Eredivisie Gameweek 18 Sun, Jan 10 · 13:30 Stadion Feijenoord, Rotterdam
Feyenoord 1st · 23 pts · 9 played
VS— Compare
PSV Eindhoven 3rd · 19 pts · 9 played
Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel87 kmRest days21 · 20.8Matches / 14d0 · 0
Real contextStrength only
Feyenoord—%
Draw—%
PSV Eindhoven—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (Rotterdam)

Forecast from 26 Dec

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Feyenoord and PSV Eindhoven. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Streaks insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Team strength

FeyenoordPSV Eindhoven
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
59 Current StrengthIn forecast 71
76 AttackIn forecast 60
61 DefenceIn forecast 64
92 Form indexContext 32
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Feyenoord

Attack—
Defense risk—

PSV Eindhoven

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

FeyenoordPSV Eindhoven
3.44 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 3.00
1.11 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.33
2.90 xGVia Att/Def 2.43
1.05 xG allowedVia Att/Def 0.91
+0.54 Goals minus xGContext +0.57
100% Scored inContext 100%
44% Clean sheetsContext 11%
21.33 ShotsContext 19.44
8.22 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 7.11
39% On target shareContext 37%
15.00 Shots in the boxContext 13.44
70% Box shareContext 71%
16% ConversionContext 15%
1.83 OffsidesContext 2.00
11.11 Shots allowedContext 10.89
3.88 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.44
3.25 BlocksContext 3.29
2.44 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.25
71% Save rateContext 67%
54% PossessionIn forecast 61%
490 PassesContext 573
428 Accurate passesContext 508
87% Pass accuracyContext 89%
7.22 Team ratingContext 7.01
8.78 FoulsContext 9.78
12.22 Fouls sufferedContext 9.89
1.22 Yellow cardsContext 1.56
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00
This league season, per match · 9 and 9 games
3.40 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.60
1.70 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.20
2.42 xGVia Att/Def 2.27
1.09 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.11
+0.98 Goals minus xGContext +0.33
100% Scored inContext 90%
30% Clean sheetsContext 10%
18.70 ShotsContext 17.30
7.50 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 6.50
40% On target shareContext 38%
12.80 Shots in the boxContext 11.60
68% Box shareContext 67%
18% ConversionContext 15%
2.71 OffsidesContext 2.22
12.50 Shots allowedContext 11.70
4.50 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.20
3.67 BlocksContext 3.56
2.80 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.22
62% Save rateContext 71%
50% PossessionIn forecast 58%
473 PassesContext 526
410 Accurate passesContext 464
87% Pass accuracyContext 88%
7.06 Team ratingContext 6.95
10.20 FoulsContext 10.50
12.70 Fouls sufferedContext 11.00
1.30 Yellow cardsContext 1.80
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Feyenoord
Rest21 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 92 · 15 pts vs 8.3 for an average club · +5.2 vs expected
  • W17 OctA · Telstar4–32.1 xPts
  • W14 OctH · Como3–21.6 xPts
  • W10 OctH · AZ Alkmaar2–01.8 xPts
  • W20 SepH · Utrecht5–02.3 xPts
  • W13 SepA · PEC Zwolle7–02.0 xPts
PSV Eindhoven
Rest20.8 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel87 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 32 · 6 pts vs 8.1 for an average club · -4.7 vs expected
  • L17 OctA · ADO Den Haag1–22.4 xPts
  • L13 OctA · RB Leipzig0–11.2 xPts
  • W9 OctH · Heerenveen2–02.5 xPts
  • L20 SepA · Twente2–31.8 xPts
  • W13 SepH · Sparta Rotterdam4–12.7 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Feyenoord PSV Eindhoven
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match21Eredivisie 2026-2027, 20 Dec20.8Eredivisie 2026-2027, 20 Dec
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km87 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways0 km0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days0 / 0 / 20 / 0 / 1
Next matchdays after this one6.26.3

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Feyenoord Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs Telstar (A) 4–3, 17 Oct
1T. Ernst(G)
35Mika Màrmol 24T. Kraaijeveld 4T. Watanabe 26G. Read
34C. Vanhoutte 8G. Zechiël
27G. Diarra 14S. Steijn 23A. Hadj Moussa
19Nacho Ferri
PSV Eindhoven Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs ADO Den Haag (A) 1–2, 17 Oct
32M. Kovář(G)
18F. Kostić 4A. Obispo 2L. Geertruida 8S. Dest
17Mauro Júnior 24K. Sano
35A. Santos 20G. Til 27D. Man
21S. Mijnans

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Feyenoord Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
PSV Eindhoven Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Feyenoord · Home 2.00points per game · 4 home games
W-D-L
2-2-0
Scored
2.75
Conceded
1.00
PSV Eindhoven · Away 1.80points per game · 5 away games
W-D-L
3-0-2
Scored
2.80
Conceded
1.60

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 3 this season

OpponentFeyenoordPSV Eindhoven
Utrecht W 5–0 H W 6–1 A
ADO Den Haag D 2–2 H L 1–2 A
Sparta Rotterdam W 1–0 A W 4–1 H
Points7 of 9 · 2.33 per game6 of 9 · 2.00 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 5 of 5 meetings

0 Feyenoord wins0 draws5 PSV Eindhoven wins
Goals per game1.00 – 2.80 Over 2.5100% Both scored60% Clean sheets0% · 40%
  • 1 Feb 2026PSV Eindhoven3–0Feyenoord
  • 26 Oct 2025Feyenoord2–3PSV Eindhoven
  • 11 May 2025Feyenoord2–3PSV Eindhoven
  • 22 Dec 2024PSV Eindhoven3–0Feyenoord
  • 3 Dec 2023Feyenoord1–2PSV Eindhoven

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

FeyenoordPSV EindhovenForecast
Scored per game 3.443.00
Conceded per game 1.111.33
Match goals 4.564.33
Over 1.5 89%100%
Over 2.5 78%89%
Over 3.5 78%67%
Both teams scored 56%89%
Clean sheets 44%11%
Failed to score 0%0%
Games99
FeyenoordPSV EindhovenForecast
Scored per game 3.402.60
Conceded per game 1.701.20
Match goals 5.103.80
Over 1.5 100%90%
Over 2.5 90%70%
Over 3.5 90%50%
Both teams scored 70%80%
Clean sheets 30%10%
Failed to score 0%10%
Games1010

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

FeyenoordPSV EindhovenLeague
Corners
Corners won6.225.29
Corners conceded4.113.86
Match total10.339.1510.39
Over 8.567% 6/957% 4/7
Over 9.567% 6/957% 4/7
Over 10.567% 6/943% 3/7
Cards
Cards1.221.67
Opponent cards1.442.00
Match total2.663.672.77
Over 3.544% 4/933% 3/9
Over 4.511% 1/933% 3/9
FeyenoordPSV EindhovenLeague
Corners
Corners won5.205.44
Corners conceded3.703.89
Match total8.909.3310.39
Over 8.550% 5/1056% 5/9
Over 9.550% 5/1056% 5/9
Over 10.550% 5/1044% 4/9
Cards
Cards1.301.90
Opponent cards1.402.40
Match total2.704.302.77
Over 3.540% 4/1040% 4/10
Over 4.520% 2/1040% 4/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Goal timing

Feyenoord9 games · scored 31 · conceded 10
4 1 0-15
5 1 16-30
8 1 31-45
5 2 46-60
7 3 61-75
2 2 76-90
PSV Eindhoven9 games · scored 27 · conceded 12
4 4 0-15
5 1 16-30
5 1 31-45
4 2 46-60
3 61-75
6 4 76-90
Feyenoord10 games · scored 34 · conceded 17
4 2 0-15
6 3 16-30
7 1 31-45
6 3 46-60
7 3 61-75
4 5 76-90
PSV Eindhoven10 games · scored 26 · conceded 12
4 4 0-15
5 1 16-30
5 1 31-45
4 2 46-60
2 1 61-75
6 3 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.

Next fixtures Eredivisie

View all fixtures →
Twente Fortuna Sittard Jan 819:00 Sparta Rotterdam Excelsior Jan 915:30 PEC Zwolle Utrecht Jan 917:45 Willem II Ajax Jan 919:00 AZ Alkmaar Heerenveen Jan 920:00 NEC Nijmegen Cambuur Jan 1011:15 ADO Den Haag Telstar Jan 1013:30 Feyenoord PSV Eindhoven Jan 1013:30 Groningen GO Ahead Eagles Jan 1015:45