Eredivisie Knockout phase Sat, Jan 24 2026 · 19:00 Philips Stadion, Eindhoven
First leg1–0 2–2 Full time · HT 1–2 xG 1.54 – 1.50
  • C. Driouech 27’
  • A. Obispo 90+2’
  • 45’ B. Kemper
  • 45+1’ C. Brym
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

PSV Eindhoven snatch a late draw

PSV Eindhoven entered as clear favourites, yet NAC Breda led 2–1 at half-time through goals from Kemper and Brym. But Obispo scored to rescue a draw for PSV Eindhoven. The chances were even, with xG of 1.54 and 1.50.

PSV Eindhoven87%
Draw ✓9%
NAC Breda4%

Model vs reality

PSV Eindhoven goals
2
Model 3.31 · xG 1.54
NAC Breda goals
2
Model 0.62 · xG 1.50
Total goals
4
Model 3.92 · xG 3.04
Score 2–2
2%
Most likely 3–0 (12%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 75%
Both scored
Yes
Model 45%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchJ. VeermanPSV Eindhoven · 2 assists
8.2
  • RefereeDennis Higler
  • Coaches— · C. Hoefkens
  • VenuePhilips Stadion
  • Table before kick-offPSV Eindhoven 1st · NAC Breda 17th

Timeline

  1. C. Driouech 1–0Assist J. Veerman
    27’
  2. R. HillenYellow card · misses next match
    41’
  3. J. SchoutenYellow card · misses next match
    43’
  4. B. Kemper 1–1Assist M. Nassoh
    45’
  5. C. Brym 1–2
    45+1’
  6. Half time · 1–2
  7. ⇄ K. SildilliaFor S. Dest
    46’
  8. ⇄ E. BajraktarevićFor D. Man
    46’
  9. P. WannerYellow card · Foul
    58’
  10. ⇄ I. PerišićFor N. Fernandez
    60’
  11. M. BalardYellow card · Foul
    70’
  12. ⇄ A. AyewFor M. Soumano
    71’
  13. ⇄ L. HoltbyFor C. Brym
    78’
  14. I. SaibariYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    79’
  15. ⇄ R. FlamingoFor C. Driouech
    81’
  16. D. BielicaYellow card · Delay of game
    82’
  17. A. Obispo 2–2Assist J. Veerman
    90+2’
  18. Full time · 2–2

Team stats

PSV Eindhoven16 shots · 11 in box, 5 outside
NAC Breda6 shots · 6 in box
PSV EindhovenNAC Breda
73% Possession 27%
1.54 Expected goals (xG) 1.50
1.41 Expected points (xPts) 1.35
16 Shots 6
4 Shots on target 2
9 Shots off target 3
3 Blocked shots 1
11 Shots inside the box 6
5 Shots outside the box 0
665 Passes 248
86% Pass accuracy 70%
10 Corners 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
13 Fouls 13
1 Offsides 2
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
6.84 Team rating 6.66

Line-ups

PSV Eindhoven 4-2-3-1

326.3 M. Kovář(G)
316.3 N. Fernandez ↓60’ 47.5 A. Obispo 225.9 J. Schouten 85.9 S. Dest ↓46’
238.2★ J. Veerman AA 177.2 Mauro Júnior
117.5 C. Driouech ↓81’ 106.5 P. Wanner 276.5 D. Man ↓46’
346.3 I. Saibari
  • 32M. Kovář (G)6.3
  • 31N. Fernandez↓60’6.3
  • 4A. Obispo7.5
  • 22J. Schouten5.9
  • 8S. Dest↓46’5.9
  • 23J. Veerman ★A×28.2
  • 17Mauro Júnior7.2
  • 11C. Driouech↓81’7.5
  • 10P. Wanner6.5
  • 27D. Man↓46’6.5
  • 34I. Saibari6.3

Substitutes used

  • 25K. Sildillia↑46’7.5
  • 19E. Bajraktarević↑46’7.0
  • 5I. Perišić↑60’6.7
  • 6R. Flamingo↑81’6.9

Unused: N. Schiks, T. Smolenaars, Yarek Gąsiorowski, Nicolas Verkooijen

NAC Breda 5-3-2

997.2 D. Bielica(G)
47.3 B. Kemper 226.7 R. Hillen 126.9 L. Greiml 35.5 D. Odoi 255.9 C. Valerius
146.7 K. Sowah 166.3 M. Balard 106.7 M. Nassoh A
96.2 M. Soumano ↓71’ 77.9 C. Brym ↓78’
  • 99D. Bielica (G)7.2
  • 4B. Kemper7.3
  • 22R. Hillen6.7
  • 12L. Greiml6.9
  • 3D. Odoi5.5
  • 25C. Valerius5.9
  • 14K. Sowah6.7
  • 16M. Balard6.3
  • 10M. NassohA6.7
  • 9M. Soumano↓71’6.2
  • 7C. Brym↓78’7.9

Substitutes used

  • 90L. Holtby↑78’6.5
  • 24A. Ayew↑71’6.7

Unused: K. Lamprou, R. Kortsmit, B. Lucassen, J. Candelaria, E. Mahmutović, J. Talvitie, C. Leemans, C. Staring, B. Ghalidi, S. van Hooijdonk

Coach: C. Hoefkens

Player stats

Top rated
J. VeermanPSV Eindhoven8.2
2nd
C. BrymNAC Breda7.9
3rd
A. ObispoPSV Eindhoven7.5

PSV Eindhoven

NAC Breda

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.