Bundesliga Gameweek 16 Tue, Jan 12 · 19:30 WWK Arena, Augsburg
FC Augsburg 10th · 8 pts · 6 played
VS— Compare
Borussia Mönchengladbach 18th · 0 pts · 6 played
Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel447 kmRest days3.2 · 3.2Matches / 14d1 · 1
Real contextStrength only
FC Augsburg—%
Draw—%
Borussia Mönchengladbach—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (Augsburg)

Forecast from 28 Dec

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for FC Augsburg and Borussia Mönchengladbach. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Streaks insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Team strength

FC AugsburgBorussia Mönchengladbach
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
50 Current StrengthIn forecast 36
72 AttackIn forecast 34
23 DefenceIn forecast 21
46 Form indexContext 7
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

FC Augsburg

Attack—
Defense risk—

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

FC AugsburgBorussia Mönchengladbach
2.67 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.33
2.00 Goals concededVia Att/Def 3.33
2.15 xGVia Att/Def 1.40
2.95 xG allowedVia Att/Def 2.49
+0.52 Goals minus xGContext -0.07
100% Scored inContext 67%
17% Clean sheetsContext 0%
15.67 ShotsContext 15.17
7.00 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 5.40
45% On target shareContext 30%
11.67 Shots in the boxContext 9.83
72% Box shareContext 64%
17% ConversionContext 9%
1.75 OffsidesContext 3.00
21.83 Shots allowedContext 18.17
7.83 On target allowedVia Att/Def 8.83
6.17 BlocksContext 3.20
5.50 Goalkeeper savesContext 5.50
70% Save rateContext 62%
42% PossessionIn forecast 48%
372 PassesContext 404
288 Accurate passesContext 328
77% Pass accuracyContext 81%
7.01 Team ratingContext 6.46
9.83 FoulsContext 14.83
10.00 Fouls sufferedContext 10.17
1.83 Yellow cardsContext 2.83
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00
This league season, per match · 6 and 6 games
2.30 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.40
1.90 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.30
2.02 xGVia Att/Def 1.26
2.25 xG allowedVia Att/Def 2.04
+0.28 Goals minus xGContext +0.14
90% Scored inContext 70%
10% Clean sheetsContext 30%
15.10 ShotsContext 13.50
6.30 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.44
42% On target shareContext 30%
11.10 Shots in the boxContext 8.80
72% Box shareContext 65%
15% ConversionContext 10%
1.88 OffsidesContext 2.78
19.20 Shots allowedContext 15.10
6.80 On target allowedVia Att/Def 7.10
5.50 BlocksContext 2.88
4.80 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.80
71% Save rateContext 68%
41% PossessionIn forecast 50%
356 PassesContext 432
274 Accurate passesContext 356
77% Pass accuracyContext 82%
6.95 Team ratingContext 6.63
9.20 FoulsContext 12.60
9.70 Fouls sufferedContext 11.40
1.60 Yellow cardsContext 2.90
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.10
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

FC Augsburg
Rest3.2 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km269 km in 14d
Schedule load8%Low
Form 46 · 5 pts vs 5.4 for an average club · -0.9 vs expected
  • L17 OctA · SV Elversberg3–41.4 xPts
  • D10 OctH · Bayern München2–20.5 xPts
  • L19 SepA · Werder Bremen2–31.5 xPts
  • D12 SepH · Bayer Leverkusen2–21.3 xPts
  • W6 SepA · Eintracht Frankfurt4–11.3 xPts
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Rest3.2 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel447 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load14%Low
Form 7 · 0 pts vs 7.3 for an average club · -6.2 vs expected
  • L18 OctH · 1899 Hoffenheim1–21.5 xPts
  • L11 OctA · 1.FC Köln1–21.1 xPts
  • L19 SepH · FSV Mainz 053–41.3 xPts
  • L12 SepA · SC Freiburg0–50.7 xPts
  • L5 SepH · SV Elversberg3–41.6 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
FC Augsburg Borussia Mönchengladbach
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 8Low · 14
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match3.2Bundesliga 2026-2027, 9 Jan3.2Bundesliga 2026-2027, 9 Jan
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km447 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways269 km0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days1 / 1 / 21 / 1 / 2
Next matchdays after this one3.83.8

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

FC Augsburg Last XI · not confirmed
3-4-2-1 · vs SV Elversberg (A) 3–4, 17 Oct
1F. Dahmen(G)
2C. Brackelmann 5C. Matsima 35A. Bah
16Hennes Behrens 32F. Rieder 4H. Massengo 27M. Wolf
21A. Ibrahimović 19Robin Fellhauer
9Rodrigo Ribeiro
Borussia Mönchengladbach Last XI · not confirmed
4-4-2 · vs 1899 Hoffenheim (H) 1–2, 18 Oct
1M. Nicolas(G)
26L. Ullrich 2F. Chiarodia 4K. Diks 16P. Sander
36W. Mohya 10F. Neuhaus 47Z. Uno 29J. Scally
3I. Lidberg 38A. Bolin

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
FC Augsburg Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Borussia Mönchengladbach Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

FC Augsburg · Home 1.67points per game · 3 home games
W-D-L
1-2-0
Scored
2.33
Conceded
1.33
Borussia Mönchengladbach · Away 0.00points per game · 3 away games
W-D-L
0-0-3
Scored
0.33
Conceded
3.33

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 1 this season

OpponentFC AugsburgBorussia Mönchengladbach
SV Elversberg L 3–4 A L 3–4 H
Points0 of 3 · 0.00 per game0 of 3 · 0.00 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 10 of 10 meetings

6 FC Augsburg wins1 draws3 Borussia Mönchengladbach wins
Goals per game1.80 – 1.60 Over 2.570% Both scored50% Clean sheets30% · 20%
  • 9 May 2026FC Augsburg3–1Borussia Mönchengladbach
  • 11 Jan 2026Borussia Mönchengladbach4–0FC Augsburg
  • 22 Feb 2025Borussia Mönchengladbach0–3FC Augsburg
  • 4 Oct 2024FC Augsburg2–1Borussia Mönchengladbach
  • 21 Jan 2024Borussia Mönchengladbach1–2FC Augsburg
  • 19 Aug 2023FC Augsburg4–4Borussia Mönchengladbach

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

FC AugsburgBorussia MönchengladbachForecast
Scored per game 2.671.33
Conceded per game 2.003.33
Match goals 4.674.67
Over 1.5 100%100%
Over 2.5 100%100%
Over 3.5 83%50%
Both teams scored 83%67%
Clean sheets 17%0%
Failed to score 0%33%
Games66
FC AugsburgBorussia MönchengladbachForecast
Scored per game 2.301.40
Conceded per game 1.902.30
Match goals 4.203.70
Over 1.5 100%80%
Over 2.5 90%80%
Over 3.5 80%50%
Both teams scored 80%50%
Clean sheets 10%30%
Failed to score 10%30%
Games1010

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

FC AugsburgBorussia MönchengladbachLeague
Corners
Corners won6.006.00
Corners conceded6.835.50
Match total12.8311.5010.72
Over 8.583% 5/683% 5/6
Over 9.583% 5/667% 4/6
Over 10.583% 5/650% 3/6
Cards
Cards1.833.00
Opponent cards1.501.83
Match total3.334.833.51
Over 3.533% 2/683% 5/6
Over 4.517% 1/633% 2/6
FC AugsburgBorussia MönchengladbachLeague
Corners
Corners won5.804.60
Corners conceded6.105.30
Match total11.909.9010.72
Over 8.580% 8/1070% 7/10
Over 9.580% 8/1060% 6/10
Over 10.570% 7/1040% 4/10
Cards
Cards1.603.10
Opponent cards1.702.10
Match total3.305.203.51
Over 3.540% 4/1090% 9/10
Over 4.510% 1/1040% 4/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Goal timing

FC Augsburg6 games · scored 16 · conceded 12
1 3 0-15
2 2 16-30
1 31-45
5 1 46-60
2 1 61-75
5 5 76-90
Borussia Mönchengladbach6 games · scored 8 · conceded 20
2 1 0-15
6 16-30
2 1 31-45
3 2 46-60
3 61-75
1 7 76-90
FC Augsburg10 games · scored 23 · conceded 19
1 4 0-15
4 2 16-30
4 1 31-45
5 2 46-60
4 3 61-75
5 7 76-90
Borussia Mönchengladbach10 games · scored 14 · conceded 23
3 1 0-15
1 7 16-30
2 2 31-45
3 2 46-60
4 61-75
5 7 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.

Next fixtures Bundesliga

View all fixtures →
Bayern München Bayer Leverkusen Jan 1219:30 SC Freiburg Hamburger SV Jan 1219:30 FSV Mainz 05 1899 Hoffenheim Jan 1219:30 FC Augsburg Borussia Mönchengladbach Jan 1219:30 RB Leipzig VfB Stuttgart Jan 1219:30 FC Schalke 04 Werder Bremen Jan 1219:30 Union Berlin SC Paderborn 07 Jan 1219:30 1.FC Köln Borussia Dortmund Jan 1219:30 SV Elversberg Eintracht Frankfurt Jan 1219:30