La Liga Gameweek 28 Sat, Mar 14 2026 · 17:30 Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere, Oviedo
1–0 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 0.87 – 0.39
  • David Costas 30’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Costas goal decides it for Oviedo

Valencia entered as narrow favourites, but Oviedo won 1–0 through a Costas goal. Oviedo finished with the higher xG (0.87 vs 0.39). On the chances created, Valencia deserved more: 0.9 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Oviedo ✓27%
Draw28%
Valencia46%

Model vs reality

Oviedo goals
1
Model 1.04 · xG 0.87
Valencia goals
0
Model 1.44 · xG 0.39
Total goals
1
Model 2.48 · xG 1.26
Score 1–0
8%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 45%
Both scored
No
Model 50%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchDavid CostasOviedo · 1 goal
8.2
  • RefereeMiguel Sesma Espinosa
  • CoachesGuillermo Almada Alves Jorge · —
  • VenueEstadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere
  • Table before kick-offOviedo 20th · Valencia 13th

Timeline

  1. Thierry CorreiaYellow card
    16’
  2. David Costas 1–0Assist T. Fernandez
    30’
  3. Unai NúñezYellow card · Elbowing
    32’
  4. T. FernandezYellow card · Tripping
    36’
  5. Nacho VidalYellow card · Tripping
    41’
  6. Half time · 1–0
  7. ⇄ Hugo DuroFor U. Sadiq
    56’
  8. ⇄ André AlmeidaFor F. Ugrinic
    56’
  9. ⇄ Luis RiojaFor A. Danjuma
    56’
  10. N. FonsecaYellow card · Roughing
    59’
  11. ⇄ I. ChairaFor L. Ilić
    63’
  12. ⇄ Diego LópezFor Javi Guerra
    70’
  13. ⇄ S. ColombattoFor N. Fonseca
    70’
  14. ⇄ H. HassanFor T. Fernandez
    70’
  15. VAR Alberto ReinaGoal Disallowed - offside
    77’
  16. ⇄ L. BeltránFor José Gayà
    80’
  17. ⇄ Dani CalvoFor Nacho Vidal
    85’
  18. ⇄ Santi CazorlaFor Alberto Reina
    85’
  19. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Oviedo11 shots · 7 in box, 4 outside
Valencia12 shots · 5 in box, 7 outside
OviedoValencia
42% Possession 58%
0.87 Expected goals (xG) 0.39
1.75 Expected points (xPts) 0.86
11 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 2
4 Shots off target 5
1 Blocked shots 5
7 Shots inside the box 5
4 Shots outside the box 7
366 Passes 499
83% Pass accuracy 85%
4 Corners 7
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
12 Fouls 10
4 Offsides 3
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
7.07 Team rating 6.52

Line-ups

Oviedo 4-2-3-1

137.0 Aarón Escandell(G)
257.3 Javi López 48.2★ David Costas 26.9 E. Bailly 226.9 Nacho Vidal ↓85’
237.2 N. Fonseca ↓70’ 66.9 Kwasi Sibo
156.9 T. Fernandez A↓70’ 56.9 Alberto Reina ↓85’ 216.3 L. Ilić ↓63’
97.3 Federico Viñas
  • 13Aarón Escandell (G)7.0
  • 25Javi López7.3
  • 4David Costas ★8.2
  • 2E. Bailly6.9
  • 22Nacho Vidal↓85’6.9
  • 23N. Fonseca↓70’7.2
  • 6Kwasi Sibo6.9
  • 15T. FernandezA↓70’6.9
  • 5Alberto Reina↓85’6.9
  • 21L. Ilić↓63’6.3
  • 9Federico Viñas7.3

Substitutes used

  • 12Dani Calvo↑85’6.6
  • 8Santi Cazorla↑85’6.7
  • 11S. Colombatto↑70’6.9
  • 10H. Hassan↑70’6.7
  • 7I. Chaira↑63’6.6

Unused: H. Moldovan, Miguel Narvaez, Abdel Rahim, David Carmo, Adri Fernández, Pablo Agudín, Álex Forés

Coach: Guillermo Almada Alves Jorge

Valencia 4-2-3-1

17.6 S. Dimitrievski(G)
146.3 José Gayà ↓80’ 246.7 E. Cömert 45.9 Unai Núñez 126.7 Thierry Correia
26.6 G. Rodríguez 86.3 Javi Guerra ↓70’
76.3 A. Danjuma ↓56’ 236.6 F. Ugrinic ↓56’ 176.0 L. Ramazani
66.3 U. Sadiq ↓56’
  • 1S. Dimitrievski (G)7.6
  • 14José Gayà↓80’6.3
  • 24E. Cömert6.7
  • 4Unai Núñez5.9
  • 12Thierry Correia6.7
  • 2G. Rodríguez6.6
  • 8Javi Guerra↓70’6.3
  • 7A. Danjuma↓56’6.3
  • 23F. Ugrinic↓56’6.6
  • 17L. Ramazani6.0
  • 6U. Sadiq↓56’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 10André Almeida↑56’7.3
  • 11Luis Rioja↑56’6.3
  • 9Hugo Duro↑56’6.3
  • 16Diego López↑70’6.9
  • 15L. Beltrán↑80’6.2

Unused: Cristian Rivero, César Tárrega, R. Saravia, Jesús Vázquez, Pepelu, B. Santamaría, Dani Raba

Player stats

Top rated
David CostasOviedo8.2
2nd
S. DimitrievskiValencia7.6
3rd
Javi LópezOviedo7.3

Oviedo

Valencia

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.