Belgian Pro League Knockout phase Sat, Mar 20 · 16:00 Soeverein Stadion, Lommel
Lommel United 10th · 11 pts · 8 played
VS— Compare
Antwerp 13th · 7 pts · 8 played
Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel59 kmRest days7 · 7Matches / 14d2 · 2
Real contextStrength only
Lommel United—%
Draw—%
Antwerp—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (Lommel)

Forecast from 5 Mar

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Lommel United and Antwerp. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Streaks insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Team strength

Lommel UnitedAntwerp
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
36 Current StrengthIn forecast 26
32 AttackIn forecast 24
41 DefenceIn forecast 19
47 Form indexContext 9
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Lommel United

Attack—
Defense risk—

Antwerp

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Lommel UnitedAntwerp
1.13 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.50
1.13 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.50
1.13 xGVia Att/Def 1.35
1.15 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.61
+0.00 Goals minus xGContext +0.15
50% Scored inContext 75%
38% Clean sheetsContext 13%
10.75 ShotsContext 14.63
4.00 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 5.00
28% On target shareContext 34%
7.00 Shots in the boxContext 9.50
66% Box shareContext 64%
11% ConversionContext 10%
2.33 OffsidesContext 1.33
19.25 Shots allowedContext 16.25
4.63 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.63
6.50 BlocksContext 4.38
3.50 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.88
76% Save rateContext 59%
44% PossessionIn forecast 48%
407 PassesContext 393
339 Accurate passesContext 316
83% Pass accuracyContext 81%
6.86 Team ratingContext 6.66
7.00 FoulsContext 14.00
10.75 Fouls sufferedContext 9.50
1.00 Yellow cardsContext 1.88
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.13
This league season, per match · 8 and 8 games
1.20 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.40
1.10 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.00
1.13 xGVia Att/Def 1.27
1.15 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.59
+0.07 Goals minus xGContext +0.13
50% Scored inContext 70%
40% Clean sheetsContext 30%
10.50 ShotsContext 14.50
3.75 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.80
29% On target shareContext 33%
7.00 Shots in the boxContext 9.30
66% Box shareContext 63%
11% ConversionContext 10%
2.33 OffsidesContext 1.63
18.80 Shots allowedContext 17.10
4.40 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.80
5.80 BlocksContext 5.10
3.30 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.50
75% Save rateContext 66%
45% PossessionIn forecast 47%
403 PassesContext 387
331 Accurate passesContext 311
82% Pass accuracyContext 81%
6.88 Team ratingContext 6.79
7.20 FoulsContext 13.20
11.40 Fouls sufferedContext 9.60
1.20 Yellow cardsContext 2.00
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.10
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Lommel United
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel0 km388 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 47 · 7 pts vs 7.3 for an average club · +0.9 vs expected
  • W9 OctA · SK Beveren3–11.4 xPts
  • D19 SepH · KV Mechelen0–01.9 xPts
  • L12 SepA · Union St. Gilloise0–50.6 xPts
  • L4 SepH · Club Brugge KV0–11.0 xPts
  • W29 AugA · Cercle Brugge1–01.2 xPts
Antwerp
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel59 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 9 · 0 pts vs 6.6 for an average club · -4.8 vs expected
  • L11 OctA · KVC Westerlo1–51.0 xPts
  • L20 SepH · Union St. Gilloise0–20.7 xPts
  • L13 SepA · Club Brugge KV1–30.5 xPts
  • L5 SepA · Standard Liege0–11.1 xPts
  • L30 AugH · St. Truiden1–41.6 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Lommel United Antwerp
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match7Belgian Pro League 2026-2027, 13 Mar7Belgian Pro League 2026-2027, 13 Mar
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km59 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways388 km0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days1 / 2 / 41 / 2 / 4
Next matchdays after this one1414

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context. Some venues have no coordinates yet.

Squad & lineups

Lommel United Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs SK Beveren (A) 3–1, 9 Oct
23M. Pieklak(G)
4S. Adewoye 8Nicolas Rommens 3T. Eyoma 2J. van Duiven
44I. Dada-Mascoll 15Lucas Schoofs
11S. Appuah 10Tom Reyners 7J. Talvitie
9D. Konadu
Antwerp Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs KVC Westerlo (A) 1–5, 11 Oct
41Taishi Brandon Nozawa(G)
5D. Foulon 3Álvaro Cortés 20R. Van Helden 17S. Renders
48A. Vermeeren 8M. Benítez
7I. Salah 24T. Somers 14Xander Dierickx
9M. Frey

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Lommel United Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Antwerp Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Lommel United · Home 1.00points per game · 4 home games
W-D-L
1-1-2
Scored
1.00
Conceded
0.50
Antwerp · Away 0.75points per game · 4 away games
W-D-L
1-0-3
Scored
1.25
Conceded
2.25

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 5 this season

OpponentLommel UnitedAntwerp
SK Beveren W 3–1 A W 2–1 H
Union St. Gilloise L 0–5 A L 0–2 H
Club Brugge KV L 0–1 H L 1–3 A
KVC Westerlo W 4–0 H L 1–5 A
St. Truiden D 1–1 A L 1–4 H
Points7 of 15 · 1.40 per game3 of 15 · 0.60 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

Lommel UnitedAntwerpForecast
Scored per game 1.131.50
Conceded per game 1.132.50
Match goals 2.254.00
Over 1.5 50%88%
Over 2.5 38%75%
Over 3.5 38%50%
Both teams scored 25%63%
Clean sheets 38%13%
Failed to score 50%25%
Games88
Lommel UnitedAntwerpForecast
Scored per game 1.131.30
Conceded per game 1.132.20
Match goals 2.253.50
Over 1.5 50%80%
Over 2.5 38%60%
Over 3.5 38%40%
Both teams scored 25%60%
Clean sheets 38%10%
Failed to score 50%30%
Games810

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

Lommel UnitedAntwerpLeague
Corners
Corners won3.504.63
Corners conceded7.885.50
Match total11.3810.1310.01
Over 8.588% 7/850% 4/8
Over 9.575% 6/838% 3/8
Over 10.563% 5/838% 3/8
Cards
Cards1.002.13
Opponent cards1.632.25
Match total2.634.383.36
Over 3.525% 2/863% 5/8
Over 4.525% 2/850% 4/8
Lommel UnitedAntwerpLeague
Corners
Corners won3.604.60
Corners conceded7.606.10
Match total11.2010.7010.01
Over 8.590% 9/1060% 6/10
Over 9.580% 8/1050% 5/10
Over 10.560% 6/1050% 5/10
Cards
Cards1.202.20
Opponent cards1.802.00
Match total3.004.203.36
Over 3.540% 4/1060% 6/10
Over 4.530% 3/1050% 5/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Goal timing

Lommel United7 games · scored 9 · conceded 4
0-15
3 16-30
1 2 31-45
3 46-60
1 2 61-75
1 76-90
Antwerp8 games · scored 12 · conceded 20
2 0-15
3 1 16-30
1 2 31-45
1 5 46-60
2 3 61-75
5 7 76-90
Lommel United9 games · scored 12 · conceded 6
0-15
3 16-30
1 3 31-45
4 46-60
1 2 61-75
3 1 76-90
Antwerp10 games · scored 14 · conceded 20
2 0-15
3 1 16-30
2 2 31-45
1 5 46-60
3 3 61-75
5 7 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.

Next fixtures Belgian Pro League

View all fixtures →
Lommel United Antwerp Mar 2016:00 OH Leuven Union St. Gilloise Mar 2016:00 KVC Westerlo Cercle Brugge Mar 2016:00 KV Mechelen Charleroi Mar 2016:00 Anderlecht Standard Liege Mar 2016:00 Club Brugge KV Gent Mar 2016:00 Zulte Waregem Kortrijk Mar 2016:00 St. Truiden SK Beveren Mar 2016:00 RAAL La Louvière Genk Mar 2016:00