Serie A Gameweek 6 Sat, Oct 4 2025 · 14:00 Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma
0–1 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 0.86 – 0.47
  • 38’ R. Sottil
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Sottil goal decides it for Lecce

Parma entered as favourites, but Lecce won 1–0 through a Sottil goal. Lecce won despite the lower xG; Parma created the better chances (0.86 vs 0.47). On the chances created, Parma deserved more: 1.7 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Parma51%
Draw27%
Lecce ✓22%

Model vs reality

Parma goals
0
Model 1.53 · xG 0.86
Lecce goals
1
Model 0.94 · xG 0.47
Total goals
1
Model 2.47 · xG 1.33
Score 0–1
7%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 45%
Both scored
No
Model 48%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchA. CircatiParma
7.7
  • RefereeDaniele Doveri
  • VenueStadio Ennio Tardini
  • Table before kick-offParma 14th · Lecce 20th

Timeline

  1. ⇄ M. LøvikFor E. Valeri
    26’
  2. R. Sottil 0–1Assist A. Gallo
    38’
  3. Half time · 0–1
  4. ⇄ P. AlmqvistFor Sascha Britschgi
    46’
  5. ⇄ A. BenedyczakFor O. Sørensen
    67’
  6. ⇄ L. BandaFor R. Sottil
    68’
  7. ⇄ F. CamardaFor N. Štulić
    76’
  8. A. NdiayeYellow card · Roughing
    82’
  9. ⇄ M. ĐurićFor M. Løvik
    84’
  10. ⇄ N. EstévezFor Adrián Bernabé
    84’
  11. ⇄ M. KabaFor L. Coulibaly
    88’
  12. ⇄ C. NdabaFor M. Berisha
    88’
  13. Full time · 0–1

Team stats

Parma9 shots · 6 in box, 3 outside
Lecce7 shots · 4 in box, 3 outside
ParmaLecce
64% Possession 36%
0.86 Expected goals (xG) 0.47
1.66 Expected points (xPts) 0.95
9 Shots 7
2 Shots on target 3
6 Shots off target 3
1 Blocked shots 1
6 Shots inside the box 4
3 Shots outside the box 3
470 Passes 266
83% Pass accuracy 67%
4 Corners 9
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
16 Fouls 15
2 Offsides 2
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
6.86 Team rating 6.74

Line-ups

Parma 3-5-2

317.0 Z. Suzuki(G)
37.2 A. Ndiaye 397.7★ A. Circati 156.9 E. Delprato
146.3 E. Valeri ↓26’ 106.9 Adrián Bernabé ↓84’ 167.2 L. Keita 226.7 O. Sørensen ↓67’ 276.3 Sascha Britschgi ↓46’
96.5 Mateo Pellegrino 326.5 P. Cutrone
  • 31Z. Suzuki (G)7.0
  • 3A. Ndiaye7.2
  • 39A. Circati ★7.7
  • 15E. Delprato6.9
  • 14E. Valeri↓26’6.3
  • 10Adrián Bernabé↓84’6.9
  • 16L. Keita7.2
  • 22O. Sørensen↓67’6.7
  • 27Sascha Britschgi↓46’6.3
  • 9Mateo Pellegrino6.5
  • 32P. Cutrone6.5

Substitutes used

  • 18M. Løvik6.5
  • 11P. Almqvist↑46’6.7
  • 7A. Benedyczak↑67’6.5
  • 8N. Estévez↑84’6.6
  • 30M. Đurić↑84’6.7

Unused: E. Corvi, F. Rinaldi, Mariano Troilo, Nicolas Trabucchi, C. Ordoñez, Elia Plicco, T. Begić

Lecce 4-3-3

306.7 W. Falcone(G)
256.9 A. Gallo A 447.0 Tiago Gabriel 46.6 E. Gaspar 176.6 Danilo Veiga
106.9 M. Berisha ↓88’ 206.9 Y. Ramadani 296.7 L. Coulibaly ↓88’
237.6 R. Sottil ↓68’ 96.0 N. Štulić ↓76’ 506.5 S. Pierotti
  • 30W. Falcone (G)6.7
  • 25A. GalloA6.9
  • 44Tiago Gabriel7.0
  • 4E. Gaspar6.6
  • 17Danilo Veiga6.6
  • 10M. Berisha↓88’6.9
  • 20Y. Ramadani6.9
  • 29L. Coulibaly↓88’6.7
  • 23R. Sottil↓68’7.6
  • 9N. Štulić↓76’6.0
  • 50S. Pierotti6.5

Substitutes used

  • 3C. Ndaba↑88’
  • 77M. Kaba↑88’
  • 19L. Banda↑68’6.3
  • 22F. Camarda↑76’6.5

Unused: J. Samooja, C. Früchtl, Owen Kouassi, J. Siebert, Þ. Helgason, Niko Kovač, Álex Sala, K. N’Dri

Player stats

Top rated
A. CircatiParma7.7
2nd
R. SottilLecce7.6
3rd
A. NdiayeParma7.2

Parma

Lecce

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.