Primeira Liga Gameweek 7 Sun, Sep 28 2025 · 18:00 Estádio Municipal de Braga, Braga
SC Braga
0–1 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 0.42 – 0.89
Nacional
  • 6’ J. Ramírez
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Ramírez goal decides it for Nacional

SC Braga entered as clear favourites, but Nacional won 1–0 through a Ramírez goal. Nacional finished with the higher xG (0.89 vs 0.42). On the chances created, SC Braga deserved more: 0.9 expected points against the 0 points they took.

SC Braga70%
Draw19%
Nacional ✓11%

Model vs reality

SC Braga goals
0
Model 2.20 · xG 0.42
Nacional goals
1
Model 0.76 · xG 0.89
Total goals
1
Model 2.96 · xG 1.31
Score 0–1
3%
Most likely 2–0 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 57%
Both scored
No
Model 48%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchJ. RamírezNacional · 1 goal
7.7
  • RefereeMiguel Andre Monteiro Fonseca
  • VenueEstádio Municipal de Braga
  • Table before kick-offSC Braga 7th · Nacional 17th

Timeline

  1. J. Ramírez 0–1Assist José Gomes
    6’
  2. LizieroYellow card · Roughing
    12’
  3. Half time · 0–1
  4. ⇄ Gabri MartínezFor R. Zalazar
    46’
  5. ⇄ D. RodriguesFor João Moutinho
    46’
  6. ⇄ Jean-Baptiste GorbyFor B. Arrey-Mbi
    46’
  7. ⇄ WitiFor Pablo Ruan
    64’
  8. ⇄ Filipe SoaresFor C. Labidi
    64’
  9. ⇄ Pau VíctorFor Fran Navarro
    68’
  10. ⇄ F. GrillitschFor Víctor Gómez
    76’
  11. ⇄ Francisco GonçalvesFor Ulisses
    79’
  12. ⇄ Martim WattsFor Paulinho Bóia
    79’
  13. ⇄ Lucas JoãoFor J. Ramírez
    85’
  14. Léo SantosYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    90+3’
  15. Full time · 0–1

Team stats

SC Braga7 shots · 3 in box, 4 outside
Nacional13 shots · 6 in box, 7 outside
SC BragaNacional
60% Possession 40%
0.42 Expected goals (xG) 0.89
0.88 Expected points (xPts) 1.74
7 Shots 13
1 Shots on target 5
3 Shots off target 6
3 Blocked shots 2
3 Shots inside the box 6
4 Shots outside the box 7
595 Passes 404
81% Pass accuracy 76%
6 Corners 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Fouls 6
0 Offsides 3
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.62 Team rating 6.94

Line-ups

SC Braga 3-4-2-1

16.2 L. Horníček(G)
266.2 B. Arrey-Mbi ↓46’ 46.9 S. Niakaté 146.6 G. Lagerbielke
57.0 Leonardo Lelo 86.2 João Moutinho ↓46’ 176.7 Gabriel Moscardo 26.9 Víctor Gómez ↓76’
217.0 Ricardo Horta 106.2 R. Zalazar ↓46’
396.5 Fran Navarro ↓68’
  • 1L. Horníček (G)6.2
  • 26B. Arrey-Mbi↓46’6.2
  • 4S. Niakaté6.9
  • 14G. Lagerbielke6.6
  • 5Leonardo Lelo7.0
  • 8João Moutinho↓46’6.2
  • 17Gabriel Moscardo6.7
  • 2Víctor Gómez↓76’6.9
  • 21Ricardo Horta7.0
  • 10R. Zalazar↓46’6.2
  • 39Fran Navarro↓68’6.5

Substitutes used

  • 29Jean-Baptiste Gorby↑46’6.3
  • 77Gabri Martínez↑46’6.6
  • 50D. Rodrigues↑46’6.6
  • 27F. Grillitsch↑76’6.3
  • 18Pau Víctor↑68’6.6

Unused: A. Bellaarouch, Yanis da Rocha, Vitor Carvalho, A. El Ouazzani

Nacional 5-4-1

16.7 Kaique(G)
57.5 José Gomes A 386.9 Zé Vitor 347.0 Léo Santos 46.9 Ulisses ↓79’ 26.9 João Aurélio
116.7 Paulinho Bóia ↓79’ 156.0 C. Labidi ↓64’ 287.3 Liziero 996.9 Pablo Ruan ↓64’
97.7★ J. Ramírez ↓85’
  • 1Kaique (G)6.7
  • 5José GomesA7.5
  • 38Zé Vitor6.9
  • 34Léo Santos7.0
  • 4Ulisses↓79’6.9
  • 2João Aurélio6.9
  • 11Paulinho Bóia↓79’6.7
  • 15C. Labidi↓64’6.0
  • 28Liziero7.3
  • 99Pablo Ruan↓64’6.9
  • 9J. Ramírez ★↓85’7.7

Substitutes used

  • 33Francisco Gonçalves↑79’6.6
  • 30Martim Watts↑79’6.5
  • 7Witi↑64’6.3
  • 22Filipe Soares↑64’6.3
  • 19Lucas João↑85’6.7

Unused: Kevyn, Alan Nuñez, André Sousa, Joel Silva

Player stats

Top rated
J. RamírezNacional7.7
2nd
José GomesNacional7.5
3rd
LizieroNacional7.3

SC Braga

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
L. Horníček G 90 0 0 4 sv 0 66% 29 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
B. Arrey-Mbi D 46 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 41 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
S. Niakaté D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 84% 88 0 2 1/1 1/0 6.9
G. Lagerbielke D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 81% 81 1 0 0/1 0/1 6.6
Leonardo Lelo D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 84% 62 4 1 3/3 0/0 7.0
João Moutinho M 46 0 0 1 (0) 0 89% 35 1 1 0/0 0/0 6.2
Gabriel Moscardo M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 73% 40 2 1 0/1 0/1 6.7
Víctor Gómez D 76 0 0 1 (1) 1 71% 56 3 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
Ricardo Horta F 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 87% 31 4 1 1/2 1/1 7.0
R. Zalazar M 46 0 0 0 (0) 1 68% 22 1 0 0/1 0/0 6.2
Fran Navarro F 68 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 8 5 1 0/2 0/0 6.5
Jean-Baptiste Gorby M 44 0 0 0 (0) 0 95% 39 0 0 1/1 0/0 6.3
Gabri Martínez F 44 0 0 0 (0) 1 71% 17 0 0 0/2 2/0 6.6
D. Rodrigues M 44 0 0 0 (0) 1 86% 21 2 0 0/0 0/1 6.6
F. Grillitsch M 14 0 0 1 (0) 0 95% 21 1 0 0/0 0/2 6.3
Pau Víctor F 22 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 4 0 0 1/1 0/0 6.6

Nacional

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Kaique G 90 0 0 1 sv 0 33% 39 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
José Gomes D 90 0 1 0 (0) 3 75% 24 2 3 1/2 0/0 7.5
Zé Vitor D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 71% 51 2 4 0/0 1/0 6.9
Léo Santos D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 93% 42 0 0 1/2 0/0 7.0
Ulisses D 79 0 0 0 (0) 0 87% 39 1 3 0/0 0/0 6.9
João Aurélio D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 66% 29 4 1 0/1 1/2 6.9
Paulinho Bóia F 79 0 0 0 (0) 2 83% 23 0 0 2/2 1/0 6.7
C. Labidi M 64 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 30 1 2 0/2 0/0 6.0
Liziero M 90 0 0 2 (0) 0 94% 53 2 0 0/4 1/1 7.3
Pablo Ruan M 64 0 0 2 (2) 2 56% 16 0 0 1/1 0/0 6.9
J. Ramírez F 85 1 0 4 (2) 0 65% 23 0 1 3/3 0/0 7.7
Francisco Gonçalves D 11 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 3 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
Martim Watts M 11 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 2 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.5
Witi F 26 0 0 2 (1) 1 82% 17 0 0 1/2 0/0 6.3
Filipe Soares M 26 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 12 0 0 0/1 0/0 6.3
Lucas João F 5 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/0 1/1 6.7

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.