FC Volendam
Attack—
Defense risk—
Our take
Twente were slight favourites.
Twente were the stronger side on L90 Strength (34 vs 14). Absences weigh more on Twente. FC Volendam had 14 days of rest, Twente 14.9 and had to travel 128 km.
Away travel128 kmRest days14 · 14.9Matches / 14d1 · 0
FC Volendam29%
Draw26%
Twente45%
FC Volendam28%
Draw27%
Twente45%
FC Volendam28%
Draw26%
Twente46%
FC Volendam23%
Draw24%
Twente53%
FC Volendam29%
Draw27%
Twente44%
Over 2.5 54%
Both score 57%
Likeliest score 1–1
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (Volendam)
No weather data yet
Referee · NetherlandsStan Teuben
Team strength
FC Volendam
Twente
14
L90 StrengthIn forecast
34
14
Current StrengthIn forecast
45
14
AttackIn forecast
41
19
DefenceIn forecast
49
—
Form indexContext
—
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisTwente
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
FC VolendamTwente
1.33
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.67
1.67
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.50
1.03
xGVia Att/Def
1.75
1.53
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.13
+0.30
Goals minus xGContext
-0.08
83%
Scored inContext
67%
8%
Clean sheetsContext
8%
10.67
ShotsContext
17.42
3.67
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
6.00
34%
On target shareContext
34%
6.67
Shots in the boxContext
10.92
62%
Box shareContext
63%
13%
ConversionContext
10%
1.40
OffsidesContext
1.43
17.50
Shots allowedContext
10.17
5.25
On target allowedVia Att/Def
3.91
5.50
BlocksContext
3.25
3.92
Goalkeeper savesContext
2.27
75%
Save rateContext
58%
45%
PossessionIn forecast
55%
367
PassesContext
457
297
Accurate passesContext
372
81%
Pass accuracyContext
81%
6.82
Team ratingContext
6.86
9.50
FoulsContext
11.75
12.17
Fouls sufferedContext
10.42
1.25
Yellow cardsContext
1.83
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.08
1.30
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
2.00
1.70
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.50
1.15
xGVia Att/Def
1.90
1.58
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.12
+0.15
Goals minus xGContext
+0.10
80%
Scored inContext
80%
10%
Clean sheetsContext
10%
11.50
ShotsContext
17.40
3.80
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
6.40
33%
On target shareContext
37%
7.20
Shots in the boxContext
11.00
63%
Box shareContext
64%
11%
ConversionContext
12%
1.25
OffsidesContext
1.60
17.30
Shots allowedContext
10.00
5.40
On target allowedVia Att/Def
4.11
5.10
BlocksContext
3.20
4.10
Goalkeeper savesContext
2.33
76%
Save rateContext
57%
47%
PossessionIn forecast
56%
375
PassesContext
460
305
Accurate passesContext
379
81%
Pass accuracyContext
82%
6.83
Team ratingContext
6.90
9.50
FoulsContext
11.60
12.80
Fouls sufferedContext
9.90
1.30
Yellow cardsContext
2.00
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.10
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
FC Volendam
Rest14 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Twente
Rest14.9 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel128 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| FC Volendam |
Twente |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 0 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 14Eredivisie 2025-2026, 8 Nov | 14.9Eredivisie 2025-2026, 7 Nov |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 128 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 0 km | 0 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 0 / 1 / 3 | 0 / 0 / 3 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 7.7 | 7.9 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
FC Volendam
Confirmed XI
1K. van Oevelen(G)
32Y. Leliendal
20N. Verschuren
3M. Amevor
5P. Ugwu
18N. Bukala
8G. Yah
11A. Oehlers
40R. van Cruijsen
10B. Kuwas
9H. Veerman
Twente
Confirmed XI
1L. Unnerstall(G)
39M. Rots
43Ruud Nijstad
23S. Lemkin
28B. van Rooij
20T. van den Belt
6R. Zerrouki
27S. Ørjasæter
11D. Rots
7M. Pjaca
9R. van Wolfswinkel
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences FC Volendam
Absences are shown before kick-off
Twente
Scores -0.03 · concedes +0.04 goals Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
- FC Volendam+1.4 pp
- Draw+0.1 pp
- Twente-1.5 pp
Home / Away this season
FC Volendam · Home
1.83points per game · 6 home games
- W-D-L
- 3-2-1
- Scored
- 1.83
- Conceded
- 1.17
Twente · Away
1.33points per game · 6 away games
- W-D-L
- 2-2-2
- Scored
- 1.83
- Conceded
- 1.33
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Common opponents 8 this season
| Opponent | FC Volendam | Twente |
|---|---|---|
| NAC Breda | W 2–1 H | D 2–2 H |
| Heracles | W 3–0 H | W 2–1 H |
| Fortuna Sittard | L 0–1 A | W 3–2 H |
| PEC Zwolle | W 2–1 H | L 0–1 A |
| Excelsior | L 1–2 H | L 0–1 A |
| Ajax | D 1–1 H | L 2–3 H |
| Telstar | D 2–2 A | D 0–0 H |
| Heerenveen | D 1–1 A | W 2–1 A |
| Points | 12 of 24 · 1.50 per game | 11 of 24 · 1.38 per game |
League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.
Head to head last 1 of 1 meetings
0 FC Volendam wins0 draws1 Twente wins
Goals per game0.00 – 2.00
Over 2.50%
Both scored0%
Clean sheets0% · 100%
- 3 Sep 2023FC Volendam0–2Twente
All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.
Goals & match trends
| FC Volendam | Twente | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.33 | 1.67 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.67 | 1.50 | |
| Match goals | 3.00 | 3.17 | 2.83 |
| Over 1.5 | 92% | 75% | |
| Over 2.5 | 75% | 58% | 54% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 42% | |
| Both teams scored | 75% | 67% | 57% |
| Clean sheets | 8% | 8% | |
| Failed to score | 17% | 33% | |
| Games | 12 | 12 |
| FC Volendam | Twente | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.30 | 2.00 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.70 | 1.50 | |
| Match goals | 3.00 | 3.50 | 2.83 |
| Over 1.5 | 90% | 80% | |
| Over 2.5 | 80% | 70% | 54% |
| Over 3.5 | 30% | 50% | |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 80% | 57% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 10% | |
| Failed to score | 20% | 20% | |
| Games | 10 | 10 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| FC Volendam | Twente | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 4.18 | 4.75 | |
| Corners conceded | 6.09 | 3.42 | |
| Match total | 10.27 | 8.17 | 9.93 |
| Over 8.5 | 73% 8/11 | 33% 4/12 | |
| Over 9.5 | 64% 7/11 | 25% 3/12 | |
| Over 10.5 | 45% 5/11 | 25% 3/12 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 1.25 | 2.00 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.08 | 2.17 | |
| Match total | 3.33 | 4.17 | 3.57 |
| Over 3.5 | 42% 5/12 | 50% 6/12 | |
| Over 4.5 | 33% 4/12 | 50% 6/12 | |
| FC Volendam | Twente | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 4.56 | 4.50 | |
| Corners conceded | 6.00 | 3.30 | |
| Match total | 10.56 | 7.80 | 9.93 |
| Over 8.5 | 78% 7/9 | 30% 3/10 | |
| Over 9.5 | 67% 6/9 | 20% 2/10 | |
| Over 10.5 | 44% 4/9 | 20% 2/10 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 1.30 | 2.20 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.10 | 2.00 | |
| Match total | 3.40 | 4.20 | 3.57 |
| Over 3.5 | 40% 4/10 | 50% 5/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 40% 4/10 | 50% 5/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Goal timing
FC Volendam12 games · scored 16 · conceded 20
1
5
0-15
2
3
16-30
3
5
31-45
4
2
46-60
4
2
61-75
2
3
76-90
Twente12 games · scored 20 · conceded 18
3
3
0-15
1
2
16-30
1
1
31-45
6
5
46-60
3
2
61-75
6
5
76-90
FC Volendam10 games · scored 13 · conceded 17
4
0-15
2
2
16-30
3
5
31-45
4
1
46-60
2
2
61-75
2
3
76-90
Twente10 games · scored 20 · conceded 15
3
1
0-15
1
2
16-30
1
1
31-45
6
4
46-60
3
2
61-75
6
5
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Beta
Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.
