Ligue 1 Gameweek 15 Sat, Dec 6 2025 · 18:00 Stadium de Toulouse, Toulouse
1–0 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 0.39 – 0.07
  • Emersonn 18’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Emersonn goal decides it for Toulouse

Toulouse won 1–0 through a Emersonn goal. Toulouse finished with the higher xG (0.39 vs 0.07). On the chances created, Strasbourg deserved more: 0.8 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Toulouse ✓35%
Draw28%
Strasbourg38%

Model vs reality

Toulouse goals
1
Model 1.28 · xG 0.39
Strasbourg goals
0
Model 1.34 · xG 0.07
Total goals
1
Model 2.62 · xG 0.46
Score 1–0
9%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 49%
Both scored
No
Model 54%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchG. GbohoToulouse
7.2
  • RefereeStephanie Frappart
  • VenueStadium de Toulouse
  • Table before kick-offToulouse 10th · Strasbourg 8th

Timeline

  1. Emersonn 1–0
    18’
  2. C. CásseresYellow card · Roughing
    28’
  3. F. MagriYellow card · Holding
    44’
  4. Half time · 1–0
  5. ⇄ R. MessaliFor F. Magri
    46’
  6. ⇄ M. AmougouFor A. Nanasi
    61’
  7. ⇄ K. PáezFor A. Omobamidele
    61’
  8. ⇄ S. Amo-AmeyawFor G. Doué
    75’
  9. ⇄ S. HidalgoFor Emersonn
    78’
  10. Diego MoreiraYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    82’
  11. S. El MourabetYellow card · Roughing
    85’
  12. ⇄ B. GodoFor Diego Moreira
    87’
  13. B. ChilwellYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    90+2’
  14. R. MessaliYellow card · Delay of game
    90+4’
  15. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Toulouse5 shots · 3 in box, 2 outside
Strasbourg3 shots · 2 in box, 1 outside
ToulouseStrasbourg
28% Possession 72%
0.39 Expected goals (xG) 0.07
1.56 Expected points (xPts) 0.79
5 Shots 3
3 Shots on target 0
2 Shots off target 1
0 Blocked shots 2
3 Shots inside the box 2
2 Shots outside the box 1
299 Passes 771
80% Pass accuracy 93%
1 Corners 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
20 Fouls 13
1 Offsides 3
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
6.74 Team rating 6.58

Line-ups

Toulouse 3-4-2-1

16.6 G. Restes(G)
27.0 R. Nicolaisen 46.9 C. Cresswell 36.7 M. McKenzie
246.5 D. Methalie 236.9 C. Cásseres 456.2 A. Vossah 196.9 D. Sidibé
96.2 F. Magri ↓46’ 107.2★ G. Gboho
206.9 Emersonn ↓78’
  • 1G. Restes (G)6.6
  • 2R. Nicolaisen7.0
  • 4C. Cresswell6.9
  • 3M. McKenzie6.7
  • 24D. Methalie6.5
  • 23C. Cásseres6.9
  • 45A. Vossah6.2
  • 19D. Sidibé6.9
  • 9F. Magri↓46’6.2
  • 10G. Gboho ★7.2
  • 20Emersonn↓78’6.9

Substitutes used

  • 22R. Messali↑46’6.5
  • 11S. Hidalgo↑78’6.6

Unused: C. Haug, S. Koumbassa, N. Lahmadi, N. Schmidt, W. Kamanzi, N. Edjouma, Julián Vignolo

Strasbourg 3-4-2-1

396.6 M. Penders(G)
236.6 M. Sarr 26.5 A. Omobamidele ↓61’ 226.7 G. Doué ↓75’
36.7 B. Chilwell 66.6 I. Doukouré 296.7 S. El Mourabet 76.3 Diego Moreira ↓87’
197.0 J. Enciso 116.3 A. Nanasi ↓61’
96.3 J. Panichelli
  • 39M. Penders (G)6.6
  • 23M. Sarr6.6
  • 2A. Omobamidele↓61’6.5
  • 22G. Doué↓75’6.7
  • 3B. Chilwell6.7
  • 6I. Doukouré6.6
  • 29S. El Mourabet6.7
  • 7Diego Moreira↓87’6.3
  • 19J. Enciso7.0
  • 11A. Nanasi↓61’6.3
  • 9J. Panichelli6.3

Substitutes used

  • 17M. Amougou↑61’6.7
  • 16K. Páez↑61’6.3
  • 27S. Amo-Ameyaw↑75’6.6
  • 20B. Godo↑87’

Unused: S. Bajić, L. Sylla, L. Høgsberg, R. Luis, R. Nzingoula

Player stats

Top rated
G. GbohoToulouse7.2
2nd
R. NicolaisenToulouse7.0
3rd
J. EncisoStrasbourg7.0

Toulouse

Strasbourg

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.