Serie A Gameweek 21 Sat, Jan 17 2026 · 17:00 Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, Napoli
1–0 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 0.58 – 0.95
  • S. Lobotka 7’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Lobotka goal decides it for Napoli

Napoli entered as clear favourites and won 1–0 through a Lobotka goal. Napoli won despite the lower xG; Sassuolo created the better chances (0.95 vs 0.58). On the chances created, Sassuolo deserved more: 1.6 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Napoli ✓69%
Draw20%
Sassuolo11%

Model vs reality

Napoli goals
1
Model 2.11 · xG 0.58
Sassuolo goals
0
Model 0.73 · xG 0.95
Total goals
1
Model 2.84 · xG 1.53
Score 1–0
12%
Most likely 2–0 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 54%
Both scored
No
Model 46%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchS. LobotkaNapoli · 1 goal
7.9
  • RefereeFrancesco Fourneau
  • VenueStadio Diego Armando Maradona
  • Table before kick-offNapoli 3rd · Sassuolo 11th

Timeline

  1. S. Lobotka 1–0
    7’
  2. Half time · 1–0
  3. A. VranckxYellow card · Tripping
    53’
  4. ⇄ E. IannoniFor A. Vranckx
    54’
  5. ⇄ M. PolitanoFor E. Elmas
    56’
  6. ⇄ N. LangFor S. Beukema
    57’
  7. ⇄ P. MazzocchiFor A. Vergara
    62’
  8. F. GrossoYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    64’
  9. ⇄ A. BuongiornoFor A. Rrahmani
    67’
  10. ⇄ W. CoulibalyFor J. Doig
    81’
  11. ⇄ L. SkjellerupFor A. Fadera
    81’
  12. E. IannoniYellow card · Tripping
    84’
  13. ⇄ W. CheddiraFor A. Pinamonti
    89’
  14. ⇄ L. MoroFor L. Lipani
    89’
  15. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Napoli11 shots · 5 in box, 6 outside
Sassuolo21 shots · 9 in box, 12 outside
NapoliSassuolo
53% Possession 47%
0.58 Expected goals (xG) 0.95
1.00 Expected points (xPts) 1.64
11 Shots 21
4 Shots on target 4
6 Shots off target 7
1 Blocked shots 10
5 Shots inside the box 9
6 Shots outside the box 12
484 Passes 424
84% Pass accuracy 85%
5 Corners 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
10 Fouls 11
0 Offsides 2
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
6.85 Team rating 6.71

Line-ups

Napoli 3-4-2-1

327.3 V. Milinković-Savić(G)
56.9 Juan Jesus 136.6 A. Rrahmani ↓67’ 316.6 S. Beukema ↓57’
377.2 L. Spinazzola 86.9 S. McTominay 687.9★ S. Lobotka 226.2 G. Di Lorenzo
206.7 E. Elmas ↓56’ 267.3 A. Vergara ↓62’
196.0 R. Højlund
  • 32V. Milinković-Savić (G)7.3
  • 5Juan Jesus6.9
  • 13A. Rrahmani↓67’6.6
  • 31S. Beukema↓57’6.6
  • 37L. Spinazzola7.2
  • 8S. McTominay6.9
  • 68S. Lobotka ★7.9
  • 22G. Di Lorenzo6.2
  • 20E. Elmas↓56’6.7
  • 26A. Vergara↓62’7.3
  • 19R. Højlund6.0

Substitutes used

  • 21M. Politano↑56’6.3
  • 70N. Lang↑57’6.9
  • 30P. Mazzocchi↑62’6.3
  • 4A. Buongiorno↑67’6.9

Unused: Mathias Ferrante, N. Contini, L. Marianucci, Miguel Gutiérrez, M. Olivera, L. Lucca, G. Ambrosino

Sassuolo 4-3-3

497.0 A. Murić(G)
36.9 J. Doig ↓81’ 806.9 T. Muharemović 216.6 J. Idzes 66.9 S. Walukiewicz
406.2 A. Vranckx ↓54’ 186.9 N. Matić 356.2 L. Lipani ↓89’
457.2 A. Laurienté 996.3 A. Pinamonti ↓89’ 206.6 A. Fadera ↓81’
  • 49A. Murić (G)7.0
  • 3J. Doig↓81’6.9
  • 80T. Muharemović6.9
  • 21J. Idzes6.6
  • 6S. Walukiewicz6.9
  • 40A. Vranckx↓54’6.2
  • 18N. Matić6.9
  • 35L. Lipani↓89’6.2
  • 45A. Laurienté7.2
  • 99A. Pinamonti↓89’6.3
  • 20A. Fadera↓81’6.6

Substitutes used

  • 44E. Iannoni↑54’6.6
  • 25W. Coulibaly↑81’6.5
  • 24L. Moro↑89’
  • 9W. Cheddira↑89’
  • 14L. Skjellerup↑81’6.3

Unused: G. Satalino, G. Zacchi, S. Turati, F. Romagna, Y. Paz, C. Odenthal, Christian Frangella, N. Pierini

Player stats

Top rated
S. LobotkaNapoli7.9
2nd
V. Milinković-SavićNapoli7.3
3rd
A. VergaraNapoli7.3

Napoli

Sassuolo

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.