Primeira Liga Gameweek 15 Sun, Dec 21 2025 · 18:00 Estádio João Cardoso, Tondela
Tondela
1–2 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 1.47 – 0.96
Casa Pia
  • Ivan Cavaleiro 58’ (P)
  • 61’ Gaizka Larrazabal
  • 70’ Renato Nhaga
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Casa Pia come from behind to beat Tondela

Tondela entered as narrow favourites and led 1–0 after 58 minutes through a Cavaleiro goal. But Larrazabal and Nhaga scored to turn it around for Casa Pia, who won 2–1. Casa Pia won despite the lower xG; Tondela created the better chances (1.47 vs 0.96). On the chances created, Tondela deserved more: 1.7 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Tondela39%
Draw28%
Casa Pia ✓33%

Model vs reality

Tondela goals
1
Model 1.30 · xG 1.47
Casa Pia goals
2
Model 1.17 · xG 0.96
Total goals
3
Model 2.47 · xG 2.43
Score 1–2
8%
Most likely 1–1 (14%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 45%
Both scored
Yes
Model 51%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchGaizka LarrazabalCasa Pia · 1 goal · 1 assist
8.2
  • RefereeMiguel Andre Monteiro Fonseca
  • VenueEstádio João Cardoso
  • Table before kick-offTondela 17th · Casa Pia 16th

Timeline

  1. Tiago MansoYellow card
    23’
  2. Renato NhagaYellow card
    31’
  3. Half time · 0–0
  4. João AfonsoYellow card
    53’
  5. Ivan Cavaleiro (pen) 1–0
    58’
  6. ⇄ Rodrigo ConceiçãoFor Tiago Manso
    61’
  7. Gaizka Larrazabal 1–1Assist J. Livolant
    61’
  8. Y. OukiliYellow card
    66’
  9. ⇄ Rafael BritoFor S. Pérez
    69’
  10. ⇄ CassianoFor Dailon Livramento
    69’
  11. Renato Nhaga 1–2Assist Gaizka Larrazabal
    70’
  12. ⇄ J. HodgeFor Hugo Félix
    78’
  13. ⇄ Y. RodriguezFor Juan Rodríguez
    79’
  14. ⇄ Miguel SousaFor Y. Oukili
    81’
  15. André GeraldesYellow card
    82’
  16. ⇄ Afonso RodriguesFor Pedro Henryque
    86’
  17. ⇄ Rony LopesFor N. Maviram
    86’
  18. ⇄ João GoulartFor Gaizka Larrazabal
    87’
  19. ⇄ Kevin PrietoFor J. Livolant
    87’
  20. Full time · 1–2

Team stats

Tondela9 shots · 6 in box, 3 outside
Casa Pia11 shots · 8 in box, 3 outside
TondelaCasa Pia
46% Possession 54%
1.47 Expected goals (xG) 0.96
1.73 Expected points (xPts) 1.00
9 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 5
4 Shots off target 4
2 Blocked shots 2
6 Shots inside the box 8
3 Shots outside the box 3
305 Passes 365
76% Pass accuracy 81%
5 Corners 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
10 Fouls 15
2 Offsides 0
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
6.60 Team rating 6.86

Line-ups

Tondela 4-4-2

316.2 Bernardo Fontes(G)
605.9 N. Maviram ↓86’ 46.9 Christian Marques 56.9 João Afonso 486.5 Tiago Manso ↓61’
177.7 Ivan Cavaleiro 976.9 Cicero 326.3 Juan Rodríguez ↓79’ 76.2 Pedro Henryque ↓86’
296.3 J. Siebatcheu 796.9 Hugo Félix ↓78’
  • 31Bernardo Fontes (G)6.2
  • 60N. Maviram↓86’5.9
  • 4Christian Marques6.9
  • 5João Afonso6.9
  • 48Tiago Manso↓61’6.5
  • 17Ivan Cavaleiro7.7
  • 97Cicero6.9
  • 32Juan Rodríguez↓79’6.3
  • 7Pedro Henryque↓86’6.2
  • 29J. Siebatcheu6.3
  • 79Hugo Félix↓78’6.9

Substitutes used

  • 27Rodrigo Conceição↑61’6.2
  • 19Afonso Rodrigues↑86’6.3
  • 16Rony Lopes↑86’6.7
  • 10J. Hodge↑78’6.3
  • 11Y. Rodriguez↑79’6.7

Unused: Lucas Cañizares, Hélder Tavares, André Ceitil, Yarlen

Casa Pia 4-1-4-1

337.0 Ricardo Batista(G)
56.9 A. Conté 436.9 David Sousa 66.5 José Fonte 186.3 André Geraldes
426.3 S. Pérez ↓69’
296.9 J. Livolant A↓87’ 747.6 Renato Nhaga 206.5 Y. Oukili ↓81’ 728.2★ Gaizka Larrazabal A↓87’
106.2 Dailon Livramento ↓69’
  • 33Ricardo Batista (G)7.0
  • 5A. Conté6.9
  • 43David Sousa6.9
  • 6José Fonte6.5
  • 18André Geraldes6.3
  • 42S. Pérez↓69’6.3
  • 29J. LivolantA↓87’6.9
  • 74Renato Nhaga7.6
  • 20Y. Oukili↓81’6.5
  • 72Gaizka Larrazabal ★A↓87’8.2
  • 10Dailon Livramento↓69’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 8Rafael Brito↑69’6.9
  • 90Cassiano↑69’6.5
  • 4João Goulart↑87’6.3
  • 19Kevin Prieto↑87’6.3
  • 14Miguel Sousa↑81’6.7

Unused: P. Sequeira, K. Nsona, X. Severina, Claudio

Player stats

Top rated
Gaizka LarrazabalCasa Pia8.2
2nd
Ivan CavaleiroTondela7.7
3rd
Renato NhagaCasa Pia7.6

Tondela

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Bernardo Fontes G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 54% 24 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
N. Maviram D 86 0 0 0 (0) 0 47% 19 0 0 0/1 1/0 5.9
Christian Marques D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 92% 37 3 0 0/0 0/1 6.9
João Afonso D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 77% 39 0 6 0/0 1/1 6.9
Tiago Manso D 61 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 12 1 1 0/0 1/0 6.5
Ivan Cavaleiro F 90 1 0 1 (1) 1 88% 24 1 0 0/0 0/3 7.7
Cicero M 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 81% 32 1 1 0/0 1/1 6.9
Juan Rodríguez M 79 0 0 0 (0) 0 76% 17 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.3
Pedro Henryque M 86 0 0 2 (2) 1 61% 23 1 2 0/2 3/2 6.2
J. Siebatcheu F 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 89% 19 0 0 0/0 1/1 6.3
Hugo Félix M 78 0 0 0 (0) 2 76% 25 0 0 0/1 1/3 6.9
Rodrigo Conceição D 29 0 0 0 (0) 1 80% 15 2 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
Afonso Rodrigues F 4 0 0 0 (0) 0 0% 2 0 1 0/0 0/0 6.3
Rony Lopes F 4 0 0 1 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.7
J. Hodge M 12 0 0 1 (0) 1 86% 14 0 0 1/1 0/1 6.3
Y. Rodriguez F 11 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 3 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.7

Casa Pia

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Ricardo Batista G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 75% 32 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.0
A. Conté D 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 67% 36 2 0 2/2 1/0 6.9
David Sousa D 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 89% 61 2 2 0/0 1/0 6.9
José Fonte D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 85% 61 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
André Geraldes D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 76% 25 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.3
S. Pérez M 69 0 0 0 (0) 1 97% 34 0 0 0/0 2/1 6.3
J. Livolant M 87 0 1 2 (0) 1 79% 28 0 1 0/1 1/4 6.9
Renato Nhaga M 90 1 0 1 (1) 1 70% 23 2 0 2/3 5/3 7.6
Y. Oukili M 81 0 0 1 (1) 0 90% 20 0 1 0/0 1/1 6.5
Gaizka Larrazabal D 87 1 1 4 (2) 2 72% 18 3 1 0/2 0/1 8.2
Dailon Livramento F 69 0 0 0 (0) 1 88% 8 0 0 0/1 1/0 6.2
Rafael Brito M 21 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 7 2 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
Cassiano F 21 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 6 0 0 0/0 2/0 6.5
João Goulart D 3 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 2 0 1 0/0 0/0 6.3
Kevin Prieto F 3 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
Miguel Sousa M 9 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.