Premier League Gameweek 35 Fri, May 1 2026 · 20:00 Elland Road, Leeds, West Yorkshire
3–1 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 1.64 – 0.57
  • A. Stach 8’
  • N. Okafor 52’
  • D. Calvert-Lewin 56’
  • 71’ L. Tchaouna
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Leeds beat Burnley

Leeds entered as clear favourites and won 3–1 through goals from Stach, Okafor and Calvert-Lewin. Burnley replied through a Tchaouna goal. Leeds finished with the higher xG (1.64 vs 0.57).

Leeds ✓70%
Draw18%
Burnley12%

Model vs reality

Leeds goals
3
Model 2.39 · xG 1.64
Burnley goals
1
Model 0.91 · xG 0.57
Total goals
4
Model 3.29 · xG 2.21
Score 3–1
8%
Most likely 2–0 (11%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 64%
Both scored
Yes
Model 55%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchA. StachLeeds · 1 goal
8.0
  • RefereeThomas Bramall
  • VenueElland Road
  • Table before kick-offLeeds 15th · Burnley 19th

Timeline

  1. A. Stach 1–0Assist J. Bijol
    8’
  2. P. StruijkYellow card · Foul
    27’
  3. B. HumphreysYellow card · Foul
    35’
  4. L. TchaounaYellow card · Argument
    37’
  5. J. RodonYellow card · Foul
    40’
  6. Half time · 1–0
  7. D. Calvert-LewinYellow card · Foul
    48’
  8. N. Okafor 2–0Assist J. Bogle
    52’
  9. ⇄ H. MejbriFor J. Laurent
    54’
  10. D. Calvert-Lewin 3–0
    56’
  11. ⇄ L. NmechaFor N. Okafor
    65’
  12. ⇄ Lucas PiresFor Q. Hartman
    65’
  13. ⇄ FlorentinoFor J. Ward-Prowse
    65’
  14. L. Tchaouna 3–1Assist J. Anthony
    71’
  15. ⇄ S. LongstaffFor A. Tanaka
    72’
  16. ⇄ B. AaronsonFor A. Stach
    72’
  17. E. AmpaduYellow card · Foul
    75’
  18. ⇄ A. BrojaFor Z. Flemming
    76’
  19. ⇄ M. AmdouniFor B. Humphreys
    76’
  20. H. MejbriYellow card · Foul
    88’
  21. ⇄ D. JamesFor J. Bogle
    90+4’
  22. ⇄ D. GnontoFor D. Calvert-Lewin
    90+4’
  23. Full time · 3–1

Team stats

Leeds18 shots · 11 in box, 7 outside
Burnley9 shots · 5 in box, 4 outside
LeedsBurnley
48% Possession 52%
1.64 Expected goals (xG) 0.57
2.15 Expected points (xPts) 0.62
18 Shots 9
8 Shots on target 3
5 Shots off target 2
5 Blocked shots 4
11 Shots inside the box 5
7 Shots outside the box 4
452 Passes 508
79% Pass accuracy 83%
5 Corners 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
12 Fouls 12
0 Offsides 1
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
6.94 Team rating 6.49

Line-ups

Leeds 3-5-2

267.0 K. Darlow(G)
56.2 P. Struijk 157.3 J. Bijol A 66.3 J. Rodon
247.2 J. Justin 226.9 A. Tanaka ↓72’ 46.5 E. Ampadu 188.0★ A. Stach ↓72’ 27.3 J. Bogle A↓90’
197.3 N. Okafor ↓65’ 96.7 D. Calvert-Lewin ↓90’
  • 26K. Darlow (G)7.0
  • 5P. Struijk6.2
  • 15J. BijolA7.3
  • 6J. Rodon6.3
  • 24J. Justin7.2
  • 22A. Tanaka↓72’6.9
  • 4E. Ampadu6.5
  • 18A. Stach ★↓72’8.0
  • 2J. BogleA↓90’7.3
  • 19N. Okafor↓65’7.3
  • 9D. Calvert-Lewin↓90’6.7

Substitutes used

  • 7D. James↑90’
  • 14L. Nmecha↑65’6.9
  • 8S. Longstaff↑72’7.0
  • 11B. Aaronson↑72’6.6
  • 29D. Gnonto↑90’

Unused: Lucas Perri, S. Bornauw, S. Byram, J. Piroe

Burnley 5-4-1

16.6 M. Dúbravka(G)
35.9 Q. Hartman ↓65’ 125.7 B. Humphreys ↓76’ 56.5 M. Estève 186.6 H. Ekdal 26.2 K. Walker
116.5 J. Anthony A 206.6 J. Ward-Prowse ↓65’ 296.5 J. Laurent ↓54’ 177.3 L. Tchaouna
196.6 Z. Flemming ↓76’
  • 1M. Dúbravka (G)6.6
  • 3Q. Hartman↓65’5.9
  • 12B. Humphreys↓76’5.7
  • 5M. Estève6.5
  • 18H. Ekdal6.6
  • 2K. Walker6.2
  • 11J. AnthonyA6.5
  • 20J. Ward-Prowse↓65’6.6
  • 29J. Laurent↓54’6.5
  • 17L. Tchaouna7.3
  • 19Z. Flemming↓76’6.6

Substitutes used

  • 27A. Broja↑76’6.3
  • 28H. Mejbri↑54’6.6
  • 23Lucas Pires↑65’6.7
  • 16Florentino↑65’6.6
  • 25M. Amdouni↑76’6.6

Unused: Max Weiss, J. Worrall, L. Ugochukwu, M. Edwards

Player stats

Top rated
A. StachLeeds8.0
2nd
J. BijolLeeds7.3
3rd
J. BogleLeeds7.3

Leeds

Burnley

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.