Bundesliga Gameweek 11 Sun, Nov 23 2025 · 16:30 Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg
FC St. Pauli
0–1 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 0.70 – 0.41
Union Berlin
  • 44’ R. Khedira
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Khedira goal decides it for Union Berlin

Union Berlin entered as narrow favourites and won 1–0 through a Khedira goal. The chances were even, with xG of 0.70 and 0.41. On the chances created, FC St. Pauli deserved more: 1.6 expected points against the 0 points they took.

FC St. Pauli32%
Draw27%
Union Berlin ✓41%

Model vs reality

FC St. Pauli goals
0
Model 1.29 · xG 0.70
Union Berlin goals
1
Model 1.47 · xG 0.41
Total goals
1
Model 2.76 · xG 1.11
Score 0–1
9%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 52%
Both scored
No
Model 56%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchL. QuerfeldUnion Berlin
7.6
  • RefereeTobias Stieler
  • CoachesA. Blessin · —
  • VenueMillerntor-Stadion
  • Table before kick-offFC St. Pauli 16th · Union Berlin 12th

Timeline

  1. J. FujitaYellow card · Roughing
    38’
  2. R. Khedira 0–1Assist A. Ilić
    44’
  3. Half time · 0–1
  4. R. KhediraYellow card · Holding
    46’
  5. ⇄ D. SinaniFor A. Hountondji
    64’
  6. ⇄ A. CeesayFor J. Irvine
    64’
  7. ⇄ A. KrálFor A. Ilić
    65’
  8. ⇄ W. JeongFor O. Burke
    72’
  9. ⇄ D. KöhnFor T. Rothe
    73’
  10. ⇄ J. HabererFor A. Kemlein
    73’
  11. ⇄ C. MetcalfeFor Arkadiusz Pyrka
    73’
  12. ⇄ T. SkarkeFor Ilyas Ansah
    82’
  13. ⇄ M. KaarsFor M. Pereira Lage
    87’
  14. Full time · 0–1

Team stats

FC St. Pauli13 shots · 8 in box, 5 outside
Union Berlin8 shots · 7 in box, 1 outside
FC St. PauliUnion Berlin
59% Possession 41%
0.70 Expected goals (xG) 0.41
1.57 Expected points (xPts) 1.00
13 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 3
6 Shots off target 3
4 Blocked shots 2
8 Shots inside the box 7
5 Shots outside the box 1
566 Passes 404
77% Pass accuracy 74%
8 Corners 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
10 Fouls 8
1 Offsides 2
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
6.80 Team rating 6.87

Line-ups

FC St. Pauli 3-5-2

226.7 N. Vasilj(G)
37.2 K. Mets 86.9 E. Smith 57.2 H. Wahl
236.7 Louis Oppie 76.7 J. Irvine ↓64’ 66.9 J. Sands 166.9 J. Fujita 116.9 Arkadiusz Pyrka ↓73’
286.7 M. Pereira Lage ↓87’ 276.0 A. Hountondji ↓64’
  • 22N. Vasilj (G)6.7
  • 3K. Mets7.2
  • 8E. Smith6.9
  • 5H. Wahl7.2
  • 23Louis Oppie6.7
  • 7J. Irvine↓64’6.7
  • 6J. Sands6.9
  • 16J. Fujita6.9
  • 11Arkadiusz Pyrka↓73’6.9
  • 28M. Pereira Lage↓87’6.7
  • 27A. Hountondji↓64’6.0

Substitutes used

  • 9A. Ceesay↑64’6.3
  • 10D. Sinani↑64’6.7
  • 24C. Metcalfe↑73’6.7
  • 19M. Kaars↑87’

Unused: B. Voll, L. Ritzka, F. Stevens, Jannik Thomas Robatsch, R. Jones

Coach: A. Blessin

Union Berlin 3-4-2-1

17.2 F. Rønnow(G)
47.3 Diogo Leite 147.6★ L. Querfeld 57.2 D. Doekhi
156.6 T. Rothe ↓73’ 66.6 A. Kemlein ↓73’ 87.2 R. Khedira 286.7 C. Trimmel
106.7 Ilyas Ansah ↓82’ 76.3 O. Burke ↓72’
236.2 A. Ilić A↓65’
  • 1F. Rønnow (G)7.2
  • 4Diogo Leite7.3
  • 14L. Querfeld ★7.6
  • 5D. Doekhi7.2
  • 15T. Rothe↓73’6.6
  • 6A. Kemlein↓73’6.6
  • 8R. Khedira7.2
  • 28C. Trimmel6.7
  • 10Ilyas Ansah↓82’6.7
  • 7O. Burke↓72’6.3
  • 23A. IlićA↓65’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 33A. Král↑65’6.6
  • 39D. Köhn↑73’6.3
  • 11W. Jeong↑72’6.2
  • 19J. Haberer↑73’6.7
  • 21T. Skarke↑82’6.3

Unused: Matheo Raab, S. Nsoki, Livan Burcu, M. Ljubičić

Player stats

Top rated
L. QuerfeldUnion Berlin7.6
2nd
Diogo LeiteUnion Berlin7.3
3rd
K. MetsFC St. Pauli7.2

FC St. Pauli

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
N. Vasilj G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 72% 25 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
K. Mets D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 85% 81 3 3 0/0 1/0 7.2
E. Smith M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 74 3 2 0/0 0/0 6.9
H. Wahl D 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 79% 80 4 3 0/0 1/0 7.2
Louis Oppie D 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 78% 41 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
J. Irvine M 64 0 0 0 (0) 1 74% 31 0 0 0/1 0/1 6.7
J. Sands M 90 0 0 1 (0) 2 77% 56 2 2 0/0 2/2 6.9
J. Fujita M 90 0 0 1 (1) 1 65% 52 3 0 3/5 1/2 6.9
Arkadiusz Pyrka M 73 0 0 0 (0) 0 78% 45 3 0 0/1 1/0 6.9
M. Pereira Lage M 87 0 0 2 (0) 0 55% 31 3 0 1/1 1/2 6.7
A. Hountondji F 64 0 0 0 (0) 1 60% 10 0 0 1/2 0/0 6.0
A. Ceesay F 26 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 5 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.3
D. Sinani M 26 0 0 2 (1) 2 80% 10 0 0 1/2 1/0 6.7
C. Metcalfe M 17 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 8 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
M. Kaars F 3 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 —

Union Berlin

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
F. Rønnow G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 55% 29 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.2
Diogo Leite D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 60 1 0 0/0 2/1 7.3
L. Querfeld D 90 0 0 1 (1) 1 87% 68 0 0 0/0 0/1 7.6
D. Doekhi D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 83% 54 4 0 1/1 2/0 7.2
T. Rothe D 73 0 0 1 (0) 0 69% 29 2 3 2/3 1/1 6.6
A. Kemlein M 73 0 0 0 (0) 0 76% 34 0 1 1/1 0/0 6.6
R. Khedira M 90 1 0 1 (1) 0 63% 19 1 1 0/0 1/1 7.2
C. Trimmel D 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 61% 46 0 0 0/1 0/0 6.7
Ilyas Ansah F 82 0 0 0 (0) 0 79% 14 0 1 0/1 0/3 6.7
O. Burke F 72 0 0 0 (0) 1 83% 12 1 0 0/5 1/0 6.3
A. Ilić F 65 0 1 1 (1) 1 44% 9 0 0 0/1 0/1 6.2
A. Král M 25 0 0 0 (0) 1 60% 5 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
D. Köhn D 17 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 6 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
W. Jeong M 18 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 4 0 0 0/1 0/0 6.2
J. Haberer M 17 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 5 1 0 0/0 1/0 6.7
T. Skarke M 8 0 0 1 (0) 0 0% 1 1 0 0/0 0/1 6.3

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.