Belgian Pro League Knockout phase Sun, Dec 21 2025 · 15:00 Daio Wasabi Stayen Stadium, St.-Trond
First leg3–1 1–0 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 1.55 – 0.52
  • R. Van Helden 8’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Van Helden goal decides it for St. Truiden

St. Truiden entered as narrow favourites and won 1–0 through a Van Helden goal. St. Truiden finished with the higher xG (1.55 vs 0.52).

St. Truiden ✓44%
Draw27%
KV Mechelen29%

Model vs reality

St. Truiden goals
1
Model 1.50 · xG 1.55
KV Mechelen goals
0
Model 1.19 · xG 0.52
Total goals
1
Model 2.69 · xG 2.07
Score 1–0
10%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 50%
Both scored
No
Model 55%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchR. Van HeldenSt. Truiden · 1 goal
8.2
  • RefereeJan Boterberg
  • VenueDaio Wasabi Stayen Stadium
  • Table before kick-offSt. Truiden 4th · KV Mechelen 5th

Timeline

  1. R. Van Helden 1–0Assist Keisuke Goto
    8’
  2. M. KonatéYellow card
    25’
  3. Half time · 1–0
  4. ⇄ H. ÖzdemirFor B. Bafdili
    57’
  5. ⇄ A. FerrariFor A. Muja
    71’
  6. ⇄ R. MerlenFor R. Ito
    83’
  7. ⇄ Moncef ZekriFor D. Salifou
    84’
  8. ⇄ M. KireevFor Gora Diouf
    84’
  9. A. FerrariYellow card
    86’
  10. R. VanwesemaelYellow card
    89’
  11. F. HammarYellow card
    90+1’
  12. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

St. Truiden9 shots · 5 in box, 4 outside
KV Mechelen10 shots · 6 in box, 4 outside
St. TruidenKV Mechelen
48% Possession 52%
1.55 Expected goals (xG) 0.52
2.13 Expected points (xPts) 0.62
9 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 2
2 Shots off target 6
2 Blocked shots 2
5 Shots inside the box 6
4 Shots outside the box 4
416 Passes 443
85% Pass accuracy 85%
2 Corners 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
12 Fouls 7
2 Offsides 4
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
7.18 Team rating 6.66

Line-ups

St. Truiden 4-2-3-1

166.9 L. Kokubo(G)
607.7 R. Vanwesemael 56.9 S. Taniguchi 267.0 V. Musliu 208.2★ R. Van Helden
87.2 A. Sissako 66.9 R. Yamamoto
106.7 I. Sebaoui 137.2 R. Ito ↓83’ 76.9 A. Muja ↓71’
427.5 Keisuke Goto A
  • 16L. Kokubo (G)6.9
  • 60R. Vanwesemael7.7
  • 5S. Taniguchi6.9
  • 26V. Musliu7.0
  • 20R. Van Helden ★8.2
  • 8A. Sissako7.2
  • 6R. Yamamoto6.9
  • 10I. Sebaoui6.7
  • 13R. Ito↓83’7.2
  • 7A. Muja↓71’6.9
  • 42Keisuke GotoA7.5

Substitutes used

  • 9A. Ferrari↑71’6.3
  • 14R. Merlen↑83’

Unused: M. Lendfers, W. Janssens, A. Diriken, S. Juklerød, Kaito Matsuzawa, T. Hata, I. Delpupo

KV Mechelen 3-4-1-2

137.2 Nacho Mirás(G)
46.6 Gora Diouf ↓84’ 86.3 M. Konaté 336.7 T. St. Jago
176.6 Mathis Servais 296.6 D. Salifou ↓84’ 67.2 F. Hammar 76.5 T. Koudou
116.3 B. Bafdili ↓57’
96.5 M. van Brederode 206.6 L. Lauberbach
  • 13Nacho Mirás (G)7.2
  • 4Gora Diouf↓84’6.6
  • 8M. Konaté6.3
  • 33T. St. Jago6.7
  • 17Mathis Servais6.6
  • 29D. Salifou↓84’6.6
  • 6F. Hammar7.2
  • 7T. Koudou6.5
  • 11B. Bafdili↓57’6.3
  • 9M. van Brederode6.5
  • 20L. Lauberbach6.6

Substitutes used

  • 21H. Özdemir↑57’6.7
  • 23Moncef Zekri↑84’
  • 10M. Kireev↑84’

Unused: Tijn Van Ingelgom, M. Decoene, L. Golič, B. Bandé, R. Teague, K. Van Rafelghem

Player stats

Top rated
R. Van HeldenSt. Truiden8.2
2nd
R. VanwesemaelSt. Truiden7.7
3rd
Keisuke GotoSt. Truiden7.5

St. Truiden

KV Mechelen

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.