Belgian Pro League Knockout phase Sat, Apr 3 · 16:00 Freethielstadion, Beveren
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Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel15 kmRest days14 · 14Matches / 14d1 · 1
Real contextStrength only
SK Beveren—%
Draw—%
Antwerp—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (Beveren)

Forecast from 19 Mar

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for SK Beveren and Antwerp. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Team strength

SK BeverenAntwerp
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
25 Current StrengthIn forecast 26
18 AttackIn forecast 24
20 DefenceIn forecast 19
25 Form indexContext 9
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

SK Beveren

Attack—
Defense risk—

Antwerp

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

SK BeverenAntwerp
1.00 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.50
1.75 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.50
0.73 xGVia Att/Def 1.35
2.09 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.61
+0.27 Goals minus xGContext +0.15
63% Scored inContext 75%
38% Clean sheetsContext 13%
10.25 ShotsContext 14.63
3.25 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 5.00
32% On target shareContext 34%
7.00 Shots in the boxContext 9.50
69% Box shareContext 64%
10% ConversionContext 10%
1.88 OffsidesContext 1.33
15.50 Shots allowedContext 16.25
6.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.63
3.50 BlocksContext 4.38
4.29 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.88
71% Save rateContext 59%
51% PossessionIn forecast 48%
469 PassesContext 393
382 Accurate passesContext 316
81% Pass accuracyContext 81%
6.83 Team ratingContext 6.66
8.75 FoulsContext 14.00
10.88 Fouls sufferedContext 9.50
1.88 Yellow cardsContext 1.88
0.13 Red cardsContext 0.13
This league season, per match · 8 and 8 games
1.00 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.40
1.75 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.00
0.73 xGVia Att/Def 1.27
2.09 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.59
+0.27 Goals minus xGContext +0.13
63% Scored inContext 70%
38% Clean sheetsContext 30%
10.25 ShotsContext 14.50
3.25 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.80
32% On target shareContext 33%
7.00 Shots in the boxContext 9.30
69% Box shareContext 63%
10% ConversionContext 10%
1.88 OffsidesContext 1.63
15.50 Shots allowedContext 17.10
6.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.80
3.50 BlocksContext 5.10
4.29 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.50
71% Save rateContext 66%
51% PossessionIn forecast 47%
469 PassesContext 387
382 Accurate passesContext 311
81% Pass accuracyContext 81%
6.83 Team ratingContext 6.79
8.75 FoulsContext 13.20
10.88 Fouls sufferedContext 9.60
1.88 Yellow cardsContext 2.00
0.13 Red cardsContext 0.10
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 8 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

SK Beveren
Rest14 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 25 · 6 pts vs 9.1 for an average club · -0.4 vs expected
  • L9 OctH · Lommel United1–31.4 xPts
  • L20 SepA · Kortrijk0–11.6 xPts
  • W12 SepH · St. Truiden2–01.1 xPts
  • W6 SepH · OH Leuven3–01.7 xPts
  • L28 AugA · Genk0–40.7 xPts
Antwerp
Rest14 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel15 km118 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 9 · 0 pts vs 6.6 for an average club · -4.8 vs expected
  • L11 OctA · KVC Westerlo1–51.0 xPts
  • L20 SepH · Union St. Gilloise0–20.7 xPts
  • L13 SepA · Club Brugge KV1–30.5 xPts
  • L5 SepA · Standard Liege0–11.1 xPts
  • L30 AugH · St. Truiden1–41.6 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
SK Beveren Antwerp
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match14Belgian Pro League 2026-2027, 20 Mar14Belgian Pro League 2026-2027, 20 Mar
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km15 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways0 km118 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days0 / 1 / 30 / 1 / 3
Next matchdays after this one77

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context. Some venues have no coordinates yet.

Squad & lineups

SK Beveren Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs Lommel United (H) 1–3, 9 Oct
1J. Schenk(G)
4C. Janssens 31B. Godeau 35Y. Gomis 25C. Konaté
44C. Conde 18S. Dewaele
17J. Margaritha 22C. Brüls 5C. Lokesa
9M. Kaboré
Antwerp Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs KVC Westerlo (A) 1–5, 11 Oct
41Taishi Brandon Nozawa(G)
5D. Foulon 3Álvaro Cortés 20R. Van Helden 17S. Renders
48A. Vermeeren 8M. Benítez
7I. Salah 24T. Somers 14Xander Dierickx
9M. Frey

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
SK Beveren Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Antwerp Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

SK Beveren · Home 2.25points per game · 4 home games
W-D-L
3-0-1
Scored
1.75
Conceded
0.75
Antwerp · Away 0.75points per game · 4 away games
W-D-L
1-0-3
Scored
1.25
Conceded
2.25

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 3 this season

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 1 of 1 meetings

0 SK Beveren wins0 draws1 Antwerp wins
Goals per game1.00 – 2.00 Over 2.5100% Both scored100% Clean sheets0% · 0%
  • 9 Aug 2026Antwerp2–1SK Beveren

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goal timing

SK Beveren8 games · scored 8 · conceded 14
1 1 0-15
1 3 16-30
1 2 31-45
2 5 46-60
1 2 61-75
2 1 76-90
Antwerp8 games · scored 12 · conceded 20
2 0-15
3 1 16-30
1 2 31-45
1 5 46-60
2 3 61-75
5 7 76-90
SK Beveren8 games · scored 8 · conceded 14
1 1 0-15
1 3 16-30
1 2 31-45
2 5 46-60
1 2 61-75
2 1 76-90
Antwerp10 games · scored 14 · conceded 20
2 0-15
3 1 16-30
2 2 31-45
1 5 46-60
3 3 61-75
5 7 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.