Belgian Pro League Knockout phase Sat, Apr 24 · 16:00 King Power at Den Dreef Stadion, Heverlee
OH Leuven 15th · 5 pts · 8 played
First leg0–3 VS— Compare
SK Beveren 11th · 9 pts · 8 played
Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel49 kmRest days7 · 7Matches / 14d2 · 2
Real contextStrength only
OH Leuven—%
Draw—%
SK Beveren—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (Heverlee)

Forecast from 9 Apr

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for OH Leuven and SK Beveren. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Team strength

OH LeuvenSK Beveren
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
18 Current StrengthIn forecast 25
17 AttackIn forecast 18
30 DefenceIn forecast 20
25 Form indexContext 25
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

OH Leuven

Attack—
Defense risk—

SK Beveren

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

OH LeuvenSK Beveren
0.75 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.00
1.75 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.75
1.07 xGVia Att/Def 0.73
2.38 xG allowedVia Att/Def 2.09
-0.32 Goals minus xGContext +0.27
63% Scored inContext 63%
13% Clean sheetsContext 38%
12.75 ShotsContext 10.25
2.38 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.25
19% On target shareContext 32%
8.50 Shots in the boxContext 7.00
69% Box shareContext 69%
6% ConversionContext 10%
1.50 OffsidesContext 1.88
14.75 Shots allowedContext 15.50
4.50 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.00
5.14 BlocksContext 3.50
3.14 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.29
63% Save rateContext 71%
48% PossessionIn forecast 51%
418 PassesContext 469
329 Accurate passesContext 382
79% Pass accuracyContext 81%
6.72 Team ratingContext 6.83
11.25 FoulsContext 8.75
11.38 Fouls sufferedContext 10.88
2.00 Yellow cardsContext 1.88
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.13
This league season, per match · 8 and 8 games
0.70 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.00
1.70 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.75
1.01 xGVia Att/Def 0.73
2.06 xG allowedVia Att/Def 2.09
-0.31 Goals minus xGContext +0.27
60% Scored inContext 63%
10% Clean sheetsContext 38%
12.70 ShotsContext 10.25
2.60 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.25
21% On target shareContext 32%
8.60 Shots in the boxContext 7.00
70% Box shareContext 69%
6% ConversionContext 10%
2.00 OffsidesContext 1.88
15.00 Shots allowedContext 15.50
4.80 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.00
4.78 BlocksContext 3.50
3.44 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.29
66% Save rateContext 71%
47% PossessionIn forecast 51%
402 PassesContext 469
318 Accurate passesContext 382
79% Pass accuracyContext 81%
6.74 Team ratingContext 6.83
10.90 FoulsContext 8.75
11.40 Fouls sufferedContext 10.88
1.60 Yellow cardsContext 1.88
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.13
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 8 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

OH Leuven
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel0 km353 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 25 · 5 pts vs 8.0 for an average club · +0.3 vs expected
  • D11 OctA · Union St. Gilloise1–10.3 xPts
  • W19 SepH · RAAL La Louvière2–01.5 xPts
  • D12 SepH · Cercle Brugge1–11.3 xPts
  • L6 SepA · SK Beveren0–31.1 xPts
  • L3 SepA · Gent0–10.6 xPts
SK Beveren
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel49 km81 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 25 · 6 pts vs 9.1 for an average club · -0.4 vs expected
  • L9 OctH · Lommel United1–31.4 xPts
  • L20 SepA · Kortrijk0–11.6 xPts
  • W12 SepH · St. Truiden2–01.1 xPts
  • W6 SepH · OH Leuven3–01.7 xPts
  • L28 AugA · Genk0–40.7 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
OH Leuven SK Beveren
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match7Belgian Pro League 2026-2027, 17 Apr7Belgian Pro League 2026-2027, 17 Apr
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km49 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways353 km81 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days1 / 2 / 31 / 2 / 3
Next matchdays after this one77

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

OH Leuven Last XI · not confirmed
3-4-3 · vs Union St. Gilloise (A) 1–1, 11 Oct
13K. Vroman(G)
34R. Nyakossi 3Noë Dussenne 5J. Lawrence
99D. Opoku 8S. Schrijvers 6W. George 27Óscar Gil
21W. Balikwisha 18Robin Mirisola 24Ł. Łakomy
SK Beveren Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs Lommel United (H) 1–3, 9 Oct
1J. Schenk(G)
4C. Janssens 31B. Godeau 35Y. Gomis 25C. Konaté
44C. Conde 18S. Dewaele
17J. Margaritha 22C. Brüls 5C. Lokesa
9M. Kaboré

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
OH Leuven Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
SK Beveren Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

OH Leuven · Home 1.00points per game · 4 home games
W-D-L
1-1-2
Scored
1.00
Conceded
1.50
SK Beveren · Away 0.00points per game · 4 away games
W-D-L
0-0-4
Scored
0.25
Conceded
2.75

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head last 1 of 1 meetings

0 OH Leuven wins0 draws1 SK Beveren wins
Goals per game0.00 – 3.00 Over 2.5100% Both scored0% Clean sheets0% · 100%
  • 6 Sep 2026SK Beveren3–0OH Leuven

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

OH LeuvenSK BeverenForecast
Scored per game 0.751.00
Conceded per game 1.751.75
Match goals 2.502.75
Over 1.5 88%75%
Over 2.5 50%63%
Over 3.5 13%38%
Both teams scored 50%25%
Clean sheets 13%38%
Failed to score 38%38%
Games88
OH LeuvenSK BeverenForecast
Scored per game 0.901.00
Conceded per game 1.401.75
Match goals 2.302.75
Over 1.5 80%75%
Over 2.5 40%63%
Over 3.5 10%38%
Both teams scored 40%25%
Clean sheets 30%38%
Failed to score 30%38%
Games108

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

OH LeuvenSK BeverenLeague
Corners
Corners won3.255.00
Corners conceded8.254.38
Match total11.509.3810.01
Over 8.575% 6/850% 4/8
Over 9.563% 5/838% 3/8
Over 10.563% 5/838% 3/8
Cards
Cards2.132.00
Opponent cards1.631.25
Match total3.763.253.36
Over 3.575% 6/838% 3/8
Over 4.525% 2/825% 2/8
OH LeuvenSK BeverenLeague
Corners
Corners won3.605.00
Corners conceded8.204.38
Match total11.809.3810.01
Over 8.570% 7/1050% 4/8
Over 9.560% 6/1038% 3/8
Over 10.560% 6/1038% 3/8
Cards
Cards1.702.00
Opponent cards1.501.25
Match total3.203.253.36
Over 3.560% 6/1038% 3/8
Over 4.520% 2/1025% 2/8

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Goal timing

OH Leuven8 games · scored 6 · conceded 14
1 0-15
2 2 16-30
2 31-45
3 46-60
1 3 61-75
1 5 76-90
SK Beveren8 games · scored 8 · conceded 14
1 1 0-15
1 3 16-30
1 2 31-45
2 5 46-60
1 2 61-75
2 1 76-90
OH Leuven10 games · scored 7 · conceded 17
1 0-15
3 3 16-30
2 1 31-45
4 46-60
1 3 61-75
1 5 76-90
SK Beveren8 games · scored 8 · conceded 14
1 1 0-15
1 3 16-30
1 2 31-45
2 5 46-60
1 2 61-75
2 1 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.

Next fixtures Belgian Pro League

View all fixtures →
Lommel United St. Truiden Apr 2416:00 OH Leuven SK Beveren Apr 2416:00 Anderlecht Cercle Brugge Apr 2416:00 Club Brugge KV Union St. Gilloise Apr 2416:00 Zulte Waregem KV Mechelen Apr 2416:00 Kortrijk KVC Westerlo Apr 2416:00 Antwerp Gent Apr 2416:00 Genk Charleroi Apr 2416:00 RAAL La Louvière Standard Liege Apr 2416:00