Eintracht Frankfurt
Attack—
Defense risk—
Eintracht Frankfurt
8th · 28 pts · 21 played
LDLLD
3–0Full time
Borussia Mönchengladbach
12th · 22 pts · 21 played
LDLDD
Our take
Eintracht Frankfurt were slight favourites.
Eintracht Frankfurt were the stronger side on L90 Strength (52 vs 43). Recent goals, xG and shots on target narrow the gap for Borussia Mönchengladbach. Eintracht Frankfurt had 7.8 days of rest, Borussia Mönchengladbach 6.9 and had to travel 198 km.
Away travel198 kmRest days7.8 · 6.9Matches / 14d2 · 2
Eintracht Frankfurt45%
Draw27%
Borussia Mönchengladbach28%
Eintracht Frankfurt49%
Draw26%
Borussia Mönchengladbach25%
Eintracht Frankfurt46%
Draw27%
Borussia Mönchengladbach27%
Eintracht Frankfurt38%
Draw28%
Borussia Mönchengladbach34%
Eintracht Frankfurt44%
Draw28%
Borussia Mönchengladbach28%
Over 2.5 48%
Both score 53%
Likeliest score 1–1
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (Frankfurt am Main)
No weather data yet
Referee · GermanyMartin Petersen
- Cards per match 4.5
- Penalties per match 0.22
- Matches 55
Team strength
Eintracht FrankfurtBorussia Mönchengladbach
52
L90 StrengthIn forecast
43
48
Current StrengthIn forecast
36
54
AttackIn forecast
34
37
DefenceIn forecast
21
—
Form indexContext
—
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisBorussia Mönchengladbach
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
Eintracht FrankfurtBorussia Mönchengladbach
1.95
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.19
2.19
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.62
1.23
xGVia Att/Def
1.24
1.34
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.45
+0.72
Goals minus xGContext
-0.05
90%
Scored inContext
57%
14%
Clean sheetsContext
38%
11.38
ShotsContext
10.62
4.24
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
4.53
37%
On target shareContext
39%
7.90
Shots in the boxContext
7.30
70%
Box shareContext
66%
17%
ConversionContext
11%
1.69
OffsidesContext
2.31
11.62
Shots allowedContext
14.57
4.70
On target allowedVia Att/Def
5.33
2.50
BlocksContext
3.38
2.53
Goalkeeper savesContext
3.76
53%
Save rateContext
71%
53%
PossessionIn forecast
45%
484
PassesContext
424
401
Accurate passesContext
349
83%
Pass accuracyContext
82%
6.74
Team ratingContext
6.80
10.33
FoulsContext
10.86
9.62
Fouls sufferedContext
10.57
1.67
Yellow cardsContext
1.33
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.05
1.50
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
0.90
2.20
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.50
1.04
xGVia Att/Def
1.00
1.41
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.48
+0.46
Goals minus xGContext
-0.10
90%
Scored inContext
60%
10%
Clean sheetsContext
40%
8.40
ShotsContext
9.00
3.60
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
3.67
43%
On target shareContext
37%
6.60
Shots in the boxContext
5.60
76%
Box shareContext
63%
18%
ConversionContext
10%
1.67
OffsidesContext
2.43
12.30
Shots allowedContext
15.00
4.60
On target allowedVia Att/Def
5.50
3.33
BlocksContext
2.80
2.70
Goalkeeper savesContext
4.40
59%
Save rateContext
80%
48%
PossessionIn forecast
43%
454
PassesContext
428
372
Accurate passesContext
344
82%
Pass accuracyContext
80%
6.63
Team ratingContext
6.74
11.90
FoulsContext
10.60
8.90
Fouls sufferedContext
11.10
1.70
Yellow cardsContext
1.00
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.00
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Eintracht Frankfurt
Rest7.8 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel0 km847 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Rest6.9 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel198 km530 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Eintracht Frankfurt |
Borussia Mönchengladbach |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 0 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 7.8Bundesliga 2025-2026, 6 Feb | 6.9Bundesliga 2025-2026, 7 Feb |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 198 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 847 km | 530 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 0 / 2 / 3 | 1 / 2 / 4 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 7 | 8 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Eintracht Frankfurt
Confirmed XI
40Kauã Santos(G)
4R. Koch
5A. Amenda
13R. Kristensen
21N. Brown
16H. Larsson
27M. Götze
29Ayoube Amaimouni-Echghouyab
19J. Bahoya
20R. Doan
25A. Kalimuendo
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Confirmed XI
33M. Nicolas(G)
14K. Takai
30N. Elvedi
16P. Sander
6Y. Engelhardt
26L. Ullrich
7K. Stöger
27R. Reitz
17J. Castrop
15H. Tabaković
9F. Honorat
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Eintracht Frankfurt
Scores -0.03 · concedes +0.02 goals Absences are shown before kick-off
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Scores 0.00 · concedes +0.04 goals Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
- Eintracht Frankfurt-0.4 pp
- Draw-0.1 pp
- Borussia Mönchengladbach+0.5 pp
Home / Away this season
Eintracht Frankfurt · Home
1.40points per game · 10 home games
- W-D-L
- 4-2-4
- Scored
- 1.70
- Conceded
- 1.80
Borussia Mönchengladbach · Away
1.20points per game · 10 away games
- W-D-L
- 3-3-4
- Scored
- 1.20
- Conceded
- 1.30
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Common opponents 16 this season
| Opponent | Eintracht Frankfurt | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
|---|---|---|
| Union Berlin | D 1–1 AL 3–4 H | L 1–3 A |
| Bayer Leverkusen | L 1–3 HL 1–3 A | D 1–1 HD 1–1 A |
| 1899 Hoffenheim | L 1–3 HW 3–1 A | L 1–5 A |
| Werder Bremen | D 3–3 AW 4–1 H | D 1–1 AL 0–4 H |
| VfB Stuttgart | L 2–3 A | L 0–3 HL 0–1 A |
| Borussia Dortmund | D 3–3 H | L 0–2 A |
| Hamburger SV | D 1–1 A | D 0–0 AD 0–0 H |
| FC Augsburg | W 1–0 H | W 4–0 H |
| RB Leipzig | L 0–6 A | D 0–0 H |
| VfL Wolfsburg | D 1–1 H | L 1–3 H |
| 1.FC Köln | W 4–3 A | W 3–1 H |
| FSV Mainz 05 | W 1–0 H | W 1–0 A |
| 1. FC Heidenheim | D 1–1 A | W 3–0 A |
| FC St. Pauli | W 2–0 H | W 4–0 A |
| SC Freiburg | D 2–2 A | D 0–0 H |
| Bayern München | L 0–3 H | L 0–3 H |
| Points | 25 of 60 · 1.25 per game | 22 of 60 · 1.10 per game |
League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.
Head to head last 9 of 9 meetings
5 Eintracht Frankfurt wins4 draws0 Borussia Mönchengladbach wins
Goals per game2.22 – 1.33
Over 2.544%
Both scored89%
Clean sheets11% · 0%
- 27 Sep 2025Borussia Mönchengladbach4–6Eintracht Frankfurt
- 8 Feb 2025Borussia Mönchengladbach1–1Eintracht Frankfurt
- 21 Sep 2024Eintracht Frankfurt2–0Borussia Mönchengladbach
- 11 May 2024Borussia Mönchengladbach1–1Eintracht Frankfurt
- 20 Dec 2023Eintracht Frankfurt2–1Borussia Mönchengladbach
- 15 Apr 2023Eintracht Frankfurt1–1Borussia Mönchengladbach
All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.
Goals & match trends
| Eintracht Frankfurt | Borussia Mönchengladbach | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.95 | 1.19 | |
| Conceded per game | 2.19 | 1.62 | |
| Match goals | 4.14 | 2.81 | 2.61 |
| Over 1.5 | 90% | 71% | |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 52% | 48% |
| Over 3.5 | 62% | 38% | |
| Both teams scored | 76% | 38% | 53% |
| Clean sheets | 14% | 38% | |
| Failed to score | 10% | 43% | |
| Games | 21 | 21 |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | Borussia Mönchengladbach | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.40 | 0.90 | |
| Conceded per game | 2.40 | 1.50 | |
| Match goals | 3.80 | 2.40 | 2.61 |
| Over 1.5 | 90% | 70% | |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 40% | 48% |
| Over 3.5 | 60% | 30% | |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 40% | 53% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 40% | |
| Failed to score | 10% | 40% | |
| Games | 10 | 10 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Eintracht Frankfurt | Borussia Mönchengladbach | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 4.47 | 4.15 | |
| Corners conceded | 3.89 | 5.05 | |
| Match total | 8.36 | 9.20 | 9.71 |
| Over 8.5 | 47% 9/19 | 55% 11/20 | |
| Over 9.5 | 42% 8/19 | 45% 9/20 | |
| Over 10.5 | 26% 5/19 | 30% 6/20 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 1.76 | 1.38 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.19 | 2.00 | |
| Match total | 3.95 | 3.38 | 3.92 |
| Over 3.5 | 62% 13/21 | 29% 6/21 | |
| Over 4.5 | 38% 8/21 | 29% 6/21 | |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | Borussia Mönchengladbach | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 3.22 | 3.50 | |
| Corners conceded | 5.56 | 4.60 | |
| Match total | 8.78 | 8.10 | 9.71 |
| Over 8.5 | 44% 4/9 | 40% 4/10 | |
| Over 9.5 | 44% 4/9 | 40% 4/10 | |
| Over 10.5 | 33% 3/9 | 20% 2/10 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 1.90 | 1.00 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.10 | 1.50 | |
| Match total | 4.00 | 2.50 | 3.92 |
| Over 3.5 | 70% 7/10 | 10% 1/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 40% 4/10 | 10% 1/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · Martin Petersen Germany · 55 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards4.31league 3.75
Red cards0.18league 0.19
Cards 5+51%league 39%
Fouls24.0league 20.9
Penalties0.22league 0.36
Home wins45%league 45%
Eintracht Frankfurt7 with this referee
Record2-4-1
Cards · opp.1.6 · 2.0
Pens for · against0 · 1
Reds1
- D4 May 25A · FSV Mainz 051–10
- W19 Apr 24H · FC Augsburg3–13
- L8 Oct 22A · VfL Bochum0–31
- D21 Aug 22H · 1.FC Köln1–10
- D14 May 22A · FSV Mainz 052–20
Borussia Mönchengladbach7 with this referee
Record1-2-4
Cards · opp.2.7 · 2.3
Pens for · against1 · 1
Reds1
- D25 Oct 24A · FSV Mainz 051–12
- D16 Mar 24A · 1. FC Heidenheim1–13
- L21 Jan 24H · FC Augsburg1–21
- L9 Dec 23A · Union Berlin1–33
- L23 Apr 23H · Union Berlin0–13
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
Eintracht Frankfurt21 games · scored 41 · conceded 46
4
7
0-15
8
5
16-30
8
6
31-45
9
7
46-60
4
6
61-75
8
15
76-90
Borussia Mönchengladbach21 games · scored 25 · conceded 34
3
6
0-15
2
6
16-30
5
7
31-45
2
1
46-60
7
6
61-75
6
8
76-90
Eintracht Frankfurt10 games · scored 15 · conceded 22
3
2
0-15
3
4
16-30
2
31-45
2
3
46-60
2
2
61-75
5
9
76-90
Borussia Mönchengladbach10 games · scored 9 · conceded 15
2
2
0-15
2
4
16-30
1
4
31-45
1
46-60
3
2
61-75
3
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Beta
Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.
