Goztepe vs Galatasaray

Süper Lig Gameweek 20 Sun, Feb 7 · 12:00 Göztepe Gürsel Aksel Stadı, İzmir

Goztepe 13th · 9 pts · 8 played LDDWW

VS— Compare

Galatasaray 1st · 19 pts · 8 played WWLWW

Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel328 kmRest days7 · 7Matches / 14d2 · 3

Real contextStrength only

Goztepe—%

Draw—%

Galatasaray—%

Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.

Weather (İzmir)

Forecast from 23 Jan

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Headlines

Attack

Defence

Streaks

Streak Goztepe 6 Scoring in a row Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Scoring in a row

Team strength

Goztepe

Galatasaray

— L90 StrengthIn forecast —

29 Current StrengthIn forecast 62

39 AttackIn forecast 57

36 DefenceIn forecast 55

37 Form indexContext 59

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Goztepe

Attack—

Defense risk—

Galatasaray

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Goztepe

Galatasaray

2.13 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.13

2.00 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.38

1.69 xGVia Att/Def 2.29

1.58 xG allowedVia Att/Def 0.93

+0.44 Goals minus xGContext -0.16

88% Scored inContext 88%

13% Clean sheetsContext 38%

15.25 ShotsContext 22.13

5.50 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 7.38

36% On target shareContext 33%

11.25 Shots in the boxContext 15.13

73% Box shareContext 69%

14% ConversionContext 10%

2.50 OffsidesContext 2.83

15.38 Shots allowedContext 10.75

4.25 On target allowedVia Att/Def 3.86

5.43 BlocksContext 3.71

2.71 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.57

61% Save rateContext 78%

41% PossessionIn forecast 60%

278 PassesContext 475

198 Accurate passesContext 411

71% Pass accuracyContext 87%

6.74 Team ratingContext 7.02

14.88 FoulsContext 11.75

8.75 Fouls sufferedContext 11.63

2.63 Yellow cardsContext 1.63

0.13 Red cardsContext 0.25

This league season, per match · 8 and 8 games

1.90 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.90

2.00 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.80

1.77 xGVia Att/Def 1.97

1.50 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.22

+0.13 Goals minus xGContext -0.07

80% Scored inContext 90%

10% Clean sheetsContext 30%

16.30 ShotsContext 19.20

5.50 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 6.50

34% On target shareContext 34%

12.30 Shots in the boxContext 13.20

74% Box shareContext 69%

12% ConversionContext 10%

2.50 OffsidesContext 3.43

14.80 Shots allowedContext 11.50

4.40 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.78

4.78 BlocksContext 3.56

2.78 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.78

61% Save rateContext 64%

40% PossessionIn forecast 57%

266 PassesContext 460

190 Accurate passesContext 397

71% Pass accuracyContext 86%

6.74 Team ratingContext 6.86

15.40 FoulsContext 11.60

8.90 Fouls sufferedContext 11.60

2.60 Yellow cardsContext 1.80

0.20 Red cardsContext 0.20

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Goztepe LDDWW

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel0 km1,041 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 37 · 8 pts vs 9.5 for an average club · +0.7 vs expected

W18 OctA · Kocaelispor2–11.4 xPts
W12 OctA · Eyüpspor4–01.6 xPts
D20 SepH · Rizespor2–21.4 xPts
D12 SepA · Alanyaspor2–21.2 xPts
L7 SepH · Gazişehir Gaziantep2–41.8 xPts

Galatasaray WLWLW

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d3all competitions

Travel328 km5,523 km in 14d

Schedule load31%Moderate

Form 59 · 9 pts vs 8.0 for an average club · -0.5 vs expected

W17 OctA · Genclerbirligi1–02.2 xPts
L13 OctH · Barcelona1–40.7 xPts
W9 OctH · Kasimpasa3–12.3 xPts
L19 SepA · Trabzonspor0–41.9 xPts
W13 SepH · Kocaelispor1–02.4 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Goztepe	Galatasaray
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Moderate · 31
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	7Süper Lig 2026-2027, 31 Jan	7Süper Lig 2026-2027, 31 Jan
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	328 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	1,041 km	5,523 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 2 / 3	1 / 3 / 5
Next matchdays after this one	7	7

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Goztepe Last XI · not confirmed

3-4-1-2 · vs Kocaelispor (A) 2–1, 18 Oct

1A. Özçimen(G)

26M. Bokele 19J. Sonko Sundberg 4T. Altıkardeş

12R. Akonnor 20N. Miroshi 5Rhaldney 2A. Kurtulan

8A. Antunes

9Juan 7André Henrique

Galatasaray Last XI · not confirmed

4-2-3-1 · vs Genclerbirligi (A) 1–0, 17 Oct

1U. Çakır(G)

17E. Elmalı 42A. Bardakcı 6D. Sánchez 7R. Sallai

8Gabriel Sara 99M. Lemina

53B. Yılmaz 83A. Batrakov 10L. Sané

45V. Osimhen

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Goztepe Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Galatasaray Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Goztepe · Home 0.33points per game · 3 home games

W-D-L: 0-1-2
Scored: 1.33
Conceded: 2.33

Galatasaray · Away 2.25points per game · 4 away games

W-D-L: 3-0-1
Scored: 2.00
Conceded: 1.50

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 2 this season

Opponent	Goztepe	Galatasaray
Kocaelispor	W 2–1 A	W 1–0 H
Genclerbirligi	L 0–1 H	W 1–0 A
Points	3 of 6 · 1.50 per game	6 of 6 · 3.00 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 5 of 5 meetings

0 Goztepe wins0 draws5 Galatasaray wins

Goals per game1.00 – 2.60 Over 2.580% Both scored80% Clean sheets0% · 20%

29 Aug 2026Galatasaray3–2Goztepe
8 Apr 2026Goztepe1–3Galatasaray
26 Oct 2025Galatasaray3–1Goztepe
24 May 2025Goztepe0–2Galatasaray
4 Jan 2025Galatasaray2–1Goztepe

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Goztepe	Galatasaray
Scored per game	2.13	2.13
Conceded per game	2.00	1.38
Match goals	4.13	3.50
Over 1.5	88%	75%
Over 2.5	88%	75%
Over 3.5	75%	75%
Both teams scored	75%	50%
Clean sheets	13%	38%
Failed to score	13%	13%
Games	8	8

	Goztepe	Galatasaray
Scored per game	1.90	1.90
Conceded per game	2.00	1.80
Match goals	3.90	3.70
Over 1.5	90%	80%
Over 2.5	90%	80%
Over 3.5	60%	80%
Both teams scored	70%	60%
Clean sheets	10%	30%
Failed to score	20%	10%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Goztepe	Galatasaray	League
Corners
Corners won	4.88	7.38
Corners conceded	4.38	3.13
Match total	9.26	10.51	9.12
Over 8.5	63% 5/8	63% 5/8
Over 9.5	50% 4/8	38% 3/8
Over 10.5	50% 4/8	38% 3/8
Cards
Cards	2.75	1.88
Opponent cards	2.00	2.00
Match total	4.75	3.88	4.04
Over 3.5	88% 7/8	63% 5/8
Over 4.5	63% 5/8	38% 3/8

	Goztepe	Galatasaray	League
Corners
Corners won	5.22	6.40
Corners conceded	4.56	3.20
Match total	9.78	9.60	9.12
Over 8.5	67% 6/9	50% 5/10
Over 9.5	56% 5/9	30% 3/10
Over 10.5	56% 5/9	30% 3/10
Cards
Cards	2.80	2.00
Opponent cards	2.10	1.80
Match total	4.90	3.80	4.04
Over 3.5	90% 9/10	60% 6/10
Over 4.5	60% 6/10	40% 4/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.