Primeira Liga Gameweek 27 Sat, Mar 21 2026 · 15:30 Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho, Vila Nova de Famalicão
Famalicao
1–0 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 1.74 – 0.38
Nacional
  • I. Ba 63’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Ba goal decides it for Famalicao

Famalicao entered as favourites and won 1–0 through a Ba goal. Famalicao finished with the higher xG (1.74 vs 0.38).

Famalicao ✓53%
Draw27%
Nacional20%

Model vs reality

Famalicao goals
1
Model 1.51 · xG 1.74
Nacional goals
0
Model 0.82 · xG 0.38
Total goals
1
Model 2.33 · xG 2.12
Score 1–0
14%
Most likely 1–0 (14%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 41%
Both scored
No
Model 44%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchI. BaFamalicao · 1 goal
8.2
  • RefereePedro Ramalho
  • VenueEstádio Municipal 22 de Junho
  • Table before kick-offFamalicao 6th · Nacional 16th

Timeline

  1. Matheus DiasYellow card · misses next match
    16’
  2. Gustavo SáYellow card
    40’
  3. Lenny VallierYellow card
    43’
  4. Half time · 0–0
  5. I. Ba 1–0Assist Gustavo Sá
    63’
  6. ⇄ Filipe SoaresFor Matheus Dias
    77’
  7. ⇄ Joel SilvaFor C. Labidi
    77’
  8. ⇄ WitiFor Miguel Baeza
    77’
  9. M. De AmorimYellow card
    78’
  10. ⇄ Marcos PeñaFor M. De Amorim
    79’
  11. ⇄ Umar AbubakarFor S. Elisor
    79’
  12. ⇄ Pablo RuanFor Paulinho Bóia
    84’
  13. ⇄ A. JoujouFor Sorriso
    87’
  14. ⇄ L. RealpeFor Gustavo Sá
    89’
  15. Daniel JúniorYellow card
    90+1’
  16. L. CarevićYellow card · misses next match
    90+2’
  17. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Famalicao14 shots · 9 in box, 5 outside
Nacional8 shots · 2 in box, 6 outside
FamalicaoNacional
55% Possession 45%
1.74 Expected goals (xG) 0.38
2.35 Expected points (xPts) 0.44
14 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 6
6 Shots off target 2
4 Blocked shots 1
9 Shots inside the box 2
5 Shots outside the box 6
421 Passes 340
85% Pass accuracy 84%
6 Corners 6
6 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Fouls 14
0 Offsides 1
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
7.28 Team rating 6.62

Line-ups

Famalicao 4-3-3

258.0 L. Carević(G)
57.7 Rafa Soares 167.2 J. de Haas 558.2★ I. Ba 177.2 Rodrigo Pinheiro
146.9 M. De Amorim ↓79’ 66.6 T. van de Looi 207.9 Gustavo Sá A↓89’
76.6 Sorriso ↓87’ 126.5 S. Elisor ↓79’ 237.3 Gil Dias
  • 25L. Carević (G)8.0
  • 5Rafa Soares7.7
  • 16J. de Haas7.2
  • 55I. Ba ★8.2
  • 17Rodrigo Pinheiro7.2
  • 14M. De Amorim↓79’6.9
  • 6T. van de Looi6.6
  • 20Gustavo SáA↓89’7.9
  • 7Sorriso↓87’6.6
  • 12S. Elisor↓79’6.5
  • 23Gil Dias7.3

Substitutes used

  • 3L. Realpe↑89’
  • 8Marcos Peña↑79’6.7
  • 77A. Joujou↑87’
  • 9Umar Abubakar↑79’6.3

Unused: I. Zlobin, Pedro Bondo, Gustavo Garcia, Pedro Santos, R. Beney

Nacional 4-3-3

17.7 Kaique(G)
246.2 Lenny Vallier 386.9 Zé Vitor 346.5 Léo Santos 166.3 Alan Nuñez
86.3 Miguel Baeza ↓77’ 66.3 Matheus Dias ↓77’ 156.6 C. Labidi ↓77’
117.0 Paulinho Bóia ↓84’ 196.2 Lucas João 106.9 Daniel Júnior
  • 1Kaique (G)7.7
  • 24Lenny Vallier6.2
  • 38Zé Vitor6.9
  • 34Léo Santos6.5
  • 16Alan Nuñez6.3
  • 8Miguel Baeza↓77’6.3
  • 6Matheus Dias↓77’6.3
  • 15C. Labidi↓77’6.6
  • 11Paulinho Bóia↓84’7.0
  • 19Lucas João6.2
  • 10Daniel Júnior6.9

Substitutes used

  • 22Filipe Soares↑77’6.5
  • 7Witi↑77’6.3
  • 26Joel Silva↑77’6.3
  • 99Pablo Ruan↑84’

Unused: Kevyn, Francisco Gonçalves, Deivison, André Sousa

Player stats

Top rated
I. BaFamalicao8.2
2nd
L. CarevićFamalicao8.0
3rd
Gustavo SáFamalicao7.9

Famalicao

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
L. Carević G 90 0 0 6 sv 0 100% 20 0 0 0/0 0/0 8.0
Rafa Soares D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 86% 44 1 0 0/0 0/1 7.7
J. de Haas D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 93% 81 1 0 0/0 0/0 7.2
I. Ba D 90 1 0 1 (1) 0 82% 78 3 0 0/0 2/0 8.2
Rodrigo Pinheiro D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 78% 40 5 2 0/0 0/2 7.2
M. De Amorim M 79 0 0 1 (0) 1 83% 18 1 1 2/4 0/2 6.9
T. van de Looi M 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 92% 36 1 0 0/0 3/0 6.6
Gustavo Sá M 89 0 1 1 (1) 3 81% 27 1 0 1/1 4/1 7.9
Sorriso F 87 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 14 1 0 0/2 0/3 6.6
S. Elisor F 79 0 0 5 (2) 2 100% 9 1 0 1/1 1/1 6.5
Gil Dias M 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 71% 34 1 1 1/1 1/4 7.3
L. Realpe D 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
Marcos Peña M 11 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 3 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
A. Joujou F 3 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
Umar Abubakar F 11 0 0 0 (0) 0 0% 3 0 0 0/0 1/1 6.3

Nacional

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Kaique G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 69% 26 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.7
Lenny Vallier D 90 0 0 0 (0) 3 86% 22 1 4 0/0 2/2 6.2
Zé Vitor D 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 80% 46 2 4 0/0 1/2 6.9
Léo Santos D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 86% 44 2 0 0/0 1/0 6.5
Alan Nuñez D 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 83% 35 3 0 1/2 3/0 6.3
Miguel Baeza M 77 0 0 0 (0) 0 82% 28 1 0 0/1 1/0 6.3
Matheus Dias M 77 0 0 0 (0) 0 97% 30 0 0 0/0 2/1 6.3
C. Labidi M 77 0 0 3 (2) 0 74% 23 1 0 0/1 2/2 6.6
Paulinho Bóia F 84 0 0 1 (1) 0 87% 15 1 0 1/4 0/1 7.0
Lucas João F 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 75% 16 2 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
Daniel Júnior F 90 0 0 1 (1) 2 93% 27 1 1 1/3 3/2 6.9
Filipe Soares M 13 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 3 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.5
Witi F 13 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
Joel Silva M 13 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
Pablo Ruan M 6 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/1 —

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.