Primeira Liga Gameweek 20 Sun, Feb 1 2026 · 18:00 Estádio José Alvalade, Lisboa
2–1 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 1.48 – 1.33
  • Pote 72’
  • L. Suárez 90+6’
  • 76’ Alan Nuñez
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Suárez’s late goal settles it for Sporting CP

Sporting CP entered as clear favourites and won 2–1 through goals from Pote and Suárez. Nacional replied through a Nuñez goal. The chances were even, with xG of 1.48 and 1.33. On the chances created, Nacional deserved more: 1.3 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Sporting CP ✓79%
Draw15%
Nacional7%

Model vs reality

Sporting CP goals
2
Model 2.55 · xG 1.48
Nacional goals
1
Model 0.62 · xG 1.33
Total goals
3
Model 3.17 · xG 2.81
Score 2–1
8%
Most likely 2–0 (14%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 61%
Both scored
Yes
Model 43%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchGeny CatamoSporting CP
7.9
  • RefereeRicardo Baixinho
  • VenueEstádio José Alvalade
  • Table before kick-offSporting CP 2nd · Nacional 11th

Timeline

  1. Léo SantosYellow card · Holding
    28’
  2. Half time · 0–0
  3. Zé VitorYellow card
    55’
  4. ⇄ TrincãoFor João Simões
    64’
  5. ⇄ Souleymane FayeFor Luis Guilherme
    64’
  6. ⇄ WitiFor Paulinho Bóia
    65’
  7. Pote 1–0
    72’
  8. Alan Nuñez 1–1
    76’
  9. ⇄ Alisson SantosFor Geny Catamo
    80’
  10. ⇄ G. KochorashviliFor Pote
    80’
  11. ⇄ C. LabidiFor Joel Silva
    80’
  12. ⇄ Daniel JúniorFor Gabriel Veron
    80’
  13. Alan NuñezYellow card · Holding
    87’
  14. VAR L. SuárezGoal Disallowed - offside
    88’
  15. ⇄ André SousaFor Liziero
    90+2’
  16. ⇄ Lucas JoãoFor J. Ramírez
    90+2’
  17. L. Suárez 2–1Assist Alisson Santos
    90+6’
  18. Full time · 2–1

Team stats

Sporting CP15 shots · 10 in box, 5 outside
Nacional5 shots · 3 in box, 2 outside
Sporting CPNacional
62% Possession 38%
1.48 Expected goals (xG) 1.33
1.48 Expected points (xPts) 1.27
15 Shots 5
6 Shots on target 4
6 Shots off target 1
3 Blocked shots 0
10 Shots inside the box 3
5 Shots outside the box 2
529 Passes 338
85% Pass accuracy 79%
11 Corners 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
12 Fouls 14
3 Offsides 2
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
6.82 Team rating 6.77

Line-ups

Sporting CP 4-2-3-1

16.5 Rui Silva(G)
207.2 M. Araújo 726.3 Eduardo Quaresma 266.9 O. Diomande 226.6 Iván Fresneda
526.3 João Simões ↓64’ 57.3 H. Morita
316.9 Luis Guilherme ↓64’ 87.6 Pote ↓80’ 107.9★ Geny Catamo ↓80’
975.9 L. Suárez
  • 1Rui Silva (G)6.5
  • 20M. Araújo7.2
  • 72Eduardo Quaresma6.3
  • 26O. Diomande6.9
  • 22Iván Fresneda6.6
  • 52João Simões↓64’6.3
  • 5H. Morita7.3
  • 31Luis Guilherme↓64’6.9
  • 8Pote↓80’7.6
  • 10Geny Catamo ★↓80’7.9
  • 97L. Suárez5.9

Substitutes used

  • 15Souleymane Faye↑64’6.3
  • 17Trincão↑64’6.5
  • 14G. Kochorashvili↑80’6.6
  • 27Alisson SantosA↑80’6.6

Unused: João Virgínia, G. Inácio, G. Vagiannidis, Ricardo Mangas, Daniel Bragança

Nacional 5-4-1

16.9 Kaique(G)
56.9 José Gomes 387.3 Zé Vitor 66.7 Matheus Dias 346.2 Léo Santos 166.9 Alan Nuñez
116.5 Paulinho Bóia ↓65’ 266.9 Joel Silva ↓80’ 287.0 Liziero ↓90’ 276.3 Gabriel Veron ↓80’
96.9 J. Ramírez ↓90’
  • 1Kaique (G)6.9
  • 5José Gomes6.9
  • 38Zé Vitor7.3
  • 6Matheus Dias6.7
  • 34Léo Santos6.2
  • 16Alan Nuñez6.9
  • 11Paulinho Bóia↓65’6.5
  • 26Joel Silva↓80’6.9
  • 28Liziero↓90’7.0
  • 27Gabriel Veron↓80’6.3
  • 9J. Ramírez↓90’6.9

Substitutes used

  • 7Witi↑65’6.5
  • 10Daniel Júnior↑80’6.7
  • 18André Sousa↑90’
  • 15C. Labidi↑80’6.7
  • 19Lucas João↑90’

Unused: Kevyn, Francisco Gonçalves, Miguel Baeza, Deivison

Player stats

Top rated
Geny CatamoSporting CP7.9
2nd
PoteSporting CP7.6
3rd
H. MoritaSporting CP7.3

Sporting CP

Nacional

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.