Belgian Pro League Knockout phase Sat, Oct 25 2025 · 15:00 Het Kuipje, Westerlo
1–1 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 2.03 – 1.31
  • T. Van den Keybus 65’
  • 3’ David Toševski
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

KVC Westerlo and Dender share the points

KVC Westerlo entered as favourites, yet Dender led 1–0 at half-time through a Toševski goal. But Keybus scored to rescue a draw for KVC Westerlo. KVC Westerlo finished with the higher xG (2.03 vs 1.31). On the chances created, KVC Westerlo deserved more: 1.8 expected points against the 1 point they took.

KVC Westerlo49%
Draw ✓26%
Dender25%

Model vs reality

KVC Westerlo goals
1
Model 1.61 · xG 2.03
Dender goals
1
Model 1.08 · xG 1.31
Total goals
2
Model 2.68 · xG 3.34
Score 1–1
12%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 50%
Both scored
Yes
Model 53%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchA. JungdalKVC Westerlo
7.9
  • RefereeAnthony Letellier
  • Coaches— · Hayk Milkon
  • VenueHet Kuipje
  • Table before kick-offKVC Westerlo 10th · Dender 16th

Timeline

  1. David Toševski 0–1Assist M. Sambu
    3’
  2. M. ViltardYellow card
    6’
  3. Half time · 0–1
  4. T. Van den Keybus 1–1Assist I. Sakamoto
    65’
  5. Nacho FerriYellow card
    70’
  6. ⇄ Mohamed BerteFor David Toševski
    71’
  7. ⇄ K. CoolsFor M. Sambu
    72’
  8. ⇄ K. VaesenFor Nacho Ferri
    74’
  9. ⇄ A. Awokoya-MebudeFor A. Sayyadmanesh
    74’
  10. F. FerraroYellow card
    81’
  11. ⇄ N. RôdesFor M. Viltard
    82’
  12. ⇄ E. BujupiFor T. Van den Keybus
    84’
  13. E. BujupiYellow card
    87’
  14. ⇄ Antonio CorderoFor J. Alcócer
    88’
  15. ⇄ R. OratmangoenFor B. Nsimba
    90+2’
  16. Full time · 1–1

Team stats

KVC Westerlo23 shots · 20 in box, 3 outside
Dender10 shots · 7 in box, 3 outside
KVC WesterloDender
62% Possession 38%
2.03 Expected goals (xG) 1.31
1.84 Expected points (xPts) 0.95
23 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 3
9 Shots off target 6
8 Blocked shots 1
20 Shots inside the box 7
3 Shots outside the box 3
444 Passes 276
84% Pass accuracy 67%
11 Corners 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
12 Fouls 16
1 Offsides 4
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.85 Team rating 6.76

Line-ups

KVC Westerlo 4-2-3-1

997.9★ A. Jungdal(G)
776.3 J. Alcócer ↓88’ 56.9 Seiji Kimura 407.2 E. Bayram 226.3 B. Reynolds
466.3 A. Piedfort 347.3 D. Haspolat
136.9 I. Sakamoto A 397.9 T. Van den Keybus ↓84’ 76.3 A. Sayyadmanesh ↓74’
905.9 Nacho Ferri ↓74’
  • 99A. Jungdal (G) ★7.9
  • 77J. Alcócer↓88’6.3
  • 5Seiji Kimura6.9
  • 40E. Bayram7.2
  • 22B. Reynolds6.3
  • 46A. Piedfort6.3
  • 34D. Haspolat7.3
  • 13I. SakamotoA6.9
  • 39T. Van den Keybus↓84’7.9
  • 7A. Sayyadmanesh↓74’6.3
  • 90Nacho Ferri↓74’5.9

Substitutes used

  • 10Antonio Cordero↑88’
  • 14K. Vaesen↑74’6.6
  • 9E. Bujupi↑84’
  • 11A. Awokoya-Mebude↑74’6.7

Unused: K. Van Langendonck, L. Mbamba-Muanda, A. Lapage, S. Sydorchuk, M. Fixelles

Dender 5-3-2

306.9 G. Dietsch(G)
886.9 F. Ferraro 56.2 L. Marijnissen 446.6 L. De Fougerolles 226.5 B. Fredrick 706.6 M. Sambu A↓72’
246.5 M. Viltard ↓82’ 177.3 N. Mbamba 166.9 R. Květ
97.6 David Toševski ↓71’ 776.5 B. Nsimba ↓90’
  • 30G. Dietsch (G)6.9
  • 88F. Ferraro6.9
  • 5L. Marijnissen6.2
  • 44L. De Fougerolles6.6
  • 22B. Fredrick6.5
  • 70M. SambuA↓72’6.6
  • 24M. Viltard↓82’6.5
  • 17N. Mbamba7.3
  • 16R. Květ6.9
  • 9David Toševski↓71’7.6
  • 77B. Nsimba↓90’6.5

Substitutes used

  • 21K. Cools↑72’6.7
  • 18N. Rôdes↑82’
  • 11R. Oratmangoen↑90’
  • 90Mohamed Berte↑71’6.5

Unused: L. Fortin, B. Goncalves, N. Moutha-Sebtaoui, D. Hrnčár, J. Attah Kadiri

Coach: Hayk Milkon

Player stats

Top rated
A. JungdalKVC Westerlo7.9
2nd
T. Van den KeybusKVC Westerlo7.9
3rd
David ToševskiDender7.6

KVC Westerlo

Dender

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.