Belgian Pro League Knockout phase Sat, Apr 10 · 16:00 Guldensporenstadion, Kortrijk
Kortrijk 18th · 3 pts · 8 played
VS— Compare
Standard Liege 9th · 11 pts · 8 played
Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel163 kmRest days7 · 7Matches / 14d1 · 1
Real contextStrength only
Kortrijk—%
Draw—%
Standard Liege—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (Kortrijk)

Forecast from 26 Mar

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Kortrijk and Standard Liege. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Streaks insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Team strength

KortrijkStandard Liege
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
12 Current StrengthIn forecast 33
10 AttackIn forecast 29
16 DefenceIn forecast 29
13 Form indexContext 30
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Kortrijk

Attack—
Defense risk—

Standard Liege

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

KortrijkStandard Liege
0.25 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.63
2.25 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.63
0.81 xGVia Att/Def 1.61
2.15 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.72
-0.56 Goals minus xGContext +0.02
25% Scored inContext 88%
13% Clean sheetsContext 25%
11.25 ShotsContext 13.50
2.63 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.88
23% On target shareContext 36%
6.88 Shots in the boxContext 9.75
59% Box shareContext 69%
2% ConversionContext 12%
3.00 OffsidesContext 2.43
14.25 Shots allowedContext 14.50
5.25 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.38
3.00 BlocksContext 4.29
3.25 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.86
62% Save rateContext 61%
44% PossessionIn forecast 52%
396 PassesContext 459
314 Accurate passesContext 365
79% Pass accuracyContext 79%
6.47 Team ratingContext 6.76
12.00 FoulsContext 9.88
9.88 Fouls sufferedContext 10.88
1.75 Yellow cardsContext 1.13
0.13 Red cardsContext 0.13
This league season, per match · 8 and 8 games
0.30 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.50
1.90 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.60
0.81 xGVia Att/Def 1.58
2.15 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.67
-0.51 Goals minus xGContext -0.08
30% Scored inContext 80%
20% Clean sheetsContext 20%
10.40 ShotsContext 12.70
2.60 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.80
25% On target shareContext 38%
6.30 Shots in the boxContext 9.30
60% Box shareContext 70%
3% ConversionContext 12%
2.86 OffsidesContext 2.33
14.60 Shots allowedContext 15.20
5.20 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.30
3.20 BlocksContext 4.67
3.50 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.78
67% Save rateContext 61%
43% PossessionIn forecast 50%
383 PassesContext 433
297 Accurate passesContext 341
78% Pass accuracyContext 79%
6.57 Team ratingContext 6.76
11.80 FoulsContext 10.10
9.60 Fouls sufferedContext 10.90
1.60 Yellow cardsContext 1.40
0.10 Red cardsContext 0.10
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Kortrijk
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 13 · 3 pts vs 8.2 for an average club · -1.1 vs expected
  • L10 OctA · Genk0–30.5 xPts
  • W20 SepH · SK Beveren1–01.2 xPts
  • L13 SepA · RAAL La Louvière0–31.0 xPts
  • L6 SepH · Zulte Waregem0–21.0 xPts
  • L3 SepA · Anderlecht0–10.5 xPts
Standard Liege
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel163 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 30 · 6 pts vs 8.4 for an average club · -1.0 vs expected
  • L11 OctH · Charleroi0–11.4 xPts
  • L18 SepA · Gent1–20.9 xPts
  • L12 SepA · KVC Westerlo2–41.4 xPts
  • W5 SepH · Antwerp1–01.7 xPts
  • W29 AugA · OH Leuven2–11.6 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Kortrijk Standard Liege
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match7Belgian Pro League 2026-2027, 3 Apr7Belgian Pro League 2026-2027, 3 Apr
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km163 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways0 km0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days1 / 1 / 31 / 1 / 3
Next matchdays after this one77

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Kortrijk Last XI · not confirmed
4-3-3 · vs Genk (A) 0–3, 10 Oct
1P. Gunnarsson(G)
3M. Anderson 4H. Murray-Campbell 21A. Drouhin 36R. Kohon
70A. Phillips 35B. Lambert 19B. Dejaegere
68T. Ambrose 10G. Koyalipou 11S. Campbell
Standard Liege Last XI · not confirmed
4-3-3 · vs Charleroi (H) 0–1, 11 Oct
1M. Epolo(G)
3Gustav Mortensen 25I. Hautekiet 20I. Karamoko 13M. Fossey
84R. Touzghar 22A. Trouillet 94C. Nielsen
11A. Abid 10D. Eckert Ayensa 17Bernard Nguene

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Kortrijk Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Standard Liege Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Kortrijk · Home 0.75points per game · 4 home games
W-D-L
1-0-3
Scored
0.50
Conceded
2.00
Standard Liege · Away 1.00points per game · 4 away games
W-D-L
1-1-2
Scored
2.00
Conceded
2.50

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 3 this season

OpponentKortrijkStandard Liege
RAAL La Louvière L 0–3 A W 2–0 H
Charleroi L 1–3 H L 0–1 H
Antwerp L 0–3 H W 1–0 H
Points0 of 9 · 0.00 per game6 of 9 · 2.00 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 2 of 2 meetings

1 Kortrijk wins1 draws0 Standard Liege wins
Goals per game1.00 – 0.50 Over 2.50% Both scored50% Clean sheets50% · 0%
  • 20 Jan 2024Standard Liege0–1Kortrijk
  • 26 Aug 2023Kortrijk1–1Standard Liege

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

KortrijkStandard LiegeForecast
Scored per game 0.251.63
Conceded per game 2.251.63
Match goals 2.503.25
Over 1.5 75%75%
Over 2.5 63%63%
Over 3.5 13%38%
Both teams scored 13%63%
Clean sheets 13%25%
Failed to score 75%13%
Games88
KortrijkStandard LiegeForecast
Scored per game 0.251.40
Conceded per game 2.251.40
Match goals 2.502.80
Over 1.5 75%70%
Over 2.5 63%50%
Over 3.5 13%30%
Both teams scored 13%60%
Clean sheets 13%30%
Failed to score 75%20%
Games810

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

KortrijkStandard LiegeLeague
Corners
Corners won3.436.00
Corners conceded6.295.00
Match total9.7211.0010.01
Over 8.571% 5/763% 5/8
Over 9.557% 4/750% 4/8
Over 10.543% 3/750% 4/8
Cards
Cards2.001.25
Opponent cards1.631.25
Match total3.632.503.36
Over 3.563% 5/825% 2/8
Over 4.525% 2/80% 0/8
KortrijkStandard LiegeLeague
Corners
Corners won3.675.50
Corners conceded6.565.40
Match total10.2310.9010.01
Over 8.578% 7/960% 6/10
Over 9.567% 6/950% 5/10
Over 10.556% 5/950% 5/10
Cards
Cards1.801.50
Opponent cards1.501.70
Match total3.303.203.36
Over 3.550% 5/1040% 4/10
Over 4.520% 2/1010% 1/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Goal timing

Kortrijk8 games · scored 2 · conceded 18
3 0-15
1 16-30
1 4 31-45
1 46-60
5 61-75
5 76-90
Standard Liege8 games · scored 13 · conceded 13
2 1 0-15
1 16-30
2 3 31-45
1 2 46-60
6 1 61-75
1 6 76-90
Kortrijk10 games · scored 3 · conceded 19
3 0-15
1 16-30
1 5 31-45
1 46-60
5 61-75
1 5 76-90
Standard Liege10 games · scored 15 · conceded 16
2 2 0-15
2 16-30
3 3 31-45
1 2 46-60
6 2 61-75
1 7 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.

Next fixtures Belgian Pro League

View all fixtures →
Lommel United Genk Apr 1016:00 KV Mechelen Gent Apr 1016:00 Anderlecht SK Beveren Apr 1016:00 Club Brugge KV OH Leuven Apr 1016:00 Zulte Waregem KVC Westerlo Apr 1016:00 Kortrijk Standard Liege Apr 1016:00 St. Truiden Charleroi Apr 1016:00 Antwerp Cercle Brugge Apr 1016:00 RAAL La Louvière Union St. Gilloise Apr 1016:00