SC Freiburg vs FC Basel 1893 – 24 Sep 2025

UEFA Europa League Matchday 1 Wed, Sep 24 · 20:00 Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg im Breisgau

SC Freiburg

2–1Full time

FC Basel 1893

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

SC Freiburg were slight favourites.

SC Freiburg were the stronger side on L90 Strength (55 vs 45). SC Freiburg had 4.2 days of rest, FC Basel 1893 ? and had to travel 53 km.

Away travel53 kmRest days4.2 · ?Matches / 14d2 · 0

SC Freiburg50%

Draw25%

FC Basel 189325%

Expected goals 1.68 – 1.11

SC Freiburg50%

Draw26%

FC Basel 189325%

Expected goals 1.64 – 1.09

SC Freiburg50%

Draw25%

FC Basel 189325%

Expected goals 1.68 – 1.11

SC Freiburg42%

Draw27%

FC Basel 189331%

Expected goals 1.50 – 1.25

SC Freiburg50%

Draw26%

FC Basel 189325%

Expected goals 1.64 – 1.09

Over 2.5 53% Both score 55% Likeliest score 1–1

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Freiburg im Breisgau)

No weather data yet

Referee · PortugalLuís Godinho

Cards per match 5.2
Penalties per match 0.32
Matches 71

Team strength

SC Freiburg

FC Basel 1893

55 L90 StrengthIn forecast 45

64 Current StrengthIn forecast 41

63 AttackIn forecast 36

73 DefenceIn forecast 42

— Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

SC Freiburg

Attack—

Defense risk—

FC Basel 1893

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

SC Freiburg

FC Basel 1893

— Goals scoredVia Att/Def —

— Goals concededVia Att/Def —

— xGVia Att/Def —

— xG allowedVia Att/Def —

— Goals minus xGContext —

— Scored inContext —

— Clean sheetsContext —

— ShotsContext —

— Shots on targetVia Att/Def —

— On target shareContext —

— Shots in the boxContext —

— Box shareContext —

— ConversionContext —

— OffsidesContext —

— Shots allowedContext —

— On target allowedVia Att/Def —

— BlocksContext —

— Goalkeeper savesContext —

— Save rateContext —

— PossessionIn forecast —

— PassesContext —

— Accurate passesContext —

— Pass accuracyContext —

— Team ratingContext —

— FoulsContext —

— Fouls sufferedContext —

— Yellow cardsContext —

— Red cardsContext —

This league season, per match

1.90 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.00

1.70 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.75

1.47 xGVia Att/Def —

1.06 xG allowedVia Att/Def —

+0.43 Goals minus xGContext —

100% Scored inContext 75%

20% Clean sheetsContext 0%

12.10 ShotsContext 13.00

4.10 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.75

34% On target shareContext 37%

8.78 Shots in the boxContext 6.75

71% Box shareContext 53%

16% ConversionContext 8%

2.63 OffsidesContext 1.67

11.20 Shots allowedContext 12.75

3.60 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.75

3.22 BlocksContext 2.75

2.33 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.75

60% Save rateContext 65%

49% PossessionIn forecast 53%

397 PassesContext 443

321 Accurate passesContext 370

81% Pass accuracyContext 84%

6.88 Team ratingContext 6.78

10.50 FoulsContext 13.50

11.80 Fouls sufferedContext 19.75

1.50 Yellow cardsContext 2.00

0.10 Red cardsContext 0.25

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 4 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

SC Freiburg

Rest4.2 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel0 km1,138 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

FC Basel 1893

Rest—since last match

Matches / 14d0all competitions

Travel53 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	SC Freiburg	FC Basel 1893
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	4.2Bundesliga 2025-2026, 20 Sep	—
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	53 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	1,138 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 2 / 3	0 / 0 / 0
Next matchdays after this one	3.8	8

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

SC Freiburg Confirmed XI

4-2-3-1

1N. Atubolu(G)

30C. Günter 5A. Jung 28M. Ginter 17L. Kübler

6P. Osterhage 8M. Eggestein

32V. Grifo 44J. Manzambi 19J. Beste

20C. Adamu

FC Basel 1893 Confirmed XI

4-2-3-1

13M. Salvi(G)

31D. Schmid 32J. Adjetey 26A. Barišić 6K. Tsunemoto

22L. Leroy 5A. Silu

39J. Zé 10X. Shaqiri 21I. Salah

23A. Ajeti

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

SC Freiburg Absences are shown before kick-off

FC Basel 1893 Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

SC Freiburg+0.0 pp
Draw+0.0 pp
FC Basel 1893+0.0 pp

Home / Away this season

SC Freiburg · Home No home games yet this season.

FC Basel 1893 · Away No away games yet this season.

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

	SC Freiburg	FC Basel 1893	Forecast
Scored per game	—	—
Conceded per game	—	—
Match goals	—	—	2.80
Over 1.5	—	—
Over 2.5	—	—	53%
Over 3.5	—	—
Both teams scored	—	—	55%
Clean sheets	—	—
Failed to score	—	—
Games	0	0

	SC Freiburg	FC Basel 1893	Forecast
Scored per game	2.00	—
Conceded per game	2.00	—
Match goals	4.00	—	2.80
Over 1.5	100%	—
Over 2.5	100%	—	53%
Over 3.5	75%	—
Both teams scored	75%	—	55%
Clean sheets	25%	—
Failed to score	0%	—
Games	4	0

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	SC Freiburg	FC Basel 1893	League
Corners
Corners won	—	—
Corners conceded	—	—
Match total	—	—	9.50
Over 8.5	—	—
Over 9.5	—	—
Over 10.5	—	—
Cards
Cards	—	—
Opponent cards	—	—
Match total	—	—	4.50
Over 3.5	—	—
Over 4.5	—	—

	SC Freiburg	FC Basel 1893	League
Corners
Corners won	4.33	4.00
Corners conceded	3.44	4.25
Match total	7.77	8.25	9.50
Over 8.5	33% 3/9	75% 3/4
Over 9.5	33% 3/9	25% 1/4
Over 10.5	11% 1/9	0% 0/4
Cards
Cards	1.60	2.75
Opponent cards	2.60	2.50
Match total	4.20	5.25	4.50
Over 3.5	50% 5/10	75% 3/4
Over 4.5	50% 5/10	75% 3/4

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Luís Godinho Portugal · 71 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards4.94league 4.50

Red cards0.25league 0.00

Cards 5+61%league 50%

Fouls29.2league 32.0

Penalties0.32league 0.00

Home wins41%league 50%

SC Freiburg

No previous matches with this referee.

FC Basel 1893

No previous matches with this referee.

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.