Bundesliga Gameweek 21 Sat, Feb 7 2026 · 14:30 Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg im Breisgau
1–0 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 0.46 – 0.83
  • J. Beste 13’
  • J. Manzambi 52’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Beste goal decides it for SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg entered as favourites and won 1–0 through a Beste goal. SC Freiburg played with ten men from the 52nd minute after Manzambi was sent off. SC Freiburg won despite the lower xG; Werder Bremen created the better chances (0.83 vs 0.46). On the chances created, Werder Bremen deserved more: 1.6 expected points against the 0 points they took.

SC Freiburg ✓51%
Draw25%
Werder Bremen24%

Model vs reality

SC Freiburg goals
1
Model 1.72 · xG 0.46
Werder Bremen goals
0
Model 1.12 · xG 0.83
Total goals
1
Model 2.83 · xG 1.29
Score 1–0
10%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 54%
Both scored
No
Model 56%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchM. FriedlWerder Bremen
7.7
  • RefereeDeniz Aytekin
  • VenueEuropa-Park Stadion
  • Table before kick-offSC Freiburg 8th · Werder Bremen 15th

Timeline

  1. J. Beste 1–0Assist I. Matanović
    13’
  2. Half time · 1–0
  3. J. ManzambiRed card · Roughing
    52’
  4. ⇄ Y. SuzukiFor V. Grifo
    56’
  5. ⇄ S. MbangulaFor O. Deman
    62’
  6. ⇄ F. AguFor J. Malatini
    62’
  7. ⇄ A. JungFor J. Beste
    68’
  8. ⇄ J. MakengoFor C. Günter
    68’
  9. VAR Y. SuzukiGoal Disallowed - Foul
    77’
  10. ⇄ D. ScherhantFor P. Osterhage
    84’
  11. ⇄ N. HöflerFor I. Matanović
    84’
  12. ⇄ M. GrüllFor J. Njinmah
    84’
  13. ⇄ Cameron PuertasFor R. Schmid
    84’
  14. ⇄ J. MiloševićFor S. Lynen
    88’
  15. M. FriedlYellow card · Tripping
    90’
  16. J. SchusterYellow card
    90+1’
  17. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

SC Freiburg7 shots · 5 in box, 2 outside
Werder Bremen17 shots · 9 in box, 8 outside
SC FreiburgWerder Bremen
33% Possession 67%
0.46 Expected goals (xG) 0.83
0.96 Expected points (xPts) 1.65
7 Shots 17
2 Shots on target 5
4 Shots off target 4
1 Blocked shots 8
5 Shots inside the box 9
2 Shots outside the box 8
273 Passes 541
73% Pass accuracy 87%
4 Corners 8
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
8 Fouls 10
0 Offsides 2
1 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
7.00 Team rating 6.60

Line-ups

SC Freiburg 4-2-3-1

17.5 N. Atubolu(G)
306.7 C. Günter ↓68’ 377.5 M. Rosenfelder 287.2 M. Ginter 436.7 B. Ogbus
66.6 P. Osterhage ↓84’ 87.6 M. Eggestein
326.6 V. Grifo ↓56’ 445.3 J. Manzambi 197.6 J. Beste ↓68’
317.2 I. Matanović A↓84’
  • 1N. Atubolu (G)7.5
  • 30C. Günter↓68’6.7
  • 37M. Rosenfelder7.5
  • 28M. Ginter7.2
  • 43B. Ogbus6.7
  • 6P. Osterhage↓84’6.6
  • 8M. Eggestein7.6
  • 32V. Grifo↓56’6.6
  • 44J. Manzambi5.3
  • 19J. Beste↓68’7.6
  • 31I. MatanovićA↓84’7.2

Substitutes used

  • 14Y. Suzuki↑56’6.9
  • 33J. Makengo↑68’6.6
  • 5A. Jung↑68’6.6
  • 27N. Höfler↑84’
  • 7D. Scherhant↑84’6.2

Unused: F. Müller, Karl Steinmann, Cyriaque Irié, L. Höler

Werder Bremen 3-5-2

306.7 M. Backhaus(G)
317.2 Karim Coulibaly 327.7★ M. Friedl 226.0 J. Malatini ↓62’
26.6 O. Deman ↓62’ 206.3 R. Schmid ↓84’ 146.3 S. Lynen ↓88’ 66.5 J. Stage 36.9 Y. Sugawara
95.9 K. Topp 116.3 J. Njinmah ↓84’
  • 30M. Backhaus (G)6.7
  • 31Karim Coulibaly7.2
  • 32M. Friedl ★7.7
  • 22J. Malatini↓62’6.0
  • 2O. Deman↓62’6.6
  • 20R. Schmid↓84’6.3
  • 14S. Lynen↓88’6.3
  • 6J. Stage6.5
  • 3Y. Sugawara6.9
  • 9K. Topp5.9
  • 11J. Njinmah↓84’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 7S. Mbangula↑62’6.6
  • 18Cameron Puertas↑84’6.7
  • 27F. Agu↑62’6.6
  • 19J. Milošević↑88’
  • 17M. Grüll↑84’6.6

Unused: K. Hein, I. Schmidt, Patrice Čović, L. Bittencourt

Player stats

Top rated
M. FriedlWerder Bremen7.7
2nd
M. EggesteinSC Freiburg7.6
3rd
J. BesteSC Freiburg7.6

SC Freiburg

Werder Bremen

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.