Eredivisie Knockout phase Sat, Apr 25 2026 · 19:00 Rat Verlegh Stadion, Breda
NAC Breda
First leg1–2 0–2 Full time · HT 0–2 xG 1.45 – 2.38
Ajax
  • 20’ O. Gloukh
  • 41’ M. Godts
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Ajax beat NAC Breda

Ajax entered as favourites and won 2–0 through goals from Gloukh and Godts. Ajax finished with the higher xG (2.38 vs 1.45). On the chances created, NAC Breda deserved more: 0.9 expected points against the 0 points they took.

NAC Breda24%
Draw25%
Ajax ✓51%

Model vs reality

NAC Breda goals
0
Model 1.09 · xG 1.45
Ajax goals
2
Model 1.70 · xG 2.38
Total goals
2
Model 2.79 · xG 3.83
Score 0–2
9%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 53%
Both scored
No
Model 55%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchM. GodtsAjax · 1 goal · 1 assist
9.5
  • RefereeSerdar Gozubuyuk
  • CoachesC. Hoefkens · Oscar Garcia Junyent
  • VenueRat Verlegh Stadion
  • Table before kick-offNAC Breda 17th · Ajax 5th

Timeline

  1. O. Gloukh 0–1Assist M. Godts
    20’
  2. M. Godts 0–2Assist W. Weghorst
    41’
  3. Half time · 0–2
  4. ⇄ P. ReulenFor R. Paula
    56’
  5. ⇄ B. GhalidiFor C. Brym
    56’
  6. ⇄ A. AyewFor M. Soumano
    56’
  7. ⇄ Sean SteurFor O. Gloukh
    56’
  8. ⇄ L. HoltbyFor M. Balard
    71’
  9. ⇄ K. ItakuraFor S. Berghuis
    72’
  10. ⇄ Rayane BounidaFor Y. Regeer
    72’
  11. K. ItakuraYellow card · Holding
    78’
  12. ⇄ J. TalvitieFor C. Leemans
    82’
  13. ⇄ O. EdvardsenFor M. Godts
    82’
  14. W. WeghorstYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    85’
  15. Full time · 0–2

Team stats

NAC Breda21 shots · 11 in box, 10 outside
Ajax7 shots · 5 in box, 2 outside
NAC BredaAjax
58% Possession 42%
1.45 Expected goals (xG) 2.38
0.87 Expected points (xPts) 1.94
21 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 6
10 Shots off target 0
8 Blocked shots 1
11 Shots inside the box 5
10 Shots outside the box 2
493 Passes 374
87% Pass accuracy 82%
11 Corners 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Fouls 11
1 Offsides 0
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.80 Team rating 7.32

Line-ups

NAC Breda 4-2-3-1

997.2 D. Bielica(G)
46.5 B. Kemper 87.0 C. Leemans ↓82’ 206.2 F. Oldrup Jensen 37.3 D. Odoi
147.0 K. Sowah 166.9 M. Balard ↓71’
116.3 R. Paula ↓56’ 107.5 M. Nassoh 76.3 C. Brym ↓56’
96.5 M. Soumano ↓56’
  • 99D. Bielica (G)7.2
  • 4B. Kemper6.5
  • 8C. Leemans↓82’7.0
  • 20F. Oldrup Jensen6.2
  • 3D. Odoi7.3
  • 14K. Sowah7.0
  • 16M. Balard↓71’6.9
  • 11R. Paula↓56’6.3
  • 10M. Nassoh7.5
  • 7C. Brym↓56’6.3
  • 9M. Soumano↓56’6.5

Substitutes used

  • 32J. Talvitie↑82’6.2
  • 90L. Holtby↑71’6.5
  • 55B. Ghalidi↑56’7.2
  • 24A. Ayew↑56’6.3
  • 26P. Reulen↑56’6.2

Unused: R. Kortsmit, K. Lamprou, J. Candelaria, R. Hillen, C. Valerius, E. Mahmutović, A. Salama

Coach: C. Hoefkens

Ajax 4-3-3

267.7 M. Paes(G)
27.2 Lucas Rosa 157.6 Y. Baas 376.9 J. Šutalo 36.6 A. Gaaei
107.7 O. Gloukh ↓56’ 67.5 Y. Regeer ↓72’ 246.6 J. Mokio
119.5★ M. Godts A↓82’ 257.3 W. Weghorst A 236.9 S. Berghuis ↓72’
  • 26M. Paes (G)7.7
  • 2Lucas Rosa7.2
  • 15Y. Baas7.6
  • 37J. Šutalo6.9
  • 3A. Gaaei6.6
  • 10O. Gloukh↓56’7.7
  • 6Y. Regeer↓72’7.5
  • 24J. Mokio6.6
  • 11M. Godts ★A↓82’9.5
  • 25W. WeghorstA7.3
  • 23S. Berghuis↓72’6.9

Substitutes used

  • 4K. Itakura↑72’6.3
  • 48Sean Steur↑56’6.6
  • 43Rayane Bounida↑72’6.7
  • 17O. Edvardsen↑82’6.3

Unused: P. Reverson, Aymean el Hani, A. Bouwman, Ryan van de Pavert, O. Wijndal, Maher Carrizo, K. Dolberg, D. Konadu

Coach: Oscar Garcia Junyent

Player stats

Top rated
M. GodtsAjax9.5
2nd
M. PaesAjax7.7
3rd
O. GloukhAjax7.7

NAC Breda

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
D. Bielica G 90 0 0 4 sv 0 83% 18 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.2
B. Kemper D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 84% 43 3 0 1/2 1/1 6.5
C. Leemans M 82 0 0 0 (0) 1 93% 83 1 3 0/1 1/0 7.0
F. Oldrup Jensen M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 78 2 1 1/1 0/0 6.2
D. Odoi D 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 92% 53 3 0 0/1 1/2 7.3
K. Sowah M 90 0 0 3 (1) 0 96% 49 4 2 0/0 0/1 7.0
M. Balard M 71 0 0 1 (0) 1 92% 36 2 1 0/1 1/1 6.9
R. Paula M 56 0 0 1 (1) 0 70% 20 0 0 0/1 0/1 6.3
M. Nassoh M 90 0 0 1 (1) 3 90% 51 2 0 3/3 1/1 7.5
C. Brym F 56 0 0 2 (0) 0 38% 8 0 0 1/1 1/0 6.3
M. Soumano F 56 0 0 0 (0) 1 82% 11 0 0 1/2 0/1 6.5
J. Talvitie F 8 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 4 0 0 0/2 0/0 6.2
L. Holtby M 19 0 0 2 (0) 0 75% 4 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
B. Ghalidi F 34 0 0 0 (0) 1 84% 19 1 0 0/1 0/0 7.2
A. Ayew F 34 0 0 2 (0) 1 88% 8 0 0 0/0 0/2 6.3
P. Reulen F 34 0 0 1 (0) 1 100% 8 1 0 0/1 0/0 6.2

Ajax

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
M. Paes G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 52% 31 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.7
Lucas Rosa D 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 89% 35 10 4 1/3 1/0 7.2
Y. Baas D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 90% 29 1 1 0/1 0/1 7.6
J. Šutalo D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 97% 29 0 2 1/1 1/0 6.9
A. Gaaei D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 37 2 0 0/3 0/0 6.6
O. Gloukh M 56 1 0 1 (1) 0 70% 27 0 0 0/0 1/0 7.7
Y. Regeer M 72 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 34 5 2 0/0 1/1 7.5
J. Mokio D 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 76% 29 3 0 2/4 1/0 6.6
M. Godts F 82 1 1 2 (2) 3 90% 29 2 1 5/6 2/2 9.5
W. Weghorst F 90 0 1 1 (1) 1 71% 31 2 0 0/0 1/1 7.3
S. Berghuis F 72 0 0 0 (0) 1 82% 38 0 1 1/2 0/0 6.9
K. Itakura D 18 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 5 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.3
Sean Steur M 34 0 0 0 (0) 1 92% 13 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.6
Rayane Bounida M 18 0 0 0 (0) 0 71% 7 0 1 2/3 1/0 6.7
O. Edvardsen F 8 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.3

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.