Premier League Gameweek 20 Sun, Jan 4 2026 · 12:30 Elland Road, Leeds, West Yorkshire
Leeds
1–1 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 0.90 – 1.58
Manchester United
  • B. Aaronson 62’
  • 65’ Matheus Cunha
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Leeds and Manchester United share the points

Leeds entered as narrow favourites and led 1–0 after 62 minutes through a Aaronson goal. But Cunha scored to rescue a draw for Manchester United. Manchester United finished with the higher xG (1.58 vs 0.90). On the chances created, Manchester United deserved more: 1.9 expected points against the 1 point they took.

Leeds40%
Draw ✓26%
Manchester United34%

Model vs reality

Leeds goals
1
Model 1.53 · xG 0.90
Manchester United goals
1
Model 1.38 · xG 1.58
Total goals
2
Model 2.91 · xG 2.48
Score 1–1
12%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 56%
Both scored
Yes
Model 59%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchMatheus CunhaManchester United · 1 goal
7.5
  • RefereeJarred Gillett
  • VenueElland Road
  • Table before kick-offLeeds 16th · Manchester United 6th

Timeline

  1. P. DorguYellow card · Foul
    34’
  2. Half time · 0–0
  3. B. Aaronson 1–0Assist P. Struijk
    62’
  4. ⇄ J. ZirkzeeFor L. Yoro
    63’
  5. Matheus Cunha 1–1Assist J. Zirkzee
    65’
  6. ⇄ L. NmechaFor N. Okafor
    75’
  7. ⇄ A. TanakaFor I. Gruev
    80’
  8. ⇄ D. GnontoFor S. Bornauw
    80’
  9. ⇄ J. PiroeFor B. Aaronson
    87’
  10. Full time · 1–1

Team stats

Leeds11 shots · 8 in box, 3 outside
Manchester United15 shots · 9 in box, 6 outside
LeedsManchester United
45% Possession 55%
0.90 Expected goals (xG) 1.58
0.90 Expected points (xPts) 1.85
11 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 2
6 Shots off target 8
2 Blocked shots 5
8 Shots inside the box 9
3 Shots outside the box 6
425 Passes 529
73% Pass accuracy 79%
6 Corners 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Fouls 9
1 Offsides 3
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
6.86 Team rating 6.91

Line-ups

Leeds 3-5-2

16.6 Lucas Perri(G)
57.3 P. Struijk A 157.0 J. Bijol 236.3 S. Bornauw ↓80’
36.9 G. Gudmundsson 446.9 I. Gruev ↓80’ 187.2 A. Stach 117.3 B. Aaronson ↓87’ 246.7 J. Justin
196.3 N. Okafor ↓75’ 96.9 D. Calvert-Lewin
  • 1Lucas Perri (G)6.6
  • 5P. StruijkA7.3
  • 15J. Bijol7.0
  • 23S. Bornauw↓80’6.3
  • 3G. Gudmundsson6.9
  • 44I. Gruev↓80’6.9
  • 18A. Stach7.2
  • 11B. Aaronson↓87’7.3
  • 24J. Justin6.7
  • 19N. Okafor↓75’6.3
  • 9D. Calvert-Lewin6.9

Substitutes used

  • 14L. Nmecha↑75’6.7
  • 10J. Piroe↑87’6.5
  • 22A. Tanaka↑80’6.9
  • 29D. Gnonto↑80’6.2

Unused: K. Darlow, S. Byram, S. Longstaff, J. Harrison, S. Chambers

Manchester United 3-4-2-1

316.9 S. Lammens(G)
67.2 L. Martínez 267.2 A. Heaven 156.9 L. Yoro ↓63’
236.6 L. Shaw 257.3 M. Ugarte 187.3 Casemiro 26.9 Diogo Dalot
107.5★ Matheus Cunha 136.3 P. Dorgu
306.0 B. Šeško
  • 31S. Lammens (G)6.9
  • 6L. Martínez7.2
  • 26A. Heaven7.2
  • 15L. Yoro↓63’6.9
  • 23L. Shaw6.6
  • 25M. Ugarte7.3
  • 18Casemiro7.3
  • 2Diogo Dalot6.9
  • 10Matheus Cunha ★7.5
  • 13P. Dorgu6.3
  • 30B. Šeško6.0

Substitutes used

  • 11J. ZirkzeeA↑63’6.6

Unused: A. Bayındır, T. Fredricson, G. Kukonki, T. Malacia, Tyler Fletcher, J. Fletcher, Shea Lacey, Bendito Mantato

Player stats

Top rated
Matheus CunhaManchester United7.5
2nd
P. StruijkLeeds7.3
3rd
B. AaronsonLeeds7.3

Leeds

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Lucas Perri G 90 0 0 1 sv 0 54% 28 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.6
P. Struijk D 90 0 1 0 (0) 1 74% 50 4 3 0/1 1/0 7.3
J. Bijol D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 77% 48 1 4 0/0 1/1 7.0
S. Bornauw D 80 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 36 1 2 0/0 1/0 6.3
G. Gudmundsson D 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 68% 37 2 1 1/2 2/2 6.9
I. Gruev M 80 0 0 0 (0) 0 84% 51 2 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
A. Stach M 90 0 0 1 (0) 4 76% 50 5 1 0/1 0/1 7.2
B. Aaronson M 87 1 0 2 (1) 1 79% 33 0 1 0/3 1/0 7.3
J. Justin D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 74% 39 2 4 0/2 1/1 6.7
N. Okafor F 75 0 0 1 (1) 0 78% 9 0 1 1/4 1/0 6.3
D. Calvert-Lewin F 90 0 0 2 (0) 0 56% 16 0 0 0/0 0/2 6.9
L. Nmecha F 15 0 0 0 (0) 1 50% 8 0 0 1/1 0/1 6.7
J. Piroe F 3 0 0 1 (0) 0 100% 3 0 0 1/2 0/0 6.5
A. Tanaka M 10 0 0 0 (0) 0 78% 9 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
D. Gnonto F 10 0 0 0 (0) 0 63% 8 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.2

Manchester United

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
S. Lammens G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 47% 30 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
L. Martínez D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 82% 72 1 3 0/0 0/0 7.2
A. Heaven D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 60 5 0 0/0 1/0 7.2
L. Yoro D 63 0 0 1 (1) 0 96% 26 2 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
L. Shaw D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 90% 30 2 1 0/0 2/2 6.6
M. Ugarte M 90 0 0 2 (0) 0 82% 49 6 2 1/1 1/2 7.3
Casemiro M 90 0 0 0 (0) 4 79% 72 3 0 0/0 0/1 7.3
Diogo Dalot D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 83% 63 2 0 0/0 1/0 6.9
Matheus Cunha F 90 1 0 3 (1) 1 70% 44 0 2 3/6 0/1 7.5
P. Dorgu D 90 0 0 1 (0) 2 82% 28 4 0 1/4 3/2 6.3
B. Šeško F 90 0 0 2 (0) 0 76% 34 0 0 0/1 0/1 6.0
J. Zirkzee F 27 0 1 0 (0) 2 71% 21 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.6

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.