Juventus vs Lecce – 11 Apr 2027

Serie A Gameweek 31 Sun, Apr 11 · 17:30 Allianz Stadium, Torino

Juventus 8th · 11 pts · 7 played DLWDL

VS— Compare

Lecce 12th · 9 pts · 7 played LWLLW

Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel1,003 kmRest days7 · 7Matches / 14d1 · 1

Real contextStrength only

Juventus—%

Draw—%

Lecce—%

Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.

Weather (Torino)

Forecast from 27 Mar

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Headlines

Attack

Defence

Streaks

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Team strength

Juventus

Lecce

— L90 StrengthIn forecast —

67 Current StrengthIn forecast 28

57 AttackIn forecast 36

76 DefenceIn forecast 30

74 Form indexContext 35

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Juventus

Attack—

Defense risk—

Lecce

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Juventus

Lecce

1.29 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.29

1.14 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.71

1.48 xGVia Att/Def 1.50

0.50 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.98

-0.19 Goals minus xGContext -0.21

86% Scored inContext 57%

43% Clean sheetsContext 29%

16.71 ShotsContext 11.14

5.86 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.71

35% On target shareContext 42%

8.86 Shots in the boxContext 7.14

53% Box shareContext 64%

8% ConversionContext 12%

3.00 OffsidesContext 2.60

7.29 Shots allowedContext 14.86

2.71 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.43

1.83 BlocksContext 2.83

2.00 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.43

67% Save rateContext 69%

58% PossessionIn forecast 40%

547 PassesContext 346

480 Accurate passesContext 271

88% Pass accuracyContext 78%

6.77 Team ratingContext 6.78

12.57 FoulsContext 12.86

10.00 Fouls sufferedContext 9.14

1.29 Yellow cardsContext 1.86

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

This league season, per match · 7 and 7 games

1.80 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.30

1.10 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.50

1.50 xGVia Att/Def 1.32

0.61 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.81

+0.30 Goals minus xGContext -0.02

90% Scored inContext 60%

40% Clean sheetsContext 30%

16.70 ShotsContext 10.40

5.80 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.50

35% On target shareContext 43%

10.00 Shots in the boxContext 7.00

60% Box shareContext 68%

11% ConversionContext 13%

2.75 OffsidesContext 2.50

8.20 Shots allowedContext 13.80

2.90 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.50

1.89 BlocksContext 2.67

2.13 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.80

68% Save rateContext 69%

57% PossessionIn forecast 37%

532 PassesContext 312

466 Accurate passesContext 239

88% Pass accuracyContext 77%

6.85 Team ratingContext 6.78

12.60 FoulsContext 12.10

11.10 Fouls sufferedContext 9.50

1.40 Yellow cardsContext 2.00

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Juventus WWDWL

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel0 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 74 · 10 pts vs 7.1 for an average club · +0.5 vs expected

L18 OctH · Lazio0–32.1 xPts
W15 OctA · Celta Vigo2–11.6 xPts
D11 OctA · Cagliari1–11.7 xPts
W20 SepH · Atalanta2–01.9 xPts
W17 SepH · NEC Nijmegen5–02.2 xPts

Lecce LWLLW

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel1,003 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load12%Low

Form 35 · 6 pts vs 7.7 for an average club · +0.7 vs expected

W18 OctA · Udinese3–00.9 xPts
L11 OctH · Bologna1–21.1 xPts
L20 SepA · AC Milan0–30.5 xPts
W13 SepH · Monza3–21.7 xPts
L7 SepA · Cagliari0–11.1 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Juventus	Lecce
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 12
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	7Serie A 2026-2027, 4 Apr	7Serie A 2026-2027, 4 Apr
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	1,003 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	0 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 1 / 3	1 / 1 / 3
Next matchdays after this one	7	7

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Juventus Last XI · not confirmed

4-2-3-1 · vs Lazio (H) 0–3, 18 Oct

25G. Vicario(G)

2M. Çelik 26J. Lucumí 3Bremer 15P. Kalulu

29P. Sarr 12Douglas Luiz

17Kerim Alajbegović 22W. McKennie 31N. González

9R. Kolo Muani

Lecce Last XI · not confirmed

4-3-3 · vs Udinese (A) 3–0, 18 Oct

30W. Falcone(G)

25A. Gallo 44Tiago Gabriel 4E. Gaspar 17Danilo Veiga

14Y. Maleh 79Oumar Ngom 29L. Coulibaly

7A. Fatah 69W. Geubbels 11K. N’Dri

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Juventus Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Lecce Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Juventus · Home 1.75points per game · 4 home games

W-D-L: 2-1-1
Scored: 1.25
Conceded: 1.00

Lecce · Away 1.50points per game · 4 away games

W-D-L: 2-0-2
Scored: 1.25
Conceded: 1.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 2 this season

Opponent	Juventus	Lecce
Cagliari	D 1–1 A	L 0–1 A
AC Milan	D 1–1 H	L 0–3 A
Points	2 of 6 · 1.00 per game	0 of 6 · 0.00 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 8 of 8 meetings

6 Juventus wins2 draws0 Lecce wins

Goals per game1.50 – 0.50 Over 2.538% Both scored50% Clean sheets50% · 0%

9 May 2026Lecce0–1Juventus
3 Jan 2026Juventus1–1Lecce
12 Apr 2025Juventus2–1Lecce
1 Dec 2024Lecce1–1Juventus
21 Jan 2024Lecce0–3Juventus
26 Sep 2023Juventus1–0Lecce

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Juventus	Lecce
Scored per game	1.29	1.29
Conceded per game	1.14	1.71
Match goals	2.43	3.00
Over 1.5	86%	86%
Over 2.5	29%	71%
Over 3.5	14%	29%
Both teams scored	43%	29%
Clean sheets	43%	29%
Failed to score	14%	43%
Games	7	7

	Juventus	Lecce
Scored per game	1.80	1.30
Conceded per game	1.10	1.50
Match goals	2.90	2.80
Over 1.5	90%	70%
Over 2.5	50%	60%
Over 3.5	30%	30%
Both teams scored	50%	30%
Clean sheets	40%	30%
Failed to score	10%	40%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Juventus	Lecce	League
Corners
Corners won	8.00	4.57
Corners conceded	3.14	3.29
Match total	11.14	7.86	9.38
Over 8.5	86% 6/7	29% 2/7
Over 9.5	71% 5/7	29% 2/7
Over 10.5	57% 4/7	29% 2/7
Cards
Cards	1.29	1.86
Opponent cards	2.29	0.86
Match total	3.58	2.72	3.43
Over 3.5	57% 4/7	43% 3/7
Over 4.5	14% 1/7	14% 1/7

	Juventus	Lecce	League
Corners
Corners won	7.67	4.20
Corners conceded	3.22	3.80
Match total	10.89	8.00	9.38
Over 8.5	78% 7/9	30% 3/10
Over 9.5	67% 6/9	30% 3/10
Over 10.5	56% 5/9	20% 2/10
Cards
Cards	1.40	2.00
Opponent cards	2.00	0.80
Match total	3.40	2.80	3.43
Over 3.5	50% 5/10	40% 4/10
Over 4.5	10% 1/10	20% 2/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.