Eintracht Frankfurt
Attack—
Defense risk—
Eintracht Frankfurt
7th · 21 pts · 13 played
DWWDL
1–0Full time
FC Augsburg
14th · 13 pts · 13 played
LLWLW
Our take
Eintracht Frankfurt were slight favourites.
Eintracht Frankfurt were the stronger side on L90 Strength (61 vs 40). Eintracht Frankfurt had 6.9 days of rest, FC Augsburg 7 and had to travel 252 km.
Away travel252 kmRest days6.9 · 7Matches / 14d2 · 2
Eintracht Frankfurt58%
Draw23%
FC Augsburg19%
Eintracht Frankfurt57%
Draw24%
FC Augsburg19%
Eintracht Frankfurt58%
Draw23%
FC Augsburg19%
Eintracht Frankfurt50%
Draw25%
FC Augsburg25%
Eintracht Frankfurt56%
Draw24%
FC Augsburg20%
Over 2.5 56%
Both score 55%
Likeliest score 1–1
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (Frankfurt am Main)
No weather data yet
RefereeFrank Willenborg
- Cards per match 4.6
- Penalties per match 0.25
- Matches 52
Team strength
Eintracht FrankfurtFC Augsburg
61
L90 StrengthIn forecast
40
48
Current StrengthIn forecast
50
54
AttackIn forecast
72
37
DefenceIn forecast
23
—
Form indexContext
—
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisFC Augsburg
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
Eintracht FrankfurtFC Augsburg
2.15
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.31
2.23
Goals concededVia Att/Def
2.08
1.33
xGVia Att/Def
0.99
1.33
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.69
+0.82
Goals minus xGContext
+0.32
85%
Scored inContext
77%
15%
Clean sheetsContext
15%
12.69
ShotsContext
11.85
4.54
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
3.92
36%
On target shareContext
33%
8.23
Shots in the boxContext
7.23
64%
Box shareContext
61%
17%
ConversionContext
11%
1.70
OffsidesContext
2.50
11.15
Shots allowedContext
13.54
4.83
On target allowedVia Att/Def
4.46
2.08
BlocksContext
4.55
2.55
Goalkeeper savesContext
2.82
51%
Save rateContext
59%
55%
PossessionIn forecast
44%
503
PassesContext
384
421
Accurate passesContext
304
84%
Pass accuracyContext
79%
6.81
Team ratingContext
6.72
9.31
FoulsContext
12.23
9.92
Fouls sufferedContext
10.92
1.54
Yellow cardsContext
3.00
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.00
1.10
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.10
2.10
Goals concededVia Att/Def
2.10
0.90
xGVia Att/Def
1.07
1.66
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.47
+0.20
Goals minus xGContext
+0.03
70%
Scored inContext
70%
30%
Clean sheetsContext
20%
9.70
ShotsContext
12.20
3.50
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
3.80
36%
On target shareContext
31%
6.20
Shots in the boxContext
7.40
65%
Box shareContext
61%
11%
ConversionContext
9%
2.56
OffsidesContext
2.33
12.40
Shots allowedContext
12.90
5.11
On target allowedVia Att/Def
3.80
3.20
BlocksContext
4.63
2.89
Goalkeeper savesContext
2.13
57%
Save rateContext
52%
48%
PossessionIn forecast
45%
459
PassesContext
393
378
Accurate passesContext
312
82%
Pass accuracyContext
79%
6.72
Team ratingContext
6.66
8.70
FoulsContext
11.60
8.20
Fouls sufferedContext
10.80
0.80
Yellow cardsContext
2.70
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.00
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Eintracht Frankfurt
Rest6.9 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel0 km586 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
FC Augsburg
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel252 km355 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Eintracht Frankfurt |
FC Augsburg |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 0 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 6.9Bundesliga 2025-2026, 6 Dec | 7Bundesliga 2025-2026, 6 Dec |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 252 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 586 km | 355 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 1 / 2 / 3 | 1 / 2 / 3 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 7 | 7 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Eintracht Frankfurt
Confirmed XI
23M. Zetterer(G)
3A. Theate
4R. Koch
34P. Collins
13R. Kristensen
15E. Skhiri
18M. Dahoud
8F. Chaïbi
27M. Götze
20R. Doan
7A. Knauff
FC Augsburg
Confirmed XI
1F. Dahmen(G)
31K. Schlotterbeck
5C. Matsima
40N. Banks
13D. Giannoulis
4H. Massengo
17K. Jakić
19Robin Fellhauer
20A. Claude-Maurice
32F. Rieder
30A. Kade
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Eintracht Frankfurt
Scores -0.03 · concedes 0.00 goals Absences are shown before kick-off
FC Augsburg
Scores 0.00 · concedes +0.01 goals Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
- Eintracht Frankfurt-0.3 pp
- Draw+0.1 pp
- FC Augsburg+0.2 pp
Home / Away this season
Eintracht Frankfurt · Home
1.67points per game · 6 home games
- W-D-L
- 3-1-2
- Scored
- 1.83
- Conceded
- 1.50
FC Augsburg · Away
0.67points per game · 6 away games
- W-D-L
- 1-1-4
- Scored
- 1.33
- Conceded
- 2.00
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Common opponents 10 this season
| Opponent | Eintracht Frankfurt | FC Augsburg |
|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig | L 0–6 A | L 0–6 H |
| VfL Wolfsburg | D 1–1 H | W 3–1 H |
| 1.FC Köln | W 4–3 A | D 1–1 A |
| FSV Mainz 05 | W 1–0 H | L 1–4 H |
| 1. FC Heidenheim | D 1–1 A | L 1–2 A |
| FC St. Pauli | W 2–0 H | L 1–2 A |
| SC Freiburg | D 2–2 A | W 3–1 A |
| Bayern München | L 0–3 H | L 2–3 H |
| Bayer Leverkusen | L 1–3 A | W 2–0 H |
| 1899 Hoffenheim | W 3–1 A | L 0–3 A |
| Points | 15 of 30 · 1.50 per game | 10 of 30 · 1.00 per game |
League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.
Head to head last 8 of 8 meetings
2 Eintracht Frankfurt wins5 draws1 FC Augsburg wins
Goals per game1.25 – 1.00
Over 2.550%
Both scored75%
Clean sheets25% · 25%
- 20 Apr 2025FC Augsburg0–0Eintracht Frankfurt
- 7 Dec 2024Eintracht Frankfurt2–2FC Augsburg
- 19 Apr 2024Eintracht Frankfurt3–1FC Augsburg
- 3 Dec 2023FC Augsburg2–1Eintracht Frankfurt
- 29 Apr 2023Eintracht Frankfurt1–1FC Augsburg
- 5 Nov 2022FC Augsburg1–2Eintracht Frankfurt
All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.
Goals & match trends
| Eintracht Frankfurt | FC Augsburg | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 2.15 | 1.31 | |
| Conceded per game | 2.23 | 2.08 | |
| Match goals | 4.38 | 3.38 | 2.94 |
| Over 1.5 | 92% | 85% | |
| Over 2.5 | 69% | 69% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 62% | 46% | |
| Both teams scored | 69% | 62% | 55% |
| Clean sheets | 15% | 15% | |
| Failed to score | 15% | 23% | |
| Games | 13 | 13 |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | FC Augsburg | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 2.00 | 1.10 | |
| Conceded per game | 2.40 | 2.10 | |
| Match goals | 4.40 | 3.20 | 2.94 |
| Over 1.5 | 90% | 80% | |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 60% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 40% | |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 50% | 55% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 20% | |
| Failed to score | 20% | 30% | |
| Games | 10 | 10 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Eintracht Frankfurt | FC Augsburg | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 5.18 | 4.00 | |
| Corners conceded | 2.73 | 4.46 | |
| Match total | 7.91 | 8.46 | 9.79 |
| Over 8.5 | 45% 5/11 | 46% 6/13 | |
| Over 9.5 | 36% 4/11 | 38% 5/13 | |
| Over 10.5 | 18% 2/11 | 31% 4/13 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 1.54 | 3.08 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.15 | 2.00 | |
| Match total | 3.69 | 5.08 | 4.11 |
| Over 3.5 | 46% 6/13 | 77% 10/13 | |
| Over 4.5 | 31% 4/13 | 69% 9/13 | |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | FC Augsburg | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 4.88 | 3.90 | |
| Corners conceded | 3.88 | 4.50 | |
| Match total | 8.76 | 8.40 | 9.79 |
| Over 8.5 | 50% 4/8 | 40% 4/10 | |
| Over 9.5 | 50% 4/8 | 30% 3/10 | |
| Over 10.5 | 25% 2/8 | 30% 3/10 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 0.80 | 2.80 | |
| Opponent cards | 1.50 | 1.70 | |
| Match total | 2.30 | 4.50 | 4.11 |
| Over 3.5 | 20% 2/10 | 70% 7/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 10% 1/10 | 60% 6/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · Frank Willenborg 52 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards4.40league 3.94
Red cards0.15league 0.20
Cards 5+48%league 42%
Fouls22.2league 21.3
Penalties0.25league 0.33
Home wins38%league 47%
Eintracht Frankfurt8 with this referee
Record2-2-4
Cards · opp.2.0 · 1.8
Pens for · against3 · 1
Reds1
- L9 Mar 25H · Union Berlin1–23
- W13 Jan 24A · RB Leipzig1–02
- L30 Sep 23A · VfL Wolfsburg0–26
- D29 Apr 23H · FC Augsburg1–12
- W15 Oct 22H · Bayer Leverkusen5–10
FC Augsburg5 with this referee
Record2-2-1
Cards · opp.2.4 · 1.8
Pens for · against0 · 0
- W15 Jan 25A · Union Berlin2–02
- W9 Mar 24H · 1. FC Heidenheim1–01
- D29 Apr 23A · Eintracht Frankfurt1–12
- L22 Jan 23A · Borussia Dortmund3–44
- D27 Nov 21A · Hertha BSC1–13
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
Eintracht Frankfurt13 games · scored 28 · conceded 29
2
6
0-15
5
1
16-30
8
4
31-45
7
5
46-60
2
4
61-75
4
9
76-90
FC Augsburg13 games · scored 17 · conceded 27
3
2
0-15
3
7
16-30
3
6
31-45
3
6
46-60
1
3
61-75
4
3
76-90
Eintracht Frankfurt10 games · scored 11 · conceded 21
2
0-15
2
16-30
3
5
31-45
3
5
46-60
1
7
61-75
2
2
76-90
FC Augsburg10 games · scored 11 · conceded 21
3
2
0-15
2
6
16-30
4
31-45
2
4
46-60
1
3
61-75
3
2
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Beta
Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.
