KVC Westerlo vs Zulte Waregem – 2 Aug 2025

Belgian Pro League Knockout phase Sat, Aug 2 · 15:00 Het Kuipje, Westerlo

KVC Westerlo 16th · 0 pts · 1 played L

3–1Full time

Zulte Waregem 10th · 1 pts · 1 played D

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

It was too close to call.

The two sides are close in strength. KVC Westerlo had 6.1 days of rest, Zulte Waregem 6.9 and had to travel 107 km.

Away travel107 kmRest days6.1 · 6.9Matches / 14d1 · 1

KVC Westerlo40%

Draw27%

Zulte Waregem33%

Expected goals 1.41 – 1.25

KVC Westerlo40%

Draw27%

Zulte Waregem33%

Expected goals 1.42 – 1.26

KVC Westerlo40%

Draw27%

Zulte Waregem33%

Expected goals 1.41 – 1.25

KVC Westerlo33%

Draw27%

Zulte Waregem40%

Expected goals 1.26 – 1.40

KVC Westerlo40%

Draw27%

Zulte Waregem33%

Expected goals 1.42 – 1.26

Over 2.5 50% Both score 55% Likeliest score 1–1

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Westerlo)

No weather data yet

RefereeBert Verbeke

Team strength

KVC Westerlo

Zulte Waregem

21 L90 StrengthIn forecast 25

33 Current StrengthIn forecast 30

42 AttackIn forecast 27

32 DefenceIn forecast 31

— Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

KVC Westerlo

Attack—

Defense risk—

Zulte Waregem

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

KVC Westerlo

Zulte Waregem

— Goals scoredVia Att/Def —

— Goals concededVia Att/Def —

— xGVia Att/Def —

— xG allowedVia Att/Def —

— Goals minus xGContext —

— Scored inContext —

— Clean sheetsContext —

— ShotsContext —

— Shots on targetVia Att/Def —

— On target shareContext —

— Shots in the boxContext —

— Box shareContext —

— ConversionContext —

— OffsidesContext —

— Shots allowedContext —

— On target allowedVia Att/Def —

— BlocksContext —

— Goalkeeper savesContext —

— Save rateContext —

— PossessionIn forecast —

— PassesContext —

— Accurate passesContext —

— Pass accuracyContext —

— Team ratingContext —

— FoulsContext —

— Fouls sufferedContext —

— Yellow cardsContext —

— Red cardsContext —

This league season, per match

1.40 Goals scoredVia Att/Def —

2.10 Goals concededVia Att/Def —

— xGVia Att/Def —

— xG allowedVia Att/Def —

— Goals minus xGContext —

70% Scored inContext —

0% Clean sheetsContext —

12.20 ShotsContext —

4.40 Shots on targetVia Att/Def —

36% On target shareContext —

8.30 Shots in the boxContext —

69% Box shareContext —

12% ConversionContext —

1.63 OffsidesContext —

13.20 Shots allowedContext —

4.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def —

4.56 BlocksContext —

2.22 Goalkeeper savesContext —

51% Save rateContext —

49% PossessionIn forecast —

421 PassesContext —

329 Accurate passesContext —

78% Pass accuracyContext —

6.83 Team ratingContext —

11.30 FoulsContext —

13.20 Fouls sufferedContext —

2.00 Yellow cardsContext —

0.10 Red cardsContext —

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 0 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

KVC Westerlo

Rest6.1 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel0 km96 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Zulte Waregem

Rest6.9 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel107 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	KVC Westerlo	Zulte Waregem
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	6.1Belgian Pro League 2025-2026, 27 Jul	6.9Belgian Pro League 2025-2026, 26 Jul
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	107 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	96 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 1 / 1	1 / 1 / 1
Next matchdays after this one	7.1	8

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

KVC Westerlo Confirmed XI

4-2-3-1

99A. Jungdal(G)

25T. Rommens 33R. Neustädter 40E. Bayram 22B. Reynolds

39T. Van den Keybus 34D. Haspolat

77J. Alcócer 13I. Sakamoto 18G. Yow

9M. Frigan

Zulte Waregem Confirmed XI

4-2-3-1

13B. Gabriël(G)

55Y. Cappelle 4L. Lemoine 3Anton Tanghe 19Benoit Nyssen

8T. Claes 21Tochukwu Nnadi

22J. Opoku 24Jeppe Erenbjerg 10A. Traoré

9J. Vossen

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

KVC Westerlo Absences are shown before kick-off

Zulte Waregem Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

KVC Westerlo+0.0 pp
Draw+0.0 pp
Zulte Waregem+0.0 pp

Home / Away this season

KVC Westerlo · Home No home games yet this season.

Zulte Waregem · Away No away games yet this season.

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

	KVC Westerlo	Zulte Waregem	Forecast
Scored per game	2.00	1.00
Conceded per game	5.00	1.00
Match goals	7.00	2.00	2.67
Over 1.5	100%	100%
Over 2.5	100%	0%	50%
Over 3.5	100%	0%
Both teams scored	100%	100%	55%
Clean sheets	0%	0%
Failed to score	0%	0%
Games	1	1

	KVC Westerlo	Zulte Waregem	Forecast
Scored per game	2.00	1.00
Conceded per game	5.00	1.00
Match goals	7.00	2.00	2.67
Over 1.5	100%	100%
Over 2.5	100%	0%	50%
Over 3.5	100%	0%
Both teams scored	100%	100%	55%
Clean sheets	0%	0%
Failed to score	0%	0%
Games	1	1

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	KVC Westerlo	Zulte Waregem	League
Corners
Corners won	3.00	9.00
Corners conceded	8.00	6.00
Match total	11.00	15.00	9.67
Over 8.5	100% 1/1	100% 1/1
Over 9.5	100% 1/1	100% 1/1
Over 10.5	100% 1/1	100% 1/1
Cards
Cards	2.00	3.00
Opponent cards	4.00	3.00
Match total	6.00	6.00	4.11
Over 3.5	100% 1/1	100% 1/1
Over 4.5	100% 1/1	100% 1/1

	KVC Westerlo	Zulte Waregem	League
Corners
Corners won	4.50	9.00
Corners conceded	5.10	6.00
Match total	9.60	15.00	9.67
Over 8.5	40% 4/10	100% 1/1
Over 9.5	40% 4/10	100% 1/1
Over 10.5	30% 3/10	100% 1/1
Cards
Cards	2.10	3.00
Opponent cards	2.50	3.00
Match total	4.60	6.00	4.11
Over 3.5	60% 6/10	100% 1/1
Over 4.5	60% 6/10	100% 1/1

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.