Crystal Palace vs Fulham – 1 Jan 2026

Premier League Gameweek 19 Thu, Jan 1 · 17:30 Selhurst Park, London

Crystal Palace 11th · 26 pts · 18 played WWLLL

1–1Full time

Fulham 12th · 26 pts · 18 played LLWWW

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

Crystal Palace were slight favourites.

The two sides are close in strength. Crystal Palace had 4 days of rest, Fulham 5.1 and had to travel 0 km.

Away travel0 kmRest days4 · 5.1Matches / 14d2 · 2

Crystal Palace46%

Draw26%

Fulham29%

Expected goals 1.63 – 1.25

Crystal Palace46%

Draw26%

Fulham28%

Expected goals 1.55 – 1.15

Crystal Palace46%

Draw26%

Fulham28%

Expected goals 1.63 – 1.23

Crystal Palace38%

Draw26%

Fulham36%

Expected goals 1.46 – 1.40

Crystal Palace45%

Draw26%

Fulham28%

Expected goals 1.55 – 1.18

Over 2.5 55% Both score 58% Likeliest score 1–1

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (London)

No weather data yet

RefereeTony Harrington

Cards per match 3.7
Penalties per match 0.24
Matches 79

Team strength

Crystal Palace

Fulham

71 L90 StrengthIn forecast 68

62 Current StrengthIn forecast 65

64 AttackIn forecast 66

54 DefenceIn forecast 68

— Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Crystal Palace

Attack—

Defense risk—

Fulham

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Crystal Palace

Fulham

1.17 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.39

1.11 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.44

1.64 xGVia Att/Def 1.14

1.23 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.31

-0.47 Goals minus xGContext +0.25

67% Scored inContext 83%

39% Clean sheetsContext 28%

11.83 ShotsContext 11.67

4.06 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.94

34% On target shareContext 32%

8.65 Shots in the boxContext 8.00

70% Box shareContext 66%

10% ConversionContext 12%

2.13 OffsidesContext 2.19

11.11 Shots allowedContext 11.28

4.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.06

3.07 BlocksContext 3.50

2.75 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.00

66% Save rateContext 72%

43% PossessionIn forecast 51%

376 PassesContext 462

291 Accurate passesContext 385

77% Pass accuracyContext 83%

6.95 Team ratingContext 6.84

9.94 FoulsContext 11.17

9.67 Fouls sufferedContext 10.39

1.83 Yellow cardsContext 2.00

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

This league season, per match · 18 and 18 games

1.30 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.70

1.50 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.40

1.73 xGVia Att/Def 1.30

1.22 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.27

-0.43 Goals minus xGContext +0.40

80% Scored inContext 90%

30% Clean sheetsContext 40%

13.20 ShotsContext 12.80

4.20 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.40

32% On target shareContext 34%

10.56 Shots in the boxContext 9.11

71% Box shareContext 66%

10% ConversionContext 13%

2.60 OffsidesContext 2.33

10.00 Shots allowedContext 11.60

4.56 On target allowedVia Att/Def 3.90

2.71 BlocksContext 3.90

2.88 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.13

59% Save rateContext 76%

48% PossessionIn forecast 53%

414 PassesContext 494

330 Accurate passesContext 414

80% Pass accuracyContext 84%

6.83 Team ratingContext 6.92

10.00 FoulsContext 9.20

8.20 Fouls sufferedContext 10.00

1.90 Yellow cardsContext 2.00

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Crystal Palace

Rest4 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel0 km544 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Fulham

Rest5.1 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel0 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Crystal Palace	Fulham
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	4Premier League 2025-2026, 28 Dec	5.1Premier League 2025-2026, 27 Dec
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	0 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	544 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 2 / 4	1 / 2 / 4
Next matchdays after this one	2.9	2.9

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Crystal Palace Confirmed XI

3-4-2-1

1D. Henderson(G)

6A. Guéhi 5M. Lacroix 8J. Lerma

3T. Mitchell 19W. Hughes 20A. Wharton 17N. Clyne

10Yeremy Pino 55J. Devenny

14J. Mateta

+9 more reported missing outside this XI

Fulham Confirmed XI

4-2-3-1

1B. Leno(G)

33A. Robinson 15Jorge Cuenca 5J. Andersen 2K. Tete

16S. Berge 20S. Lukić

22Kevin 32E. Smith Rowe 8H. Wilson

7R. Jiménez

+5 more reported missing outside this XI

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Crystal Palace Scores -0.04 · concedes +0.06 goals Absences are shown before kick-off

Fulham Scores -0.04 · concedes +0.04 goals Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

Crystal Palace-0.5 pp
Draw-0.1 pp
Fulham+0.6 pp

Home / Away this season

Crystal Palace · Home 1.11points per game · 9 home games

W-D-L: 2-4-3
Scored: 1.00
Conceded: 1.22

Fulham · Away 1.11points per game · 9 away games

W-D-L: 3-1-5
Scored: 1.11
Conceded: 1.78

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 16 this season

Opponent	Crystal Palace	Fulham
Tottenham	L 0–1 H	W 2–1 A
Leeds	L 1–4 A	W 1–0 H
Manchester City	L 0–3 H	L 4–5 H
Burnley	W 1–0 A	W 3–2 A
Manchester United	L 1–2 H	D 1–1 H
Wolves	W 2–0 A	W 3–0 H
Brighton	D 0–0 H	D 1–1 A
Brentford	W 2–0 H	W 3–1 H
Arsenal	L 0–1 A	L 0–1 H
Bournemouth	D 3–3 H	L 1–3 A
Everton	L 1–2 A	L 0–2 A
West Ham	W 2–1 A	W 1–0 A
Sunderland	D 0–0 H	W 1–0 H
Aston Villa	W 3–0 A	L 1–3 A
Nottingham Forest	D 1–1 H	W 1–0 H
Chelsea	D 0–0 A	L 0–2 A
Points	20 of 48 · 1.25 per game	26 of 48 · 1.63 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 9 of 9 meetings

3 Crystal Palace wins4 draws2 Fulham wins

Goals per game1.00 – 1.11 Over 2.544% Both scored44% Clean sheets33% · 44%

7 Dec 2025Fulham1–2Crystal Palace
22 Feb 2025Fulham0–2Crystal Palace
9 Nov 2024Crystal Palace0–2Fulham
27 Apr 2024Fulham1–1Crystal Palace
23 Sep 2023Crystal Palace0–0Fulham
20 May 2023Fulham2–2Crystal Palace

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Crystal Palace	Fulham	Forecast
Scored per game	1.17	1.39
Conceded per game	1.11	1.44
Match goals	2.28	2.83	2.88
Over 1.5	67%	72%
Over 2.5	50%	50%	55%
Over 3.5	11%	28%
Both teams scored	44%	56%	58%
Clean sheets	39%	28%
Failed to score	33%	17%
Games	18	18

	Crystal Palace	Fulham	Forecast
Scored per game	0.90	1.70
Conceded per game	1.20	1.40
Match goals	2.10	3.10	2.88
Over 1.5	60%	70%
Over 2.5	40%	60%	55%
Over 3.5	10%	20%
Both teams scored	30%	50%	58%
Clean sheets	40%	40%
Failed to score	40%	10%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Crystal Palace	Fulham	League
Corners
Corners won	3.72	4.83
Corners conceded	5.11	5.28
Match total	8.83	10.11	9.90
Over 8.5	44% 8/18	72% 13/18
Over 9.5	44% 8/18	61% 11/18
Over 10.5	39% 7/18	39% 7/18
Cards
Cards	1.83	2.00
Opponent cards	1.89	1.61
Match total	3.72	3.61	3.86
Over 3.5	67% 12/18	56% 10/18
Over 4.5	56% 10/18	39% 7/18

	Crystal Palace	Fulham	League
Corners
Corners won	4.60	4.90
Corners conceded	3.30	5.00
Match total	7.90	9.90	9.90
Over 8.5	40% 4/10	80% 8/10
Over 9.5	30% 3/10	60% 6/10
Over 10.5	10% 1/10	40% 4/10
Cards
Cards	1.90	2.00
Opponent cards	1.10	1.90
Match total	3.00	3.90	3.86
Over 3.5	50% 5/10	60% 6/10
Over 4.5	30% 3/10	40% 4/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Tony Harrington 79 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards3.59league 3.71

Red cards0.13league 0.11

Cards 5+28%league 38%

Fouls21.1league 21.5

Penalties0.24league 0.20

Home wins44%league 47%

Crystal Palace5 with this referee

Record2-1-2 Cards · opp.1.4 · 2.6 Pens for · against1 · 1

W20 Sep 25A · West Ham2–13
L26 Jan 25H · Brentford1–22
D14 Sep 24H · Leicester2–20
W30 Jan 24H · Sheffield Utd3–21
L20 Apr 22A · Newcastle0–11

Fulham5 with this referee

Record2-1-2 Cards · opp.1.8 · 1.8 Pens for · against1 · 1

W26 Apr 25A · Southampton2–11
D14 Dec 24A · Liverpool2–24
L9 Mar 24A · Wolves1–22
L19 Feb 22H · Huddersfield1–22
W11 Jan 22A · Reading7–00

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.