Bundesliga Gameweek 20 Sat, Jan 31 2026 · 17:30 Volksparkstadion, Hamburg
Hamburger SV
2–2 Full time · HT 1–1 xG 2.26 – 2.37
Bayern München
  • Fábio Vieira 34’ (P)
  • L. Vušković 53’
  • 42’ H. Kane
  • 46’ L. Díaz
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Hamburger SV and Bayern München share the points

Bayern München entered as clear favourites and led 2–1 after 46 minutes through goals from Kane and Díaz. But Vušković scored to rescue a draw for Hamburger SV. The chances were even, with xG of 2.26 and 2.37.

Hamburger SV8%
Draw ✓14%
Bayern München77%

Model vs reality

Hamburger SV goals
2
Model 0.85 · xG 2.26
Bayern München goals
2
Model 2.79 · xG 2.37
Total goals
4
Model 3.64 · xG 4.63
Score 2–2
4%
Most likely 0–2 (10%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 70%
Both scored
Yes
Model 54%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchD. Heuer FernandesHamburger SV
7.9
  • RefereeHarm Osmers
  • VenueVolksparkstadion
  • Table before kick-offHamburger SV 16th · Bayern München 1st

Timeline

  1. N. RembergYellow card · Tripping
    23’
  2. Fábio Vieira (pen) 1–0
    34’
  3. H. Kane 1–1Assist J. Kimmich
    42’
  4. Half time · 1–1
  5. ⇄ L. DíazFor Lennart Karl
    46’
  6. L. Díaz 1–2Assist M. Olise
    46’
  7. L. Vušković 2–2Assist W. Mikelbrencis
    53’
  8. M. MuheimYellow card · Holding
    55’
  9. M. KimYellow card · Foul
    57’
  10. ⇄ G. GocholeishviliFor B. Jatta
    59’
  11. ⇄ J. MusialaFor S. Gnabry
    65’
  12. ⇄ J. TahFor M. Kim
    65’
  13. ⇄ Rayan PhilippeFor R. Königsdörffer
    74’
  14. ⇄ W. OmariFor W. Mikelbrencis
    74’
  15. A. Sambi LokongaYellow card · Tripping
    75’
  16. ⇄ R. GlatzelFor Fábio Vieira
    85’
  17. ⇄ I. PheraiFor A. Sambi Lokonga
    85’
  18. G. GocholeishviliYellow card · Foul
    86’
  19. H. KaneYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    87’
  20. D. Heuer FernandesYellow card · Delay of game
    90+3’
  21. M. OliseYellow card · Holding
    90+5’
  22. N. CapaldoYellow card
    90+10’
  23. J. KimmichYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    90+10’
  24. Full time · 2–2

Team stats

Hamburger SV14 shots · 11 in box, 3 outside
Bayern München13 shots · 8 in box, 5 outside
Hamburger SVBayern München
28% Possession 72%
2.26 Expected goals (xG) 2.37
1.34 Expected points (xPts) 1.46
14 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 7
5 Shots off target 4
5 Blocked shots 2
11 Shots inside the box 8
3 Shots outside the box 5
255 Passes 678
79% Pass accuracy 92%
3 Corners 8
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
12 Fouls 15
3 Offsides 1
6 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
7.00 Team rating 6.74

Line-ups

Hamburger SV 3-5-1-1

17.9★ D. Heuer Fernandes(G)
86.9 Daniel Elfadli 447.7 L. Vušković 246.2 N. Capaldo
26.9 W. Mikelbrencis A↓74’ 287.3 M. Muheim 217.0 N. Remberg 66.9 A. Sambi Lokonga ↓85’ 186.2 B. Jatta ↓59’
207.0 Fábio Vieira ↓85’
116.9 R. Königsdörffer ↓74’
  • 1D. Heuer Fernandes (G) ★7.9
  • 8Daniel Elfadli6.9
  • 44L. Vušković7.7
  • 24N. Capaldo6.2
  • 2W. MikelbrencisA↓74’6.9
  • 28M. Muheim7.3
  • 21N. Remberg7.0
  • 6A. Sambi Lokonga↓85’6.9
  • 18B. Jatta↓59’6.2
  • 20Fábio Vieira↓85’7.0
  • 11R. Königsdörffer↓74’6.9

Substitutes used

  • 16G. Gocholeishvili↑59’6.9
  • 17W. Omari↑74’6.7
  • 14Rayan Philippe↑74’6.7
  • 10I. Pherai↑85’6.6
  • 9R. Glatzel↑85’6.5

Unused: S. Tangvik, Louis Lemke, J. Torunarigha, Omar Megeed

Bayern München 4-2-3-1

16.3 M. Neuer(G)
196.3 A. Davies 37.0 M. Kim ↓65’ 27.2 D. Upamecano 445.9 J. Stanišić
457.2 A. Pavlović 67.2 J. Kimmich A
76.6 S. Gnabry ↓65’ 426.5 Lennart Karl ↓46’ 176.3 M. Olise A
97.2 H. Kane
  • 1M. Neuer (G)6.3
  • 19A. Davies6.3
  • 3M. Kim↓65’7.0
  • 2D. Upamecano7.2
  • 44J. Stanišić5.9
  • 45A. Pavlović7.2
  • 6J. KimmichA7.2
  • 7S. Gnabry↓65’6.6
  • 42Lennart Karl↓46’6.5
  • 17M. OliseA6.3
  • 9H. Kane7.2

Substitutes used

  • 14L. Díaz↑46’7.3
  • 4J. Tah↑65’6.7
  • 10J. Musiala↑65’6.9

Unused: J. Urbig, H. Ito, S. Boey, L. Goretzka, T. Bischof, N. Jackson

Player stats

Top rated
D. Heuer FernandesHamburger SV7.9
2nd
L. VuškovićHamburger SV7.7
3rd
M. MuheimHamburger SV7.3

Hamburger SV

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
D. Heuer Fernandes G 90 0 0 4 sv 0 61% 44 0 0 0/0 0/1 7.9
Daniel Elfadli D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 28 3 0 0/0 1/2 6.9
L. Vušković D 90 1 0 2 (1) 0 81% 31 3 1 0/0 2/1 7.7
N. Capaldo M 90 0 0 3 (1) 1 91% 11 4 3 0/0 1/2 6.2
W. Mikelbrencis D 74 0 1 0 (0) 1 100% 8 2 0 1/1 0/0 6.9
M. Muheim D 90 0 0 1 (0) 2 74% 31 2 2 1/3 1/1 7.3
N. Remberg M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 85% 20 1 1 0/0 1/1 7.0
A. Sambi Lokonga M 85 0 0 0 (0) 2 89% 37 3 0 1/2 2/2 6.9
B. Jatta M 59 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 12 0 0 0/2 1/0 6.2
Fábio Vieira M 85 1 0 3 (2) 0 81% 16 1 3 1/2 1/2 7.0
R. Königsdörffer F 74 0 0 0 (0) 1 83% 6 0 1 0/1 1/1 6.9
G. Gocholeishvili D 31 0 0 0 (0) 0 0% 2 4 0 0/0 0/1 6.9
W. Omari D 16 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 4 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
Rayan Philippe F 16 0 0 0 (0) 1 40% 5 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.7
I. Pherai M 5 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 1 0 0/0 0/1 6.6
R. Glatzel F 5 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5

Bayern München

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
M. Neuer G 90 0 0 1 sv 0 85% 26 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
A. Davies D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 94% 65 1 0 0/2 0/0 6.3
M. Kim D 65 0 0 0 (0) 0 98% 48 0 1 0/0 1/0 7.0
D. Upamecano D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 94% 96 0 0 1/1 1/1 7.2
J. Stanišić D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 56 1 0 0/0 1/2 5.9
A. Pavlović M 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 98% 99 2 0 0/0 2/0 7.2
J. Kimmich M 90 0 1 3 (1) 3 95% 94 0 0 1/1 1/3 7.2
S. Gnabry F 65 0 0 1 (0) 3 95% 38 0 0 2/2 0/1 6.6
Lennart Karl M 46 0 0 1 (1) 0 80% 15 1 0 1/2 0/0 6.5
M. Olise M 90 0 1 1 (1) 1 83% 52 3 2 1/7 4/1 6.3
H. Kane F 90 1 0 2 (1) 2 96% 25 0 0 2/2 3/1 7.2
L. Díaz F 44 1 0 1 (1) 0 79% 29 0 0 2/6 2/2 7.3
J. Tah D 25 0 0 1 (1) 0 96% 24 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
J. Musiala F 25 0 0 1 (1) 0 73% 11 0 0 1/1 0/1 6.9

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.