Deportivo La Coruna
Attack—
Defense risk—
Deportivo La Coruna
9th · 11 pts · 9 played
DLDLD
VS—
Compare
Espanyol
15th · 8 pts · 9 played
WLLDL
Our take
No forecast yet.
Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.
Away travel889 kmRest days7 · 7Matches / 14d2 · 2
Real contextStrength only
Deportivo La Coruna—%
Draw—%
Espanyol—%
Weather (La Coruña)
Forecast from 8 May
Referee—Not appointed yet
Key insights
Automatic descriptive highlights for Deportivo La Coruna and Espanyol. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.
Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.
xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.
Headlines
Attack
Defence
Not enough recorded data for this category yet.
Streaks
Not enough recorded data for this category yet.
Team strength
Deportivo La CorunaEspanyol
—
L90 StrengthIn forecast
—
45
Current StrengthIn forecast
44
40
AttackIn forecast
36
57
DefenceIn forecast
51
21
Form indexContext
31
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisEspanyol
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
Deportivo La CorunaEspanyol
1.44
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.22
1.33
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.33
1.08
xGVia Att/Def
1.14
1.15
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.28
+0.36
Goals minus xGContext
+0.08
89%
Scored inContext
89%
0%
Clean sheetsContext
22%
11.67
ShotsContext
12.67
4.33
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
3.67
37%
On target shareContext
29%
7.89
Shots in the boxContext
7.33
64%
Box shareContext
57%
12%
ConversionContext
10%
1.71
OffsidesContext
3.50
12.56
Shots allowedContext
13.11
4.33
On target allowedVia Att/Def
5.75
3.11
BlocksContext
3.00
3.00
Goalkeeper savesContext
4.71
69%
Save rateContext
75%
48%
PossessionIn forecast
46%
444
PassesContext
376
376
Accurate passesContext
305
85%
Pass accuracyContext
81%
6.79
Team ratingContext
6.78
13.00
FoulsContext
16.00
11.89
Fouls sufferedContext
10.44
1.78
Yellow cardsContext
3.00
0.22
Red cardsContext
0.11
1.40
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.20
1.40
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.30
1.08
xGVia Att/Def
1.26
1.15
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.30
+0.32
Goals minus xGContext
-0.06
90%
Scored inContext
90%
0%
Clean sheetsContext
20%
11.10
ShotsContext
13.10
4.20
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
4.10
38%
On target shareContext
31%
7.60
Shots in the boxContext
7.50
66%
Box shareContext
57%
13%
ConversionContext
9%
1.63
OffsidesContext
3.14
11.80
Shots allowedContext
12.70
4.10
On target allowedVia Att/Def
5.56
3.00
BlocksContext
2.78
3.00
Goalkeeper savesContext
4.38
69%
Save rateContext
73%
48%
PossessionIn forecast
47%
455
PassesContext
379
389
Accurate passesContext
308
85%
Pass accuracyContext
81%
6.77
Team ratingContext
6.80
12.80
FoulsContext
15.50
11.50
Fouls sufferedContext
11.10
1.70
Yellow cardsContext
2.80
0.20
Red cardsContext
0.10
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Deportivo La Coruna
DLDLD
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel0 km1,017 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 21 · 3 pts vs 6.7 for an average club · -3.7 vs expected
Espanyol
WLLDL
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel889 km1,641 km in 14d
Schedule load17%Low
Form 31 · 4 pts vs 6.2 for an average club · -1.7 vs expected
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Deportivo La Coruna |
Espanyol |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 17 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 7La Liga 2026-2027, 16 May | 7La Liga 2026-2027, 16 May |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 889 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 1,017 km | 1,641 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 1 / 2 / 3 | 1 / 2 / 3 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 7 | 7 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Deportivo La Coruna
Last XI · not confirmed
13Leo Román(G)
12G. Quagliata
22B. Ede
20J. Giménez
23Ximo Navarro
14Riki Rodríguez
8Diego Villares
21Mario Soriano
19Luismi Cruz
32B. Nsongo
10Peke
Espanyol
Last XI · not confirmed
1Ángel Fortuño(G)
21Roger Hinojo
6L. Cabrera
5C. Riedel
16V. Drkušić
23O. El Hilali
15Bryan Zaragoza
10Pol Lozano
8Edu Expósito
28Javi Hernández
9R. Fernández Jaén
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Deportivo La Coruna
Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Espanyol
Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads
—
Home / Away this season
Deportivo La Coruna · Home
1.20points per game · 5 home games
- W-D-L
- 1-3-1
- Scored
- 1.20
- Conceded
- 1.00
Espanyol · Away
1.00points per game · 4 away games
- W-D-L
- 1-1-2
- Scored
- 1.25
- Conceded
- 1.25
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Common opponents 5 this season
| Opponent | Deportivo La Coruna | Espanyol |
|---|---|---|
| Levante | D 1–1 H | W 3–0 H |
| Real Sociedad | L 2–3 A | L 1–2 A |
| Sevilla | L 0–1 H | D 1–1 H |
| Malaga | D 1–1 A | D 1–1 A |
| Elche | D 1–1 H | L 1–3 H |
| Points | 3 of 15 · 0.60 per game | 5 of 15 · 1.00 per game |
League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.
Head to head
No earlier meetings in our data.
Goals & match trends
| Deportivo La Coruna | Espanyol | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.44 | 1.22 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.33 | 1.33 | |
| Match goals | 2.78 | 2.56 | |
| Over 1.5 | 89% | 89% | |
| Over 2.5 | 33% | 56% | |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 11% | |
| Both teams scored | 89% | 67% | |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 22% | |
| Failed to score | 11% | 11% | |
| Games | 9 | 9 |
| Deportivo La Coruna | Espanyol | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.44 | 1.20 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.33 | 1.30 | |
| Match goals | 2.78 | 2.50 | |
| Over 1.5 | 89% | 90% | |
| Over 2.5 | 33% | 50% | |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 10% | |
| Both teams scored | 89% | 70% | |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 20% | |
| Failed to score | 11% | 10% | |
| Games | 9 | 10 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Deportivo La Coruna | Espanyol | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 5.22 | 3.14 | |
| Corners conceded | 5.44 | 5.71 | |
| Match total | 10.66 | 8.85 | 9.91 |
| Over 8.5 | 56% 5/9 | 43% 3/7 | |
| Over 9.5 | 56% 5/9 | 43% 3/7 | |
| Over 10.5 | 33% 3/9 | 14% 1/7 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.11 | 3.11 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.00 | 2.89 | |
| Match total | 4.11 | 6.00 | 4.73 |
| Over 3.5 | 78% 7/9 | 89% 8/9 | |
| Over 4.5 | 33% 3/9 | 89% 8/9 | |
| Deportivo La Coruna | Espanyol | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 4.80 | 3.13 | |
| Corners conceded | 5.40 | 5.63 | |
| Match total | 10.20 | 8.76 | 9.91 |
| Over 8.5 | 50% 5/10 | 38% 3/8 | |
| Over 9.5 | 50% 5/10 | 38% 3/8 | |
| Over 10.5 | 30% 3/10 | 13% 1/8 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.00 | 2.90 | |
| Opponent cards | 1.80 | 2.90 | |
| Match total | 3.80 | 5.80 | 4.73 |
| Over 3.5 | 70% 7/10 | 90% 9/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 30% 3/10 | 80% 8/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Goal timing
Deportivo La Coruna9 games · scored 13 · conceded 12
1
0-15
3
3
16-30
1
3
31-45
1
2
46-60
3
1
61-75
4
3
76-90
Espanyol9 games · scored 11 · conceded 12
3
3
0-15
2
3
16-30
2
31-45
1
46-60
1
1
61-75
2
5
76-90
Deportivo La Coruna10 games · scored 14 · conceded 14
1
1
0-15
4
4
16-30
1
3
31-45
1
2
46-60
3
1
61-75
4
3
76-90
Espanyol10 games · scored 12 · conceded 13
3
3
0-15
2
4
16-30
2
31-45
1
46-60
2
1
61-75
2
5
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Soon
Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.
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