Eredivisie Gameweek 28 Sun, Apr 4 · 16:00 Fortuna Sittard Stadion, Sittard
Fortuna Sittard 6th · 15 pts · 9 played
VS— Compare
Feyenoord 1st · 23 pts · 9 played
Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel141 kmRest days14 · 14Matches / 14d1 · 1
Real contextStrength only
Fortuna Sittard—%
Draw—%
Feyenoord—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (Sittard)

Forecast from 20 Mar

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Fortuna Sittard and Feyenoord. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Streaks insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Team strength

Fortuna SittardFeyenoord
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
21 Current StrengthIn forecast 59
19 AttackIn forecast 76
19 DefenceIn forecast 61
45 Form indexContext 92
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Fortuna Sittard

Attack—
Defense risk—

Feyenoord

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Fortuna SittardFeyenoord
1.78 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 3.44
1.89 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.11
0.93 xGVia Att/Def 2.90
2.39 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.05
+0.85 Goals minus xGContext +0.54
89% Scored inContext 100%
11% Clean sheetsContext 44%
10.00 ShotsContext 21.33
4.44 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 8.22
44% On target shareContext 39%
5.56 Shots in the boxContext 15.00
57% Box shareContext 70%
18% ConversionContext 16%
2.14 OffsidesContext 1.83
19.33 Shots allowedContext 11.11
6.22 On target allowedVia Att/Def 3.88
5.22 BlocksContext 3.25
4.44 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.44
71% Save rateContext 71%
35% PossessionIn forecast 54%
316 PassesContext 490
243 Accurate passesContext 428
77% Pass accuracyContext 87%
6.79 Team ratingContext 7.22
9.22 FoulsContext 8.78
11.67 Fouls sufferedContext 12.22
1.44 Yellow cardsContext 1.22
0.11 Red cardsContext 0.00
This league season, per match · 9 and 9 games
1.60 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 3.40
1.90 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.70
0.84 xGVia Att/Def 2.42
2.35 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.09
+0.76 Goals minus xGContext +0.98
80% Scored inContext 100%
10% Clean sheetsContext 30%
10.20 ShotsContext 18.70
4.20 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 7.50
41% On target shareContext 40%
5.20 Shots in the boxContext 12.80
53% Box shareContext 68%
16% ConversionContext 18%
2.00 OffsidesContext 2.71
19.20 Shots allowedContext 12.50
6.10 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.50
5.20 BlocksContext 3.67
4.30 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.80
71% Save rateContext 62%
36% PossessionIn forecast 50%
318 PassesContext 473
245 Accurate passesContext 410
77% Pass accuracyContext 87%
6.77 Team ratingContext 7.06
9.10 FoulsContext 10.20
11.30 Fouls sufferedContext 12.70
1.40 Yellow cardsContext 1.30
0.10 Red cardsContext 0.00
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Fortuna Sittard
Rest14 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km366 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 45 · 8 pts vs 8.6 for an average club · +2.7 vs expected
  • D18 OctA · NEC Nijmegen2–20.9 xPts
  • D10 OctH · Twente1–10.9 xPts
  • W19 SepA · Willem II1–01.4 xPts
  • L12 SepH · Ajax1–50.9 xPts
  • W6 SepA · ADO Den Haag3–21.3 xPts
Feyenoord
Rest14 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel141 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 92 · 15 pts vs 8.3 for an average club · +5.2 vs expected
  • W17 OctA · Telstar4–32.1 xPts
  • W14 OctH · Como3–21.6 xPts
  • W10 OctH · AZ Alkmaar2–01.8 xPts
  • W20 SepH · Utrecht5–02.3 xPts
  • W13 SepA · PEC Zwolle7–02.0 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Fortuna Sittard Feyenoord
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match14Eredivisie 2026-2027, 21 Mar14Eredivisie 2026-2027, 21 Mar
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km141 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways366 km0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days0 / 1 / 30 / 1 / 3
Next matchdays after this one77

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Fortuna Sittard Last XI · not confirmed
5-3-2 · vs NEC Nijmegen (A) 2–2, 18 Oct
31M. Branderhorst(G)
28J. Hubner 23P. Brittijn 3R. Guth 6S. van Ottele 12Ivo Pinto
22S. ’t Zand 20É. Michut 14S. Simons
25L. Zeefuik 9A. Descotte
Feyenoord Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs Telstar (A) 4–3, 17 Oct
1T. Ernst(G)
35Mika Màrmol 24T. Kraaijeveld 4T. Watanabe 26G. Read
34C. Vanhoutte 8G. Zechiël
27G. Diarra 14S. Steijn 23A. Hadj Moussa
19Nacho Ferri

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Fortuna Sittard Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Feyenoord Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Fortuna Sittard · Home 1.00points per game · 4 home games
W-D-L
1-1-2
Scored
1.25
Conceded
2.25
Feyenoord · Away 3.00points per game · 5 away games
W-D-L
5-0-0
Scored
4.00
Conceded
1.20

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 4 this season

OpponentFortuna SittardFeyenoord
NEC Nijmegen D 2–2 A W 3–1 A
ADO Den Haag W 3–2 A D 2–2 H
AZ Alkmaar L 0–2 H W 2–0 H
Cambuur W 3–1 H W 5–2 A
Points7 of 12 · 1.75 per game10 of 12 · 2.50 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 5 of 5 meetings

0 Fortuna Sittard wins2 draws3 Feyenoord wins
Goals per game0.40 – 1.40 Over 2.520% Both scored40% Clean sheets20% · 60%
  • 3 May 2026Fortuna Sittard1–2Feyenoord
  • 17 Sep 2025Feyenoord2–0Fortuna Sittard
  • 12 Apr 2025Fortuna Sittard0–2Feyenoord
  • 30 Nov 2024Feyenoord1–1Fortuna Sittard
  • 13 Aug 2023Feyenoord0–0Fortuna Sittard

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

Fortuna SittardFeyenoordForecast
Scored per game 1.783.44
Conceded per game 1.891.11
Match goals 3.674.56
Over 1.5 89%89%
Over 2.5 67%78%
Over 3.5 67%78%
Both teams scored 78%56%
Clean sheets 11%44%
Failed to score 11%0%
Games99
Fortuna SittardFeyenoordForecast
Scored per game 1.603.40
Conceded per game 1.901.70
Match goals 3.505.10
Over 1.5 90%100%
Over 2.5 60%90%
Over 3.5 60%90%
Both teams scored 70%70%
Clean sheets 10%30%
Failed to score 20%0%
Games1010

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

Fortuna SittardFeyenoordLeague
Corners
Corners won3.336.22
Corners conceded8.674.11
Match total12.0010.3310.39
Over 8.583% 5/667% 6/9
Over 9.567% 4/667% 6/9
Over 10.567% 4/667% 6/9
Cards
Cards1.561.22
Opponent cards1.781.44
Match total3.342.662.77
Over 3.544% 4/944% 4/9
Over 4.522% 2/911% 1/9
Fortuna SittardFeyenoordLeague
Corners
Corners won3.435.20
Corners conceded7.713.70
Match total11.148.9010.39
Over 8.571% 5/750% 5/10
Over 9.557% 4/750% 5/10
Over 10.557% 4/750% 5/10
Cards
Cards1.501.30
Opponent cards1.601.40
Match total3.102.702.77
Over 3.540% 4/1040% 4/10
Over 4.520% 2/1020% 2/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Goal timing

Fortuna Sittard9 games · scored 16 · conceded 17
4 0-15
3 3 16-30
2 2 31-45
2 3 46-60
2 3 61-75
3 6 76-90
Feyenoord9 games · scored 31 · conceded 10
4 1 0-15
5 1 16-30
8 1 31-45
5 2 46-60
7 3 61-75
2 2 76-90
Fortuna Sittard10 games · scored 16 · conceded 19
4 0-15
3 3 16-30
2 3 31-45
2 3 46-60
2 4 61-75
3 6 76-90
Feyenoord10 games · scored 34 · conceded 17
4 2 0-15
6 3 16-30
7 1 31-45
6 3 46-60
7 3 61-75
4 5 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.

Next fixtures Eredivisie

View all fixtures →
Ajax Twente Apr 416:00 Willem II Utrecht Apr 416:00 Excelsior PEC Zwolle Apr 416:00 PSV Eindhoven AZ Alkmaar Apr 416:00 Fortuna Sittard Feyenoord Apr 416:00 Heerenveen Groningen Apr 416:00 GO Ahead Eagles NEC Nijmegen Apr 416:00 Cambuur Telstar Apr 416:00 Sparta Rotterdam ADO Den Haag Apr 416:00