Bundesliga Gameweek 22 Sat, Feb 14 2026 · 17:30 MHPArena, Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart
3–1 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 2.51 – 1.59
1.FC Köln
  • E. Demirović 15’, 84’
  • D. Undav 90+2’
  • 79’ R. Ache
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

VfB Stuttgart beat 1.FC Köln

VfB Stuttgart entered as clear favourites and won 3–1 through goals from Demirović and Undav. 1.FC Köln replied through a Ache goal. VfB Stuttgart finished with the higher xG (2.51 vs 1.59). On the chances created, 1.FC Köln deserved more: 0.9 expected points against the 0 points they took.

VfB Stuttgart ✓67%
Draw19%
1.FC Köln14%

Model vs reality

VfB Stuttgart goals
3
Model 2.34 · xG 2.51
1.FC Köln goals
1
Model 0.97 · xG 1.59
Total goals
4
Model 3.32 · xG 4.10
Score 3–1
8%
Most likely 2–0 (10%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 64%
Both scored
Yes
Model 57%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchE. DemirovićVfB Stuttgart · 2 goals
9.2
  • RefereeRobert Hartmann
  • VenueMHPArena
  • Table before kick-offVfB Stuttgart 6th · 1.FC Köln 11th

Timeline

  1. E. Demirović 1–0Assist J. Leweling
    15’
  2. C. FührichYellow card · Roughing
    29’
  3. Half time · 1–0
  4. J. ChabotYellow card · Roughing
    53’
  5. E. DemirovićYellow card · Tripping
    61’
  6. ⇄ S. El MalaFor C. Özkacar
    68’
  7. ⇄ G. WaldschmidtFor Joel Schmied
    68’
  8. ⇄ B. El KhannoussFor C. Führich
    70’
  9. B. El KhannoussYellow card · Tripping
    76’
  10. ⇄ R. HendriksFor M. Mittelstädt
    77’
  11. ⇄ J. VagnomanFor L. Assignon
    77’
  12. R. Ache 1–1Assist G. Waldschmidt
    79’
  13. ⇄ A. StillerFor Chema Andrés
    83’
  14. ⇄ Tiago TomásFor J. Leweling
    84’
  15. ⇄ D. HuseinbašićFor M. Bülter
    84’
  16. E. Demirović 2–1Assist R. Hendriks
    84’
  17. ⇄ F. KainzFor E. Martel
    89’
  18. ⇄ Fynn SchentenFor T. Krauß
    89’
  19. D. Undav 3–1Assist A. Stiller
    90+2’
  20. J. KamińskiYellow card
    90+6’
  21. Full time · 3–1

Team stats

VfB Stuttgart13 shots · 8 in box, 5 outside
1.FC Köln10 shots · 9 in box, 1 outside
VfB Stuttgart1.FC Köln
58% Possession 42%
2.51 Expected goals (xG) 1.59
1.92 Expected points (xPts) 0.89
13 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 3
5 Shots off target 5
4 Blocked shots 2
8 Shots inside the box 9
5 Shots outside the box 1
474 Passes 333
85% Pass accuracy 77%
2 Corners 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
10 Fouls 7
1 Offsides 2
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
7.13 Team rating 6.56

Line-ups

VfB Stuttgart 4-2-3-1

337.0 A. Nübel(G)
77.7 M. Mittelstädt ↓77’ 247.0 J. Chabot 296.7 Finn Jeltsch 227.2 L. Assignon ↓77’
306.7 Chema Andrés ↓83’ 166.6 A. Karazor
107.3 C. Führich ↓70’ 267.2 D. Undav 186.2 J. Leweling A↓84’
99.2★ E. Demirović
  • 33A. Nübel (G)7.0
  • 7M. Mittelstädt↓77’7.7
  • 24J. Chabot7.0
  • 29Finn Jeltsch6.7
  • 22L. Assignon↓77’7.2
  • 30Chema Andrés↓83’6.7
  • 16A. Karazor6.6
  • 10C. Führich↓70’7.3
  • 26D. Undav7.2
  • 18J. LewelingA↓84’6.2
  • 9E. Demirović ★9.2

Substitutes used

  • 4J. Vagnoman↑77’6.3
  • 3R. HendriksA↑77’6.6
  • 6A. StillerA↑83’6.9
  • 11B. El Khannouss↑70’6.7
  • 8Tiago Tomás↑84’6.3

Unused: F. Bredlow, A. Al Dakhil, P. Stenzel, B. Bouanani

1.FC Köln 5-3-2

16.9 M. Schwäbe(G)
326.9 K. Lund 397.0 C. Özkacar ↓68’ 66.0 E. Martel ↓89’ 26.3 Joel Schmied ↓68’ 285.2 S. Sebulonsen
166.3 J. Kamiński 56.3 T. Krauß ↓89’ 296.9 J. Thielmann
97.7 R. Ache 306.7 M. Bülter ↓84’
  • 1M. Schwäbe (G)6.9
  • 32K. Lund6.9
  • 39C. Özkacar↓68’7.0
  • 6E. Martel↓89’6.0
  • 2Joel Schmied↓68’6.3
  • 28S. Sebulonsen5.2
  • 16J. Kamiński6.3
  • 5T. Krauß↓89’6.3
  • 29J. Thielmann6.9
  • 9R. Ache7.7
  • 30M. Bülter↓84’6.7

Substitutes used

  • 8D. Huseinbašić↑84’6.2
  • 11F. Kainz↑89’
  • 13S. El Mala↑68’6.3
  • 40Fynn Schenten↑89’
  • 7G. WaldschmidtA↑68’6.9

Unused: R. Zieler, R. van den Berg, David Fürst, Felipe Marlon Chávez

Player stats

Top rated
E. DemirovićVfB Stuttgart9.2
2nd
M. MittelstädtVfB Stuttgart7.7
3rd
R. Ache1.FC Köln7.7

VfB Stuttgart

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
A. Nübel G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 82% 34 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.0
M. Mittelstädt D 77 0 0 0 (0) 1 88% 48 6 1 2/2 0/0 7.7
J. Chabot D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 91% 68 0 0 0/0 1/1 7.0
Finn Jeltsch D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 51 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
L. Assignon D 77 0 0 1 (0) 0 88% 33 4 1 0/0 2/0 7.2
Chema Andrés M 83 0 0 1 (0) 0 93% 46 1 0 0/1 1/0 6.7
A. Karazor M 90 0 0 0 (0) 3 86% 58 1 0 1/1 0/1 6.6
C. Führich M 70 0 0 0 (0) 2 73% 37 0 0 1/2 1/0 7.3
D. Undav F 90 1 0 4 (2) 0 78% 27 3 0 0/0 0/3 7.2
J. Leweling F 84 0 1 0 (0) 3 76% 29 0 0 0/1 2/1 6.2
E. Demirović F 90 2 0 3 (2) 0 73% 15 2 0 2/2 2/2 9.2
J. Vagnoman D 13 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 4 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
R. Hendriks D 13 0 1 0 (0) 1 100% 1 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.6
A. Stiller M 7 0 1 0 (0) 1 100% 4 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
B. El Khannouss M 20 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 18 3 0 0/1 1/0 6.7
Tiago Tomás F 6 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/1 0/0 6.3

1.FC Köln

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
M. Schwäbe G 90 0 0 1 sv 0 63% 35 0 2 0/0 0/0 6.9
K. Lund D 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 72% 29 1 5 0/0 0/2 6.9
C. Özkacar D 68 0 0 1 (0) 0 79% 34 1 0 0/0 1/1 7.0
E. Martel M 89 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 35 1 0 0/0 2/1 6.0
Joel Schmied D 68 0 0 0 (0) 0 84% 25 1 0 1/1 1/1 6.3
S. Sebulonsen D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 88% 25 1 0 0/3 0/1 5.2
J. Kamiński M 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 78% 37 4 1 0/1 0/2 6.3
T. Krauß M 89 0 0 0 (0) 0 79% 24 1 0 0/1 2/0 6.3
J. Thielmann M 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 61% 41 1 1 0/3 0/1 6.9
R. Ache F 90 1 0 3 (2) 1 77% 13 1 1 1/1 1/1 7.7
M. Bülter F 84 0 0 1 (0) 1 85% 20 0 1 0/0 0/0 6.7
D. Huseinbašić M 6 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 5 0 1 0/0 0/0 6.2
F. Kainz M 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
S. El Mala F 22 0 0 1 (0) 0 67% 3 0 0 0/1 0/0 6.3
Fynn Schenten 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 1/0 —
G. Waldschmidt F 22 0 1 0 (0) 1 80% 5 1 0 0/0 1/0 6.9

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.