs 9.1 for an average club · +3.0 vs expected
  • W17 OctH · Konyaspor1–02.0 xPts
  • D10 OctA · Genclerbirligi2–21.8 xPts
  • W20 SepH · Besiktas3–21.4 xPts
  • W13 SepH · Istanbul Basaksehir5–01.5 xPts
  • D6 SepA · Kasimpasa2–21.3 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Alanyaspor Amed
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Low · 6
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match7Süper Lig 2026-2027, 25 Apr7Süper Lig 2026-2027, 25 Apr
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km743 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways307 km693 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days1 / 2 / 41 / 2 / 4
Next matchdays after this one77

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Alanyaspor Last XI · not confirmed
3-4-3 · vs Fenerbahce (A) 0–3, 17 Oct
48Paulo Victor(G)
20F. Aksoy 5F. Aliti 3Nuno Lima
11Ruan 55B. Gezek 42G. Makouta 94F. Hadërgjonaj
7Ibrahim Kaya 17A. Usluoğlu 16U. Hwang
Amed Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs Konyaspor (H) 1–0, 17 Oct
40A. Lafont(G)
17C. Meraş 4D. Bates 21Mehmet Yeşil 7E. Krasniqi
8F. Soyalp 22R. Raveloson
10S. Ballet 91D. Sabi'a 93R. Lutin
99G. Orban

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Alanyaspor Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Amed Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Alanyaspor · Home 1.67points per game · 3 home games
W-D-L
1-2-0
Scored
1.00
Conceded
0.67
Amed · Away 0.67points per game · 3 away games
W-D-L
0-2-1
Scored
1.33
Conceded
2.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 2 this season

OpponentAlanyasporAmed
Erzurumspor FK D 0–0 H W 3–0 H
Besiktas W 1–0 H W 3–2 H
Points4 of 6 · 2.00 per game6 of 6 · 3.00 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

AlanyasporAmedForecast
Scored per game 1.002.25
Conceded per game 1.131.13
Match goals 2.133.38
Over 1.5 63%88%
Over 2.5 50%75%
Over 3.5 13%50%
Both teams scored 50%50%
Clean sheets 38%38%
Failed to score 25%13%
Games88
AlanyasporAmedForecast
Scored per game 1.202.25
Conceded per game 1.201.13
Match goals 2.403.38
Over 1.5 70%88%
Over 2.5 60%75%
Over 3.5 20%50%
Both teams scored 60%50%
Clean sheets 30%38%
Failed to score 20%13%
Games108

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

AlanyasporAmedLeague
Corners
Corners won4.714.25
Corners conceded4.143.75
Match total8.858.009.12
Over 8.543% 3/738% 3/8
Over 9.543% 3/738% 3/8
Over 10.543% 3/713% 1/8
Cards
Cards1.383.13
Opponent cards2.132.63
Match total3.515.764.04
Over 3.563% 5/863% 5/8
Over 4.538% 3/850% 4/8
AlanyasporAmedLeague
Corners
Corners won4.714.25
Corners conceded4.143.75
Match total8.858.009.12
Over 8.543% 3/738% 3/8
Over 9.543% 3/738% 3/8
Over 10.543% 3/713% 1/8
Cards
Cards1.303.13
Opponent cards2.002.63
Match total3.305.764.04
Over 3.560% 6/1063% 5/8
Over 4.530% 3/1050% 4/8

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Goal timing

Alanyaspor8 games · scored 8 · conceded 9
1 0-15
1 1 16-30
2 31-45
46-60
5 3 61-75
1 3 76-90
Amed8 games · scored 18 · conceded 9
1 1 0-15
2 2 16-30
2 31-45
5 3 46-60
4 61-75
4 3 76-90
Alanyaspor10 games · scored 12 · conceded 12
2 1 0-15
1 1 16-30
2 2 31-45
1 46-60
6 4 61-75
1 3 76-90
Amed8 games · scored 18 · conceded 9
1 1 0-15
2 2 16-30
2 31-45
5 3 46-60
4 61-75
4 3 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.

Next fixtures Süper Lig

View all fixtures →
Fenerbahce Istanbul Basaksehir May 213:00 Goztepe Kasimpasa May 213:00 Alanyaspor Amed May 213:00 Rizespor Galatasaray May 213:00 Gazişehir Gaziantep Konyaspor May 213:00 Eyüpspor Genclerbirligi May 213:00 Samsunspor Besiktas May 213:00 Çorum FK Trabzonspor May 213:00 Kocaelispor Erzurumspor FK May 213:00