Premier League Gameweek 21 Wed, Jan 7 2026 · 20:15 St. James’ Park, Newcastle upon Tyne
Newcastle
4–3 Full time · HT 1–2 xG 2.44 – 1.89
Leeds
  • H. Barnes 36’, 90’
  • Joelinton 54’
  • Bruno Guimarães 90’ (P)
  • 32’, 79’ B. Aaronson
  • 45’ (P) D. Calvert-Lewin
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Newcastle come from behind to beat Leeds

Newcastle entered as favourites, yet Leeds led 1–0 after 32 minutes through a Aaronson goal. But Barnes, Joelinton and Guimarães scored to turn it around for Newcastle, who won 4–3. Newcastle finished with the higher xG (2.44 vs 1.89). On the chances created, Leeds deserved more: 1.1 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Newcastle ✓56%
Draw24%
Leeds21%

Model vs reality

Newcastle goals
4
Model 1.87 · xG 2.44
Leeds goals
3
Model 1.07 · xG 1.89
Total goals
7
Model 2.95 · xG 4.33
Score 4–3
1%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 56%
Both scored
Yes
Model 56%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchB. AaronsonLeeds · 2 goals
9.2
  • RefereeMichael Salisbury
  • VenueSt. James’ Park
  • Table before kick-offNewcastle 10th · Leeds 16th

Timeline

  1. M. ThiawYellow card · Foul
    7’
  2. D. Calvert-LewinYellow card · Foul
    22’
  3. B. Aaronson 0–1Assist D. Calvert-Lewin
    32’
  4. H. Barnes 1–1Assist N. Woltemade
    36’
  5. D. Calvert-Lewin (pen) 1–2
    45’
  6. A. GordonYellow card · Argument
    45+3’
  7. JoelintonYellow card · Simulation
    45+6’
  8. Half time · 1–2
  9. ⇄ S. BotmanFor M. Thiaw
    46’
  10. ⇄ V. LivramentoFor S. Tonali
    46’
  11. Joelinton 2–2Assist Bruno Guimarães
    54’
  12. ⇄ Y. WissaFor N. Woltemade
    75’
  13. ⇄ J. RamseyFor F. Schär
    76’
  14. B. Aaronson 2–3Assist I. Gruev
    79’
  15. ⇄ N. OkaforFor A. Stach
    80’
  16. ⇄ J. MurphyFor A. Gordon
    81’
  17. ⇄ L. NmechaFor D. Calvert-Lewin
    87’
  18. Bruno Guimarães (pen) 3–3
    90’
  19. H. Barnes 4–3Assist S. Botman
    90’
  20. ⇄ S. BornauwFor J. Rodon
    90+7’
  21. ⇄ A. TanakaFor I. Gruev
    90+7’
  22. ⇄ D. GnontoFor B. Aaronson
    90+7’
  23. E. AmpaduYellow card · Foul
    90+10’
  24. Full time · 4–3

Team stats

Newcastle18 shots · 15 in box, 3 outside
Leeds14 shots · 12 in box, 2 outside
NewcastleLeeds
63% Possession 37%
2.44 Expected goals (xG) 1.89
1.71 Expected points (xPts) 1.10
18 Shots 14
8 Shots on target 6
6 Shots off target 5
4 Blocked shots 3
15 Shots inside the box 12
3 Shots outside the box 2
545 Passes 334
86% Pass accuracy 77%
8 Corners 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
11 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 0
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
7.16 Team rating 7.00

Line-ups

Newcastle 4-3-3

17.3 N. Pope(G)
36.2 L. Hall 56.6 F. Schär ↓76’ 125.2 M. Thiaw ↓46’ 677.6 L. Miley
77.5 Joelinton 86.3 S. Tonali ↓46’ 398.2 Bruno Guimarães A
107.3 A. Gordon ↓81’ 277.2 N. Woltemade A↓75’ 118.7 H. Barnes
  • 1N. Pope (G)7.3
  • 3L. Hall6.2
  • 5F. Schär↓76’6.6
  • 12M. Thiaw↓46’5.2
  • 67L. Miley7.6
  • 7Joelinton7.5
  • 8S. Tonali↓46’6.3
  • 39Bruno GuimarãesA8.2
  • 10A. Gordon↓81’7.3
  • 27N. WoltemadeA↓75’7.2
  • 11H. Barnes8.7

Substitutes used

  • 9Y. Wissa↑75’6.3
  • 4S. BotmanA↑46’6.5
  • 41J. Ramsey↑76’6.7
  • 23J. Murphy↑81’6.7
  • 21V. Livramento↑46’6.6

Unused: A. Ramsdale, K. Trippier, J. Willock, A. Murphy

Leeds 3-1-4-2

16.9 Lucas Perri(G)
56.9 P. Struijk 156.5 J. Bijol 66.0 J. Rodon ↓90’
46.6 E. Ampadu
36.7 G. Gudmundsson 447.3 I. Gruev A↓90’ 187.3 A. Stach ↓80’ 246.2 J. Justin
119.2★ B. Aaronson ↓90’ 97.5 D. Calvert-Lewin A↓87’
  • 1Lucas Perri (G)6.9
  • 5P. Struijk6.9
  • 15J. Bijol6.5
  • 6J. Rodon↓90’6.0
  • 4E. Ampadu6.6
  • 3G. Gudmundsson6.7
  • 44I. GruevA↓90’7.3
  • 18A. Stach↓80’7.3
  • 24J. Justin6.2
  • 11B. Aaronson ★↓90’9.2
  • 9D. Calvert-LewinA↓87’7.5

Substitutes used

  • 23S. Bornauw↑90’
  • 19N. Okafor↑80’6.6
  • 14L. Nmecha↑87’6.9
  • 22A. Tanaka↑90’
  • 29D. Gnonto↑90’

Unused: K. Darlow, S. Byram, J. Harrison, J. Piroe

Player stats

Top rated
B. AaronsonLeeds9.2
2nd
H. BarnesNewcastle8.7
3rd
Bruno GuimarãesNewcastle8.2

Newcastle

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
N. Pope G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 65% 26 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.3
L. Hall D 90 0 0 0 (0) 3 86% 71 0 1 0/0 0/1 6.2
F. Schär D 76 0 0 1 (0) 0 87% 61 1 2 0/0 1/1 6.6
M. Thiaw D 46 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 37 0 0 0/0 3/0 5.2
L. Miley M 90 0 0 2 (0) 1 97% 67 5 2 0/0 0/1 7.6
Joelinton F 90 1 0 2 (2) 0 76% 33 3 0 2/4 2/2 7.5
S. Tonali M 46 0 0 0 (0) 0 90% 30 0 1 0/0 0/1 6.3
Bruno Guimarães M 90 1 1 1 (1) 5 89% 72 3 0 0/1 0/0 8.2
A. Gordon F 81 0 0 1 (0) 1 82% 22 0 0 2/6 0/0 7.3
N. Woltemade F 75 0 1 1 (1) 2 78% 9 1 1 0/0 1/0 7.2
H. Barnes M 90 2 0 3 (3) 0 82% 33 1 0 2/4 3/1 8.7
Y. Wissa M 15 0 0 2 (0) 0 75% 4 0 0 0/1 0/0 6.3
S. Botman D 44 0 1 1 (1) 1 84% 31 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.5
J. Ramsey M 14 0 0 0 (0) 1 88% 8 0 1 1/1 0/0 6.7
J. Murphy M 9 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 7 0 0 0/0 1/1 6.7
V. Livramento D 44 0 0 0 (0) 1 94% 34 0 1 1/1 0/0 6.6

Leeds

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Lucas Perri G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 50% 24 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.9
P. Struijk D 90 0 0 2 (0) 0 83% 48 0 2 0/0 0/0 6.9
J. Bijol D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 70% 33 0 1 0/0 0/0 6.5
J. Rodon D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 94% 18 0 1 0/0 0/1 6.0
E. Ampadu D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 44 4 3 0/0 4/2 6.6
G. Gudmundsson D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 67% 24 1 1 0/2 0/1 6.7
I. Gruev M 90 0 1 0 (0) 2 89% 36 2 3 2/2 0/1 7.3
A. Stach M 80 0 0 2 (1) 4 69% 26 3 0 2/2 1/0 7.3
J. Justin D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 62% 21 2 3 0/0 0/2 6.2
B. Aaronson M 90 2 0 3 (3) 1 77% 35 4 0 3/3 1/0 9.2
D. Calvert-Lewin F 87 1 1 1 (1) 1 76% 17 0 0 0/2 4/1 7.5
S. Bornauw D 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
N. Okafor F 10 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 4 0 1 1/3 0/0 6.6
L. Nmecha F 3 0 0 2 (1) 0 100% 2 0 1 0/0 0/0 6.9
A. Tanaka M 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
D. Gnonto F 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 1 0 0/0 0/0 —

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.