Premier League Gameweek 27 Sun, Feb 22 2026 · 14:00 Selhurst Park, London
1–0 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 2.00 – 1.63
  • E. Guessand 90’
  • 61’ L. Krejčí
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Guessand’s late goal settles it for Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace entered as favourites and won 1–0 through a Guessand goal. Wolves played with ten men from the 61st minute after Krejčí was sent off. Crystal Palace finished with the higher xG (2.00 vs 1.63). On the chances created, Wolves deserved more: 1.2 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Crystal Palace ✓57%
Draw24%
Wolves19%

Model vs reality

Crystal Palace goals
1
Model 1.86 · xG 2.00
Wolves goals
0
Model 0.99 · xG 1.63
Total goals
1
Model 2.85 · xG 3.63
Score 1–0
10%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 54%
Both scored
No
Model 54%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchD. HendersonCrystal Palace
9.2
  • RefereeThomas Kirk
  • VenueSelhurst Park
  • Table before kick-offCrystal Palace 14th · Wolves 20th

Timeline

  1. W. HughesYellow card · Foul
    15’
  2. J. CanvotYellow card · Foul
    31’
  3. A. WhartonYellow card · Foul
    41’
  4. Half time · 0–0
  5. ⇄ Daichi KamadaFor W. Hughes
    46’
  6. L. KrejčíYellow card · Foul
    58’
  7. L. KrejčíSecond yellow · Argument
    61’
  8. ⇄ D. Møller WolfeFor A. Armstrong
    63’
  9. C. RiadYellow card · Foul
    67’
  10. ⇄ E. GuessandFor C. Riad
    72’
  11. ⇄ B. JohnsonFor Yeremy Pino
    77’
  12. ⇄ João GomesFor J. Bellegarde
    87’
  13. E. Guessand 1–0Assist T. Mitchell
    90’
  14. ⇄ A. GomesFor Y. Mosquera
    90+2’
  15. AndréYellow card · Foul
    90+3’
  16. I. SarrYellow card · Time wasting
    90+6’
  17. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Crystal Palace14 shots · 9 in box, 5 outside
Wolves12 shots · 7 in box, 5 outside
Crystal PalaceWolves
61% Possession 39%
2.00 Expected goals (xG) 1.63
1.62 Expected points (xPts) 1.17
14 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 7
7 Shots off target 2
4 Blocked shots 3
9 Shots inside the box 7
5 Shots outside the box 5
425 Passes 277
80% Pass accuracy 76%
7 Corners 3
7 Goalkeeper saves 2
19 Fouls 13
0 Offsides 1
5 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
6.99 Team rating 6.82

Line-ups

Crystal Palace 3-4-2-1

19.2★ D. Henderson(G)
346.3 C. Riad ↓72’ 267.0 Chris Richards 236.9 J. Canvot
37.2 T. Mitchell A 196.6 W. Hughes ↓46’ 206.3 A. Wharton 27.3 D. Muñoz
106.2 Yeremy Pino ↓77’ 77.3 I. Sarr
226.0 J. Strand Larsen
  • 1D. Henderson (G) ★9.2
  • 34C. Riad↓72’6.3
  • 26Chris Richards7.0
  • 23J. Canvot6.9
  • 3T. MitchellA7.2
  • 19W. Hughes↓46’6.6
  • 20A. Wharton6.3
  • 2D. Muñoz7.3
  • 10Yeremy Pino↓77’6.2
  • 7I. Sarr7.3
  • 22J. Strand Larsen6.0

Substitutes used

  • 18Daichi Kamada↑46’6.9
  • 11B. Johnson↑77’6.9
  • 29E. Guessand↑72’7.9

Unused: W. Benítez, N. Clyne, B. Sosa, C. Uche, J. Devenny, Rio Cardines

Wolves 3-4-2-1

16.9 José Sá(G)
375.9 L. Krejčí 46.3 S. Bueno 156.7 Y. Mosquera ↓90’
37.9 Hugo Bueno 76.9 André 277.2 J. Bellegarde ↓87’ 387.2 J. Tchatchoua
367.7 Mateus Mané 96.6 A. Armstrong ↓63’
145.5 T. Arokodare
  • 1José Sá (G)6.9
  • 37L. Krejčí5.9
  • 4S. Bueno6.3
  • 15Y. Mosquera↓90’6.7
  • 3Hugo Bueno7.9
  • 7André6.9
  • 27J. Bellegarde↓87’7.2
  • 38J. Tchatchoua7.2
  • 36Mateus Mané7.7
  • 9A. Armstrong↓63’6.6
  • 14T. Arokodare5.5

Substitutes used

  • 6D. Møller Wolfe↑63’6.3
  • 8João Gomes↑87’6.3
  • 47A. Gomes↑90’6.9

Unused: S. Johnstone, M. Doherty, R. Gomes, Toti Gomes, T. Edozie, Pedro Lima

Player stats

Top rated
D. HendersonCrystal Palace9.2
2nd
Hugo BuenoWolves7.9
3rd
Mateus ManéWolves7.7

Crystal Palace

Wolves

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.