Bundesliga Gameweek 33 Sun, May 10 2026 · 18:30 MEWA ARENA, Mainz
FSV Mainz 05
1–3 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 1.50 – 2.67
Union Berlin
  • S. Becker 48’
  • 38’ A. Ilić
  • 88’ O. Burke
  • 90+1’ J. Juranović
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Union Berlin beat FSV Mainz 05

FSV Mainz 05 entered as clear favourites, but Union Berlin won 3–1 through goals from Ilić, Burke and Juranović. FSV Mainz 05 replied through a Becker goal. Union Berlin finished with the higher xG (2.67 vs 1.50). On the chances created, FSV Mainz 05 deserved more: 0.8 expected points against the 0 points they took.

FSV Mainz 0568%
Draw19%
Union Berlin ✓13%

Model vs reality

FSV Mainz 05 goals
1
Model 2.29 · xG 1.50
Union Berlin goals
3
Model 0.93 · xG 2.67
Total goals
4
Model 3.22 · xG 4.17
Score 1–3
1%
Most likely 2–0 (11%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 62%
Both scored
Yes
Model 55%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchC. TrimmelUnion Berlin
8.9
  • RefereeFlorian Exner
  • VenueMEWA ARENA
  • Table before kick-offFSV Mainz 05 10th · Union Berlin 13th

Timeline

  1. A. CaciYellow card · Foul
    7’
  2. ⇄ K. PotulskiFor D. da Costa
    16’
  3. A. Ilić 0–1Assist A. Kemlein
    38’
  4. Half time · 0–1
  5. S. Becker 1–1Assist P. Nebel
    48’
  6. VAR P. TietzGoal Disallowed - offside
    57’
  7. ⇄ W. JeongFor Livan Burcu
    60’
  8. ⇄ D. KöhnFor T. Rothe
    60’
  9. ⇄ A. SchäferFor Ilyas Ansah
    60’
  10. ⇄ N. VeratschnigFor A. Caci
    70’
  11. ⇄ J. LeeFor P. Nebel
    70’
  12. J. LeeYellow card · Foul
    75’
  13. D. KöhnYellow card
    80’
  14. ⇄ N. WeiperFor P. Tietz
    81’
  15. ⇄ A. SiebFor S. Becker
    81’
  16. ⇄ J. JuranovićFor C. Trimmel
    81’
  17. O. Burke 1–2Assist A. Ilić
    88’
  18. ⇄ T. SkarkeFor O. Burke
    89’
  19. J. Juranović 1–3Assist T. Skarke
    90+1’
  20. Full time · 1–3

Team stats

FSV Mainz 0514 shots · 10 in box, 4 outside
Union Berlin15 shots · 12 in box, 3 outside
FSV Mainz 05Union Berlin
53% Possession 47%
1.50 Expected goals (xG) 2.67
0.78 Expected points (xPts) 2.05
14 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 9
7 Shots off target 5
4 Blocked shots 1
10 Shots inside the box 12
4 Shots outside the box 3
456 Passes 398
84% Pass accuracy 82%
7 Corners 8
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
11 Fouls 10
2 Offsides 0
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
6.72 Team rating 7.07

Line-ups

FSV Mainz 05 3-5-2

276.9 R. Zentner(G)
315.9 D. Kohr 46.2 S. Posch 216.7 D. da Costa ↓16’
27.0 P. Mwene 107.2 N. Amiri 66.9 K. Sano 86.6 P. Nebel A↓70’ 196.9 A. Caci ↓70’
238.3 S. Becker ↓81’ 206.9 P. Tietz ↓81’
  • 27R. Zentner (G)6.9
  • 31D. Kohr5.9
  • 4S. Posch6.2
  • 21D. da Costa↓16’6.7
  • 2P. Mwene7.0
  • 10N. Amiri7.2
  • 6K. Sano6.9
  • 8P. NebelA↓70’6.6
  • 19A. Caci↓70’6.9
  • 23S. Becker↓81’8.3
  • 20P. Tietz↓81’6.9

Substitutes used

  • 48K. Potulski↑16’5.3
  • 22N. Veratschnig↑70’6.2
  • 7J. Lee↑70’6.2
  • 44N. Weiper↑81’6.5
  • 11A. Sieb↑81’6.7

Unused: D. Batz, Sota Kawasaki, L. Maloney, S. Widmer

Union Berlin 4-2-3-1

256.6 C. Klaus(G)
156.5 T. Rothe ↓60’ 46.9 Diogo Leite 57.5 D. Doekhi 288.9★ C. Trimmel ↓81’
67.3 A. Kemlein A 86.2 R. Khedira
96.3 Livan Burcu ↓60’ 107.0 Ilyas Ansah ↓60’ 77.7 O. Burke ↓89’
237.2 A. Ilić A
  • 25C. Klaus (G)6.6
  • 15T. Rothe↓60’6.5
  • 4Diogo Leite6.9
  • 5D. Doekhi7.5
  • 28C. Trimmel ★↓81’8.9
  • 6A. KemleinA7.3
  • 8R. Khedira6.2
  • 9Livan Burcu↓60’6.3
  • 10Ilyas Ansah↓60’7.0
  • 7O. Burke↓89’7.7
  • 23A. IlićA7.2

Substitutes used

  • 13A. Schäfer↑60’6.3
  • 39D. Köhn↑60’6.7
  • 21T. SkarkeA↑89’
  • 18J. Juranović↑81’7.3
  • 11W. Jeong↑60’6.2

Unused: Tom Wisbereit, L. Querfeld, S. Nsoki, A. Král

Player stats

Top rated
C. TrimmelUnion Berlin8.9
2nd
S. BeckerFSV Mainz 058.3
3rd
O. BurkeUnion Berlin7.7

FSV Mainz 05

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
R. Zentner G 90 0 0 6 sv 0 83% 29 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
D. Kohr M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 81% 58 0 2 0/0 1/1 5.9
S. Posch D 90 0 0 2 (0) 0 84% 51 0 1 0/0 1/1 6.2
D. da Costa D 16 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 3 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.7
P. Mwene D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 91% 35 1 2 0/0 0/1 7.0
N. Amiri M 90 0 0 0 (0) 6 83% 46 0 0 2/5 1/1 7.2
K. Sano M 90 0 0 2 (1) 1 83% 42 1 1 1/1 1/0 6.9
P. Nebel M 70 0 1 1 (0) 2 86% 37 3 0 0/2 0/0 6.6
A. Caci D 70 0 0 1 (0) 1 88% 41 1 0 0/1 3/0 6.9
S. Becker F 81 1 0 2 (1) 0 80% 25 0 0 0/0 0/0 8.3
P. Tietz F 81 0 0 0 (0) 1 76% 21 0 0 1/2 1/2 6.9
K. Potulski D 74 0 0 2 (1) 0 88% 41 1 2 0/1 1/1 5.3
N. Veratschnig D 20 0 0 0 (0) 0 91% 11 2 0 0/0 0/1 6.2
J. Lee M 20 0 0 0 (0) 0 90% 10 0 0 0/0 1/1 6.2
N. Weiper F 9 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 3 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
A. Sieb M 9 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 3 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7

Union Berlin

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
C. Klaus G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 64% 25 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
T. Rothe D 60 0 0 1 (0) 1 87% 23 1 0 0/2 0/0 6.5
Diogo Leite D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 85% 53 2 5 0/0 1/1 6.9
D. Doekhi D 90 0 0 3 (1) 0 89% 55 1 0 0/0 0/0 7.5
C. Trimmel D 81 0 0 0 (0) 5 79% 38 3 0 0/0 0/0 8.9
A. Kemlein M 90 0 1 1 (0) 2 85% 60 1 0 1/1 0/0 7.3
R. Khedira M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 85% 33 1 0 0/0 4/0 6.2
Livan Burcu F 60 0 0 1 (1) 0 84% 19 0 0 1/2 1/4 6.3
Ilyas Ansah F 60 0 0 1 (1) 0 77% 13 1 0 0/1 0/3 7.0
O. Burke F 89 1 0 1 (1) 2 76% 25 2 0 0/0 0/0 7.7
A. Ilić F 90 1 1 4 (3) 1 56% 9 0 1 0/0 2/1 7.2
A. Schäfer M 30 0 0 1 (1) 0 91% 11 0 1 0/0 0/1 6.3
D. Köhn D 30 0 0 0 (0) 0 92% 12 0 0 0/1 1/0 6.7
T. Skarke M 1 0 1 0 (0) 1 100% 2 0 0 1/1 0/0 —
J. Juranović D 9 1 0 1 (1) 0 67% 6 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.3
W. Jeong M 30 0 0 0 (0) 0 79% 14 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.2

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.