Bundesliga Gameweek 22 Sat, Feb 14 2026 · 14:30 Volksparkstadion, Hamburg
3–2 Full time · HT 2–1 xG 1.82 – 2.11
  • R. Königsdörffer 35’, 82’
  • N. Capaldo 45+2’
  • 28’ (P) L. Querfeld
  • 89’ A. Ilić
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Hamburger SV come from behind to beat Union Berlin

Hamburger SV entered as narrow favourites, yet Union Berlin led 1–0 after 28 minutes through a Querfeld goal. But Königsdörffer and Capaldo scored to turn it around for Hamburger SV, who won 3–2. The chances were even, with xG of 1.82 and 2.11. On the chances created, Union Berlin deserved more: 1.6 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Hamburger SV ✓41%
Draw26%
Union Berlin33%

Model vs reality

Hamburger SV goals
3
Model 1.49 · xG 1.82
Union Berlin goals
2
Model 1.32 · xG 2.11
Total goals
5
Model 2.81 · xG 3.93
Score 3–2
3%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 53%
Both scored
Yes
Model 57%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchFábio VieiraHamburger SV
7.5
  • RefereeFlorian Badstubner
  • VenueVolksparkstadion
  • Table before kick-offHamburger SV 11th · Union Berlin 9th

Timeline

  1. L. Querfeld (pen) 0–1
    28’
  2. R. Königsdörffer 1–1Assist R. Glatzel
    35’
  3. N. Capaldo 2–1Assist B. Jatta
    45+2’
  4. Half time · 2–1
  5. L. VuškovićYellow card · Tripping
    50’
  6. ⇄ T. SkarkeFor W. Jeong
    61’
  7. ⇄ Livan BurcuFor Ilyas Ansah
    61’
  8. N. CapaldoYellow card · Foul
    64’
  9. ⇄ Y. PoulsenFor R. Glatzel
    72’
  10. ⇄ Jean-Luc DompeFor P. Otele
    72’
  11. ⇄ G. GocholeishviliFor B. Jatta
    74’
  12. ⇄ A. KrálFor R. Khedira
    75’
  13. R. Königsdörffer 3–1Assist G. Gocholeishvili
    82’
  14. ⇄ A. SchäferFor A. Kemlein
    84’
  15. ⇄ O. BurkeFor S. Nsoki
    84’
  16. ⇄ W. MikelbrencisFor R. Königsdörffer
    87’
  17. ⇄ Daniel ElfadliFor N. Capaldo
    87’
  18. A. Ilić 3–2Assist O. Burke
    89’
  19. W. MikelbrencisYellow card · Foul
    90+7’
  20. Full time · 3–2

Team stats

Hamburger SV13 shots · 11 in box, 2 outside
Union Berlin12 shots · 10 in box, 2 outside
Hamburger SVUnion Berlin
57% Possession 43%
1.82 Expected goals (xG) 2.11
1.23 Expected points (xPts) 1.57
13 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 5
5 Shots off target 5
4 Blocked shots 2
11 Shots inside the box 10
2 Shots outside the box 2
448 Passes 335
78% Pass accuracy 71%
6 Corners 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
10 Fouls 6
2 Offsides 3
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
6.89 Team rating 6.56

Line-ups

Hamburger SV 3-4-3

16.9 D. Heuer Fernandes(G)
256.5 J. Torunarigha 446.5 L. Vušković 247.2 N. Capaldo ↓87’
286.9 M. Muheim 216.5 N. Remberg 207.5★ Fábio Vieira 187.0 B. Jatta A↓74’
277.3 P. Otele ↓72’ 96.6 R. Glatzel A↓72’ 117.2 R. Königsdörffer ↓87’
  • 1D. Heuer Fernandes (G)6.9
  • 25J. Torunarigha6.5
  • 44L. Vušković6.5
  • 24N. Capaldo↓87’7.2
  • 28M. Muheim6.9
  • 21N. Remberg6.5
  • 20Fábio Vieira ★7.5
  • 18B. JattaA↓74’7.0
  • 27P. Otele↓72’7.3
  • 9R. GlatzelA↓72’6.6
  • 11R. Königsdörffer↓87’7.2

Substitutes used

  • 7Jean-Luc Dompe↑72’6.3
  • 15Y. Poulsen↑72’6.6
  • 16G. GocholeishviliA↑74’6.3
  • 8Daniel Elfadli↑87’
  • 2W. Mikelbrencis↑87’

Unused: S. Tangvik, Omar Megeed, Rayan Philippe, Otto Stange

Union Berlin 3-4-2-1

15.9 F. Rønnow(G)
346.7 S. Nsoki ↓84’ 146.9 L. Querfeld 55.9 D. Doekhi
396.5 D. Köhn 66.7 A. Kemlein ↓84’ 86.7 R. Khedira ↓75’ 287.3 C. Trimmel
106.6 Ilyas Ansah ↓61’ 116.2 W. Jeong ↓61’
236.6 A. Ilić
  • 1F. Rønnow (G)5.9
  • 34S. Nsoki↓84’6.7
  • 14L. Querfeld6.9
  • 5D. Doekhi5.9
  • 39D. Köhn6.5
  • 6A. Kemlein↓84’6.7
  • 8R. Khedira↓75’6.7
  • 28C. Trimmel7.3
  • 10Ilyas Ansah↓61’6.6
  • 11W. Jeong↓61’6.2
  • 23A. Ilić6.6

Substitutes used

  • 21T. Skarke↑61’6.5
  • 9Livan Burcu↑61’6.7
  • 33A. Král↑75’6.5
  • 13A. Schäfer↑84’6.7
  • 7O. BurkeA↑84’7.2

Unused: Matheo Raab, A. Markgraf, J. Haberer, D. Preu

Player stats

Top rated
Fábio VieiraHamburger SV7.5
2nd
P. OteleHamburger SV7.3
3rd
C. TrimmelUnion Berlin7.3

Hamburger SV

Union Berlin

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.