La Liga Gameweek 17 Sun, Dec 20 · 16:00 Estadio Coliseum, Getafe
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Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel301 kmRest days7 · 7Matches / 14d2 · 2
Real contextStrength only
Getafe—%
Draw—%
Levante—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (Getafe)

Forecast from 5 Dec

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Getafe and Levante. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Team strength

GetafeLevante
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
48 Current StrengthIn forecast 48
27 AttackIn forecast 55
59 DefenceIn forecast 41
42 Form indexContext 29
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Getafe

Attack—
Defense risk—

Levante

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

GetafeLevante
0.56 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.50
1.22 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.00
0.62 xGVia Att/Def 1.35
1.49 xG allowedVia Att/Def 2.01
-0.06 Goals minus xGContext +0.15
56% Scored inContext 63%
22% Clean sheetsContext 25%
10.78 ShotsContext 11.88
2.67 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.86
25% On target shareContext 36%
5.44 Shots in the boxContext 7.71
48% Box shareContext 58%
5% ConversionContext 13%
2.17 OffsidesContext 2.25
15.22 Shots allowedContext 15.25
4.89 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.63
4.78 BlocksContext 3.38
3.56 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.50
73% Save rateContext 62%
37% PossessionIn forecast 44%
292 PassesContext 381
217 Accurate passesContext 309
74% Pass accuracyContext 81%
6.68 Team ratingContext 6.75
14.00 FoulsContext 9.88
12.78 Fouls sufferedContext 12.75
3.44 Yellow cardsContext 1.25
0.11 Red cardsContext 0.00
This league season, per match · 9 and 8 games
0.60 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.50
1.10 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.80
0.58 xGVia Att/Def 1.43
1.39 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.79
+0.02 Goals minus xGContext +0.07
60% Scored inContext 70%
30% Clean sheetsContext 30%
10.30 ShotsContext 12.20
2.70 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.89
26% On target shareContext 36%
5.20 Shots in the boxContext 8.22
48% Box shareContext 62%
6% ConversionContext 12%
2.00 OffsidesContext 1.83
14.80 Shots allowedContext 14.90
4.90 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.60
4.50 BlocksContext 3.56
3.70 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.70
76% Save rateContext 66%
38% PossessionIn forecast 42%
289 PassesContext 359
214 Accurate passesContext 291
74% Pass accuracyContext 81%
6.73 Team ratingContext 6.80
14.30 FoulsContext 9.60
13.50 Fouls sufferedContext 12.70
3.20 Yellow cardsContext 1.40
0.10 Red cardsContext 0.10
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Getafe
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel0 km729 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 42 · 5 pts vs 5.9 for an average club · -0.3 vs expected
  • D19 OctH · Rayo Vallecano1–11.3 xPts
  • L10 OctA · Barcelona0–30.2 xPts
  • W20 SepH · Malaga1–01.5 xPts
  • L17 SepA · Real Betis0–10.8 xPts
  • D13 SepH · Deportivo La Coruna1–11.4 xPts
Levante
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel301 km604 km in 14d
Schedule load6%Low
Form 29 · 3 pts vs 5.6 for an average club · -2.6 vs expected
  • D16 OctA · Deportivo La Coruna1–11.2 xPts
  • D12 OctH · Sevilla3–31.6 xPts
  • L20 SepA · Villarreal1–30.9 xPts
  • L13 SepH · Barcelona2–40.5 xPts
  • D6 SepA · Malaga0–01.3 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Getafe Levante
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Low · 6
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match7La Liga 2026-2027, 13 Dec7La Liga 2026-2027, 13 Dec
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km301 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways729 km604 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days1 / 2 / 41 / 2 / 4
Next matchdays after this one1414

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Getafe Last XI · not confirmed
4-4-2 · vs Rayo Vallecano (H) 1–1, 19 Oct
13David Soria(G)
22J. Mojica 26J. Valou 2D. Dakonam
10M. Satriano 6Mario Martín 8N. Gudelj 17Kiko Femenía
19E. Ünal 11Ramon Terrats
Levante Last XI · not confirmed
4-3-3 · vs Deportivo La Coruna (A) 1–1, 16 Oct
13M. Ryan(G)
23Manu Sánchez 3Ifeanyi Ndukwe 4Adrián de la Fuente 29Nacho Pérez
6Reque 20Oriol Rey 18E. Bardeli
24T. Fernandez 9Iván Romero 7Roger Brugué

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Getafe Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Levante Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Getafe · Home 1.80points per game · 5 home games
W-D-L
2-3-0
Scored
1.00
Conceded
0.60
Levante · Away 0.60points per game · 5 away games
W-D-L
0-3-2
Scored
0.40
Conceded
1.40

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 5 this season

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 6 of 6 meetings

2 Getafe wins2 draws2 Levante wins
Goals per game1.00 – 1.00 Over 2.550% Both scored33% Clean sheets33% · 50%
  • 13 Apr 2026Levante1–0Getafe
  • 27 Sep 2025Getafe1–1Levante
  • 4 Feb 2022Getafe3–0Levante
  • 16 Oct 2021Levante0–0Getafe
  • 16 May 2021Getafe2–1Levante
  • 5 Dec 2020Levante3–0Getafe

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goal timing

Getafe9 games · scored 5 · conceded 11
2 0-15
1 1 16-30
2 31-45
1 1 46-60
1 2 61-75
2 3 76-90
Levante8 games · scored 12 · conceded 16
3 0-15
1 1 16-30
2 4 31-45
2 3 46-60
1 1 61-75
6 4 76-90
Getafe10 games · scored 6 · conceded 11
2 0-15
1 1 16-30
2 31-45
2 1 46-60
1 2 61-75
2 3 76-90
Levante10 games · scored 15 · conceded 18
4 0-15
1 1 16-30
4 4 31-45
2 3 46-60
1 2 61-75
7 4 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.