Real Betis vs Racing Santander

La Liga Gameweek 16 Sun, Dec 13 · 16:00 Estadio Benito Villamarín, Sevilla

Real Betis 4th · 19 pts · 9 played WWDWL

VS— Compare

Racing Santander 16th · 8 pts · 9 played WLLDL

Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel701 kmRest days3.9 · 7Matches / 14d3 · 2

Real contextStrength only

Real Betis—%

Draw—%

Racing Santander—%

Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.

Weather (Sevilla)

Forecast from 28 Nov

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Headlines

Attack

Defence

Streaks

Streak Real Betis 10+ Scoring in a row Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Scoring in a row

Team strength

Real Betis

Racing Santander

— L90 StrengthIn forecast —

72 Current StrengthIn forecast 41

79 AttackIn forecast 42

59 DefenceIn forecast 22

80 Form indexContext 34

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Real Betis

Attack—

Defense risk—

Racing Santander

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Real Betis

Racing Santander

1.78 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.44

1.56 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.78

1.65 xGVia Att/Def 1.31

1.96 xG allowedVia Att/Def 2.28

+0.13 Goals minus xGContext +0.13

100% Scored inContext 67%

44% Clean sheetsContext 0%

16.44 ShotsContext 11.22

6.33 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.44

39% On target shareContext 40%

9.67 Shots in the boxContext 6.38

56% Box shareContext 54%

11% ConversionContext 13%

1.33 OffsidesContext 1.78

15.33 Shots allowedContext 16.33

6.22 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.67

3.78 BlocksContext 3.56

4.33 Goalkeeper savesContext 5.00

70% Save rateContext 61%

51% PossessionIn forecast 50%

495 PassesContext 437

429 Accurate passesContext 362

87% Pass accuracyContext 83%

7.03 Team ratingContext 6.62

9.89 FoulsContext 13.78

11.67 Fouls sufferedContext 14.78

1.56 Yellow cardsContext 2.67

0.11 Red cardsContext 0.11

This league season, per match · 9 and 9 games

2.10 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.70

1.80 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.60

1.71 xGVia Att/Def 1.47

1.79 xG allowedVia Att/Def 2.17

+0.39 Goals minus xGContext +0.23

100% Scored inContext 70%

30% Clean sheetsContext 0%

16.70 ShotsContext 12.20

6.20 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.80

37% On target shareContext 39%

10.00 Shots in the boxContext 7.56

58% Box shareContext 57%

13% ConversionContext 14%

1.40 OffsidesContext 1.80

14.60 Shots allowedContext 15.90

6.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.30

3.50 BlocksContext 3.40

4.33 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.63

67% Save rateContext 62%

52% PossessionIn forecast 50%

504 PassesContext 441

438 Accurate passesContext 367

87% Pass accuracyContext 83%

6.98 Team ratingContext 6.70

10.70 FoulsContext 13.40

11.90 Fouls sufferedContext 14.10

1.80 Yellow cardsContext 2.40

0.10 Red cardsContext 0.10

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Real Betis WDWWL

Rest3.9 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d3all competitions

Travel0 km781 km in 14d

Schedule load15%Low

Form 80 · 10 pts vs 6.1 for an average club · +2.3 vs expected

L17 OctH · Barcelona2–50.8 xPts
W14 OctH · FC Porto3–21.4 xPts
W11 OctH · Osasuna5–22.0 xPts
D20 SepA · Deportivo La Coruna1–11.6 xPts
W17 SepH · Getafe1–02.0 xPts

Racing Santander WLLDL

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel701 km1,055 km in 14d

Schedule load6%Low

Form 34 · 4 pts vs 5.8 for an average club · -1.4 vs expected

L18 OctA · Osasuna0–21.1 xPts
D11 OctH · Valencia2–21.6 xPts
L19 SepA · Celta Vigo0–51.2 xPts
L16 SepA · Barcelona2–70.2 xPts
W12 SepH · Alaves2–11.3 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Real Betis	Racing Santander
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 15	Low · 6
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	3.9UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase, 9 Dec	7La Liga 2026-2027, 6 Dec
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	701 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	781 km	1,055 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	2 / 3 / 5	1 / 2 / 3
Next matchdays after this one	7	7

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Real Betis Last XI · not confirmed

4-2-3-1 · vs Barcelona (H) 2–5, 17 Oct

1Álvaro Vallés(G)

11Fran García 16Valentín Gómez 3Diego Llorente 2Héctor Bellerín

25Dani Ceballos 6F. Bernal

10A. Ezzalzouli 8Pablo Fornals 20G. Lo Celso

9C. Hernández

Racing Santander Last XI · not confirmed

4-2-3-1 · vs Osasuna (A) 0–2, 18 Oct

13Julen Agirrezabala(G)

17Jorge Salinas 24J. Belocian 5Pablo Ramón 2Álvaro Mantilla

18M. Prati 23Iván Martín

10Iñigo Vicente 8André Almeida 20Sergio Canales

21M. Zabiri

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Real Betis Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Racing Santander Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Real Betis · Home 2.40points per game · 5 home games

W-D-L: 4-0-1
Scored: 2.00
Conceded: 1.40

Racing Santander · Away 0.00points per game · 5 away games

W-D-L: 0-0-5
Scored: 0.80
Conceded: 3.60

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 5 this season

Opponent	Real Betis	Racing Santander
Barcelona	L 2–5 H	L 2–7 A
Osasuna	W 5–2 H	L 0–2 A
Getafe	W 1–0 H	L 0–1 A
Villarreal	W 2–1 A	D 2–2 H
Valencia	W 1–0 A	D 2–2 H
Points	12 of 15 · 2.40 per game	2 of 15 · 0.40 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

	Real Betis	Racing Santander
Scored per game	1.78	1.44
Conceded per game	1.56	2.78
Match goals	3.33	4.22
Over 1.5	56%	89%
Over 2.5	44%	78%
Over 3.5	33%	67%
Both teams scored	56%	67%
Clean sheets	44%	0%
Failed to score	0%	33%
Games	9	9

	Real Betis	Racing Santander
Scored per game	2.10	1.44
Conceded per game	1.80	2.78
Match goals	3.90	4.22
Over 1.5	70%	89%
Over 2.5	60%	78%
Over 3.5	50%	67%
Both teams scored	70%	67%
Clean sheets	30%	0%
Failed to score	0%	33%
Games	10	9

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Real Betis	Racing Santander	League
Corners
Corners won	4.78	5.25
Corners conceded	6.44	7.00
Match total	11.22	12.25	9.91
Over 8.5	78% 7/9	88% 7/8
Over 9.5	67% 6/9	88% 7/8
Over 10.5	56% 5/9	75% 6/8
Cards
Cards	1.67	2.78
Opponent cards	2.67	2.67
Match total	4.34	5.45	4.73
Over 3.5	56% 5/9	89% 8/9
Over 4.5	56% 5/9	78% 7/9

	Real Betis	Racing Santander	League
Corners
Corners won	4.90	5.00
Corners conceded	5.90	6.56
Match total	10.80	11.56	9.91
Over 8.5	70% 7/10	78% 7/9
Over 9.5	70% 7/10	78% 7/9
Over 10.5	50% 5/10	67% 6/9
Cards
Cards	1.90	2.50
Opponent cards	2.60	2.40
Match total	4.50	4.90	4.73
Over 3.5	60% 6/10	80% 8/10
Over 4.5	60% 6/10	70% 7/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.