Bundesliga Gameweek 29 Sun, Apr 12 2026 · 18:30 MEWA ARENA, Mainz
FSV Mainz 05
0–1 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 0.63 – 0.57
SC Freiburg
  • 47’ L. Höler
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Höler goal decides it for SC Freiburg

FSV Mainz 05 entered as narrow favourites, but SC Freiburg won 1–0 through a Höler goal. The chances were even, with xG of 0.63 and 0.57. On the chances created, FSV Mainz 05 deserved more: 1.3 expected points against the 0 points they took.

FSV Mainz 0544%
Draw27%
SC Freiburg ✓29%

Model vs reality

FSV Mainz 05 goals
0
Model 1.53 · xG 0.63
SC Freiburg goals
1
Model 1.20 · xG 0.57
Total goals
1
Model 2.73 · xG 1.20
Score 0–1
7%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 51%
Both scored
No
Model 55%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchJ. ManzambiSC Freiburg
7.7
  • RefereeFelix Zwayer
  • VenueMEWA ARENA
  • Table before kick-offFSV Mainz 05 9th · SC Freiburg 8th

Timeline

  1. B. OgbusYellow card · Roughing
    33’
  2. M. EggesteinYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    45+4’
  3. J. SchusterYellow card
    45+4’
  4. Half time · 0–0
  5. ⇄ P. LienhartFor B. Ogbus
    46’
  6. L. Höler 0–1Assist M. Ginter
    47’
  7. N. VeratschnigYellow card · Roughing
    55’
  8. ⇄ N. AmiriFor Sota Kawasaki
    62’
  9. ⇄ S. WidmerFor N. Veratschnig
    62’
  10. ⇄ J. BesteFor Cyriaque Irié
    64’
  11. ⇄ P. TreuFor L. Kübler
    64’
  12. L. HölerYellow card · Tripping
    73’
  13. ⇄ V. GrifoFor D. Scherhant
    74’
  14. ⇄ A. CaciFor P. Mwene
    74’
  15. ⇄ A. SiebFor P. Nebel
    74’
  16. ⇄ J. MakengoFor M. Ginter
    83’
  17. ⇄ N. WeiperFor D. da Costa
    83’
  18. Full time · 0–1

Team stats

FSV Mainz 0510 shots · 6 in box, 4 outside
SC Freiburg8 shots · 6 in box, 2 outside
FSV Mainz 05SC Freiburg
51% Possession 49%
0.63 Expected goals (xG) 0.57
1.35 Expected points (xPts) 1.23
10 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 3
6 Shots off target 2
1 Blocked shots 3
6 Shots inside the box 6
4 Shots outside the box 2
328 Passes 336
76% Pass accuracy 80%
6 Corners 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
10 Fouls 13
3 Offsides 2
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
6.77 Team rating 6.93

Line-ups

FSV Mainz 05 3-1-4-2

337.3 D. Batz(G)
316.6 D. Kohr 47.6 S. Posch 217.3 D. da Costa ↓83’
66.3 K. Sano
26.6 P. Mwene ↓74’ 86.6 P. Nebel ↓74’ 246.7 Sota Kawasaki ↓62’ 226.7 N. Veratschnig ↓62’
236.7 S. Becker 206.3 P. Tietz
  • 33D. Batz (G)7.3
  • 31D. Kohr6.6
  • 4S. Posch7.6
  • 21D. da Costa↓83’7.3
  • 6K. Sano6.3
  • 2P. Mwene↓74’6.6
  • 8P. Nebel↓74’6.6
  • 24Sota Kawasaki↓62’6.7
  • 22N. Veratschnig↓62’6.7
  • 23S. Becker6.7
  • 20P. Tietz6.3

Substitutes used

  • 10N. Amiri↑62’6.6
  • 30S. Widmer↑62’6.3
  • 19A. Caci↑74’6.6
  • 11A. Sieb↑74’6.6
  • 44N. Weiper↑83’6.3

Unused: L. Rieß, L. Maloney, K. Potulski, W. Bøving

SC Freiburg 4-2-3-1

17.2 N. Atubolu(G)
307.3 C. Günter 436.2 B. Ogbus ↓46’ 287.5 M. Ginter A↓83’ 176.7 L. Kübler ↓64’
447.7★ J. Manzambi 86.5 M. Eggestein
76.9 D. Scherhant ↓74’ 97.2 L. Höler 226.7 Cyriaque Irié ↓64’
316.3 I. Matanović
  • 1N. Atubolu (G)7.2
  • 30C. Günter7.3
  • 43B. Ogbus↓46’6.2
  • 28M. GinterA↓83’7.5
  • 17L. Kübler↓64’6.7
  • 44J. Manzambi ★7.7
  • 8M. Eggestein6.5
  • 7D. Scherhant↓74’6.9
  • 9L. Höler7.2
  • 22Cyriaque Irié↓64’6.7
  • 31I. Matanović6.3

Substitutes used

  • 3P. Lienhart↑46’6.6
  • 29P. Treu↑64’6.3
  • 19J. Beste↑64’6.7
  • 33J. Makengo↑83’6.6
  • 32V. Grifo↑74’6.7

Unused: M. Philipp, F. Müller, N. Höfler, Y. Suzuki

Player stats

Top rated
J. ManzambiSC Freiburg7.7
2nd
S. PoschFSV Mainz 057.6
3rd
M. GinterSC Freiburg7.5

FSV Mainz 05

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
D. Batz G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 78% 36 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.3
D. Kohr M 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 78% 37 2 1 0/0 0/2 6.6
S. Posch D 90 0 0 1 (1) 1 71% 51 6 0 1/2 1/1 7.6
D. da Costa D 83 0 0 1 (0) 0 76% 33 4 1 1/1 0/0 7.3
K. Sano M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 76% 37 0 1 0/0 0/1 6.3
P. Mwene D 74 0 0 0 (0) 1 77% 13 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.6
P. Nebel M 74 0 0 0 (0) 2 87% 15 1 0 1/1 1/1 6.6
Sota Kawasaki M 62 0 0 0 (0) 0 76% 17 1 0 0/0 1/0 6.7
N. Veratschnig D 62 0 0 1 (0) 0 62% 13 4 0 0/0 1/2 6.7
S. Becker F 90 0 0 2 (1) 2 69% 13 0 1 1/1 2/2 6.7
P. Tietz F 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 55% 20 1 1 1/1 1/0 6.3
N. Amiri M 28 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 15 1 0 1/1 0/0 6.6
S. Widmer D 28 0 0 2 (1) 0 100% 7 0 1 0/0 1/0 6.3
A. Caci D 16 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 12 2 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
A. Sieb M 16 0 0 1 (0) 0 100% 7 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.6
N. Weiper F 7 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 2 0 0 1/1 1/0 6.3

SC Freiburg

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
N. Atubolu G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 79% 34 0 0 0/0 0/1 7.2
C. Günter D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 73% 26 1 0 0/0 1/0 7.3
B. Ogbus D 46 0 0 0 (0) 0 92% 26 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.2
M. Ginter D 83 0 1 0 (0) 1 81% 48 0 1 0/0 1/1 7.5
L. Kübler D 64 0 0 0 (0) 1 88% 17 0 2 0/0 1/0 6.7
J. Manzambi M 90 0 0 2 (2) 0 84% 45 2 0 1/2 0/4 7.7
M. Eggestein M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 44 0 0 1/1 0/1 6.5
D. Scherhant F 74 0 0 0 (0) 2 75% 4 1 0 2/5 1/1 6.9
L. Höler F 90 1 0 1 (1) 1 58% 19 1 1 0/1 2/1 7.2
Cyriaque Irié F 64 0 0 0 (0) 0 90% 20 2 1 2/2 2/0 6.7
I. Matanović F 90 0 0 2 (0) 1 43% 14 3 0 0/1 3/0 6.3
P. Lienhart D 44 0 0 0 (0) 1 76% 21 0 1 0/0 0/0 6.6
P. Treu D 26 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 4 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
J. Beste D 26 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 6 1 0 1/1 1/0 6.7
J. Makengo D 7 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 5 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
V. Grifo M 16 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 3 0 1 0/1 0/0 6.7

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.