Bundesliga Gameweek 5 Sat, Oct 10 2026 · 14:30 Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn
SC Paderborn 07
0–2 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 1.78 – 2.41
VfB Stuttgart
  • 25’ J. Chabot
  • 83’ C. Führich
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

VfB Stuttgart beat SC Paderborn 07

VfB Stuttgart entered as narrow favourites and won 2–0 through goals from Chabot and Führich. VfB Stuttgart finished with the higher xG (2.41 vs 1.78). On the chances created, SC Paderborn 07 deserved more: 1.1 expected points against the 0 points they took.

SC Paderborn 0731%
Draw24%
VfB Stuttgart ✓45%

Model vs reality

SC Paderborn 07 goals
0
Model 1.36 · xG 1.78
VfB Stuttgart goals
2
Model 1.68 · xG 2.41
Total goals
2
Model 3.04 · xG 4.19
Score 0–2
7%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 59%
Both scored
No
Model 61%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchA. StillerVfB Stuttgart · 2 assists
8.6
  • RefereeFelix Zwayer
  • CoachesRalf Kettemann · S. Hoeneb
  • VenueHome Deluxe Arena
  • Table before kick-offSC Paderborn 07 12th · VfB Stuttgart 15th
  • Weather at kick-off14°C · Light rain · wind 20 km/h · 0.5 mm rain

Timeline

  1. J. Chabot 0–1Assist A. Stiller
    25’
  2. M. PieringerYellow card · Foul
    45’
  3. Half time · 0–1
  4. ⇄ S. TiggesFor S. Marino
    70’
  5. ⇄ Rayan PhilippeFor M. Pieringer
    70’
  6. ⇄ Finn JeltschFor J. Chabot
    72’
  7. ⇄ D. PejčinovićFor E. Demirović
    77’
  8. ⇄ B. El KhannoussFor J. Leweling
    77’
  9. ⇄ O. Batista MeierFor L. Ulrich
    80’
  10. C. Führich 0–2Assist A. Stiller
    83’
  11. ⇄ F. GötzeFor M. Hansen
    85’
  12. ⇄ Jonah StickerFor T. Scheller
    85’
  13. ⇄ G. PrömelFor D. Undav
    85’
  14. ⇄ L. SauerFor C. Führich
    85’
  15. Full time · 0–2

Team stats

SC Paderborn 0723 shots · 13 in box, 8 outside
VfB Stuttgart17 shots · 15 in box, 2 outside
SC Paderborn 07VfB Stuttgart
51% Possession 49%
1.78 Expected goals (xG) 2.41
1.05 Expected points (xPts) 1.76
23 Shots 17
5 Shots on target 8
10 Shots off target 4
8 Blocked shots 5
13 Shots inside the box 15
8 Shots outside the box 2
475 Passes 458
81% Pass accuracy 78%
7 Corners 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
10 Fouls 11
1 Offsides 1
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
6.49 Team rating 7.30

Line-ups

SC Paderborn 07 3-5-2

156.6 N. Noll(G)
227.1 M. Hansen ↓85’ 256.5 T. Scheller ↓85’ 216.5 J. ter Horst
236.2 R. Obermair 406.8 G. Vidović 56.0 S. Castañeda 286.3 L. Ulrich ↓80’ 176.9 L. Curda
306.3 S. Marino ↓70’ 186.1 M. Pieringer ↓70’
  • 15N. Noll (G)6.6
  • 22M. Hansen↓85’7.1
  • 25T. Scheller↓85’6.5
  • 21J. ter Horst6.5
  • 23R. Obermair6.2
  • 40G. Vidović6.8
  • 5S. Castañeda6.0
  • 28L. Ulrich↓80’6.3
  • 17L. Curda6.9
  • 30S. Marino↓70’6.3
  • 18M. Pieringer↓70’6.1

Substitutes used

  • 7O. Batista Meier↑80’6.1
  • 20F. Götze↑85’6.2
  • 9Rayan Philippe↑70’6.7
  • 3Jonah Sticker↑85’6.0
  • 27S. Tigges↑70’7.0

Unused: T. Baack, S. Michel, Ruben Müller, M. Schubert

Coach: Ralf Kettemann

VfB Stuttgart 3-4-2-1

417.0 D. Seimen(G)
77.6 M. Mittelstädt 248.4 J. Chabot ↓72’ 37.6 R. Hendriks
108.2 C. Führich ↓85’ 68.6★ A. Stiller AA 166.6 A. Karazor 46.4 J. Vagnoman
267.2 D. Undav ↓85’ 186.5 J. Leweling ↓77’
96.4 E. Demirović ↓77’
  • 41D. Seimen (G)7.0
  • 7M. Mittelstädt7.6
  • 24J. Chabot↓72’8.4
  • 3R. Hendriks7.6
  • 10C. Führich↓85’8.2
  • 6A. Stiller ★A×28.6
  • 16A. Karazor6.6
  • 4J. Vagnoman6.4
  • 26D. Undav↓85’7.2
  • 18J. Leweling↓77’6.5
  • 9E. Demirović↓77’6.4

Substitutes used

  • 17D. Pejčinović↑77’6.5
  • 21G. Prömel↑85’6.8
  • 44L. Sauer↑85’6.1
  • 29Finn Jeltsch↑72’7.5
  • 11B. El Khannouss↑77’7.0

Unused: Yanik Spalt, L. Stergiou, F. Bredlow, L. Assignon

Coach: S. Hoeneb

Player stats

Top rated
A. StillerVfB Stuttgart8.6
2nd
J. ChabotVfB Stuttgart8.4
3rd
C. FührichVfB Stuttgart8.2

SC Paderborn 07

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
N. Noll G 90 0 0 5 sv 0 52% 46 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
M. Hansen M 85 0 0 0 (0) 2 87% 62 6 2 1/1 1/0 7.1
T. Scheller D 85 0 0 0 (0) 1 85% 60 1 2 0/0 3/2 6.5
J. ter Horst D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 90% 51 2 1 2/3 0/0 6.5
R. Obermair M 90 0 0 2 (1) 1 87% 31 1 3 3/3 0/0 6.2
G. Vidović M 90 0 0 4 (0) 3 98% 51 3 3 2/2 0/0 6.8
S. Castañeda M 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 78% 36 1 1 0/2 0/4 6.0
L. Ulrich M 80 0 0 3 (0) 2 73% 30 3 1 0/3 1/2 6.3
L. Curda M 90 0 0 3 (1) 3 71% 35 2 1 1/3 0/1 6.9
S. Marino F 70 0 0 1 (0) 1 76% 17 0 0 0/0 1/2 6.3
M. Pieringer F 70 0 0 2 (0) 1 73% 22 0 0 1/1 4/0 6.1
O. Batista Meier M 10 0 0 1 (1) 0 100% 2 1 0 0/1 0/0 6.1
F. Götze D 5 0 0 0 (0) 1 100% 9 0 1 0/0 0/0 6.2
Rayan Philippe F 20 0 0 2 (1) 1 67% 3 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
Jonah Sticker D 5 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 8 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.0
S. Tigges F 20 0 0 3 (0) 2 50% 6 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.0

VfB Stuttgart

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
D. Seimen G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 65% 37 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.0
M. Mittelstädt D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 80% 45 7 1 0/2 2/1 7.6
J. Chabot D 72 1 0 2 (1) 0 89% 36 0 1 0/0 1/2 8.4
R. Hendriks D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 91% 47 1 0 0/0 0/2 7.6
C. Führich M 85 1 0 3 (2) 1 93% 29 3 0 2/6 0/3 8.2
A. Stiller M 90 0 2 0 (0) 5 89% 71 1 3 2/2 0/0 8.6
A. Karazor M 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 76% 49 3 1 1/1 1/0 6.6
J. Vagnoman D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 74% 46 1 1 0/1 1/0 6.4
D. Undav F 85 0 0 3 (1) 4 67% 36 1 0 1/2 3/0 7.2
J. Leweling F 77 0 0 2 (1) 0 42% 19 0 2 1/4 0/1 6.5
E. Demirović F 77 0 0 5 (3) 1 68% 19 0 0 0/4 1/1 6.4
D. Pejčinović F 13 0 0 1 (0) 0 25% 4 0 0 0/0 2/0 6.5
G. Prömel M 5 0 0 0 (0) 0 0% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.8
L. Sauer F 5 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.1
Finn Jeltsch D 18 0 0 0 (0) 1 100% 7 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.5
B. El Khannouss M 13 0 0 0 (0) 0 71% 7 3 0 0/0 0/0 7.0

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.