Famalicao vs Santa Clara – 10 Aug 2025

Primeira Liga Gameweek 1 Sun, Aug 10 · 17:00 Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho, Vila Nova de Famalicão

Famalicao

3–0Full time

Santa Clara

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

Famalicao were slight favourites.

The two sides are close in strength. Famalicao had ? days of rest, Santa Clara ? and had to travel 1,522 km.

Away travel1,522 kmMatches / 14d0 · 0

Famalicao47%

Draw27%

Santa Clara26%

Expected goals 1.50 – 1.06

Famalicao47%

Draw26%

Santa Clara27%

Expected goals 1.57 – 1.14

Famalicao46%

Draw27%

Santa Clara27%

Expected goals 1.47 – 1.06

Famalicao39%

Draw28%

Santa Clara32%

Expected goals 1.34 – 1.19

Famalicao47%

Draw26%

Santa Clara27%

Expected goals 1.59 – 1.14

Over 2.5 47% Both score 51% Likeliest score 1–1

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Vila Nova de Famalicão)

No weather data yet

Referee · PortugalLuís Godinho

Cards per match 5.2
Penalties per match 0.32
Matches 69

Team strength

Famalicao

Santa Clara

35 L90 StrengthIn forecast 30

38 Current StrengthIn forecast 34

24 AttackIn forecast 29

36 DefenceIn forecast 53

— Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Famalicao

Attack—

Defense risk—

Santa Clara

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Famalicao

Santa Clara

— Goals scoredVia Att/Def —

— Goals concededVia Att/Def —

— xGVia Att/Def —

— xG allowedVia Att/Def —

— Goals minus xGContext —

— Scored inContext —

— Clean sheetsContext —

— ShotsContext —

— Shots on targetVia Att/Def —

— On target shareContext —

— Shots in the boxContext —

— Box shareContext —

— ConversionContext —

— OffsidesContext —

— Shots allowedContext —

— On target allowedVia Att/Def —

— BlocksContext —

— Goalkeeper savesContext —

— Save rateContext —

— PossessionIn forecast —

— PassesContext —

— Accurate passesContext —

— Pass accuracyContext —

— Team ratingContext —

— FoulsContext —

— Fouls sufferedContext —

— Yellow cardsContext —

— Red cardsContext —

This league season, per match

1.70 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.40

1.30 Goals concededVia Att/Def 0.90

1.57 xGVia Att/Def 1.30

1.53 xG allowedVia Att/Def 0.94

+0.13 Goals minus xGContext +0.10

100% Scored inContext 80%

20% Clean sheetsContext 30%

11.10 ShotsContext 12.29

4.10 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.00

37% On target shareContext 33%

6.80 Shots in the boxContext 6.86

58% Box shareContext 55%

15% ConversionContext 9%

1.60 OffsidesContext 1.71

11.50 Shots allowedContext 11.29

4.40 On target allowedVia Att/Def 3.57

2.78 BlocksContext 2.50

3.50 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.43

67% Save rateContext 68%

49% PossessionIn forecast 44%

369 PassesContext 313

296 Accurate passesContext 239

80% Pass accuracyContext 76%

6.98 Team ratingContext 6.87

16.00 FoulsContext 16.88

16.90 Fouls sufferedContext 13.25

2.30 Yellow cardsContext 3.80

0.20 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Famalicao

Rest—since last match

Matches / 14d0all competitions

Travel0 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Santa Clara

Rest—since last match

Matches / 14d0all competitions

Travel1,522 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load20%Moderate

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Famalicao	Santa Clara
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Moderate · 20
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	—	—
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	1,522 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	0 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	0 / 0 / 0	0 / 0 / 0
Next matchdays after this one	5.9	7

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Famalicao Confirmed XI

4-2-3-1

25L. Carević(G)

5Rafa Soares 16J. de Haas 3L. Realpe 17Rodrigo Pinheiro

14M. De Amorim 6T. van de Looi

7Sorriso 20Gustavo Sá 23Gil Dias

12S. Elisor

+2 more reported missing outside this XI

Santa Clara Confirmed XI

3-4-3

1Gabriel Batista(G)

21F. Ferrão Venâncio 13Luís Rocha 23Sidney Lima

3Matheus Pereira 6Adriano 35Serginho 22Edney

10Gabriel Silva 29Wendel 70Vinícius Lopes

+1 more reported missing outside this XI

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Famalicao Absences are shown before kick-off

Santa Clara Scores 0.00 · concedes +0.03 goals Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

Famalicao+0.6 pp
Draw-0.2 pp
Santa Clara-0.4 pp

Home / Away this season

Famalicao · Home No home games yet this season.

Santa Clara · Away No away games yet this season.

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head last 4 of 4 meetings

2 Famalicao wins0 draws2 Santa Clara wins

Goals per game1.50 – 1.25 Over 2.575% Both scored75% Clean sheets25% · 0%

10 May 2025Santa Clara2–1Famalicao
30 Dec 2024Famalicao1–2Santa Clara
19 Feb 2023Santa Clara1–3Famalicao
28 Aug 2022Famalicao1–0Santa Clara

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Famalicao	Santa Clara	Forecast
Scored per game	—	—
Conceded per game	—	—
Match goals	—	—	2.56
Over 1.5	—	—
Over 2.5	—	—	47%
Over 3.5	—	—
Both teams scored	—	—	51%
Clean sheets	—	—
Failed to score	—	—
Games	0	0

	Famalicao	Santa Clara	Forecast
Scored per game	—	—
Conceded per game	—	—
Match goals	—	—	2.56
Over 1.5	—	—
Over 2.5	—	—	47%
Over 3.5	—	—
Both teams scored	—	—	51%
Clean sheets	—	—
Failed to score	—	—
Games	0	0

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Famalicao	Santa Clara	League
Corners
Corners won	—	—
Corners conceded	—	—
Match total	—	—	12.67
Over 8.5	—	—
Over 9.5	—	—
Over 10.5	—	—
Cards
Cards	—	—
Opponent cards	—	—
Match total	—	—	5.33
Over 3.5	—	—
Over 4.5	—	—

	Famalicao	Santa Clara	League
Corners
Corners won	6.00	5.00
Corners conceded	4.80	4.71
Match total	10.80	9.71	12.67
Over 8.5	70% 7/10	57% 4/7
Over 9.5	60% 6/10	43% 3/7
Over 10.5	50% 5/10	29% 2/7
Cards
Cards	2.50	3.90
Opponent cards	4.40	2.20
Match total	6.90	6.10	5.33
Over 3.5	90% 9/10	80% 8/10
Over 4.5	80% 8/10	70% 7/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Luís Godinho Portugal · 69 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards4.93league 5.33

Red cards0.26league 0.00

Cards 5+59%league 67%

Fouls29.3league 29.7

Penalties0.32league 0.00

Home wins39%league 33%

Famalicao6 with this referee

Record2-2-2 Cards · opp.3.2 · 2.7 Pens for · against1 · 1 Reds2

W23 Feb 25H · Moreirense2–03
D7 Dec 24H · FC Porto1–12
W3 Nov 24A · AVS3–21
D21 Apr 24H · Portimonense2–23
L23 Feb 24A · Arouca2–37

Santa Clara

No previous matches with this referee.

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.