Bundesliga Gameweek 5 Sat, Oct 10 2026 · 14:30 Stadion An der Alten Försterei, Berlin
1–0 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 1.59 – 0.28
  • Livan Burcu 81’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Burcu goal decides it for Union Berlin

Union Berlin won 1–0 through a Burcu goal. Union Berlin finished with the higher xG (1.59 vs 0.28).

Union Berlin ✓40%
Draw25%
SV Elversberg36%

Model vs reality

Union Berlin goals
1
Model 1.51 · xG 1.59
SV Elversberg goals
0
Model 1.42 · xG 0.28
Total goals
1
Model 2.93 · xG 1.87
Score 1–0
7%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 56%
Both scored
No
Model 59%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchLivan BurcuUnion Berlin · 1 goal
7.9
  • RefereeTobias Reichel
  • CoachesM. Lustrinelli · Vincent Wagner
  • VenueStadion An der Alten Försterei
  • Table before kick-offUnion Berlin 17th · SV Elversberg 8th
  • Weather at kick-off17°C · Mainly clear · wind 15 km/h

Timeline

  1. J. HabererYellow card · Foul
    7’
  2. T. SkarkeYellow card · Foul
    21’
  3. Half time · 0–0
  4. ⇄ Livan BurcuFor K. Imeri
    58’
  5. ⇄ M. KrattenmacherFor T. Zimmerschied
    59’
  6. ⇄ W. CampbellFor N. Futkeu
    70’
  7. ⇄ N. MickelsonFor L. Günther
    71’
  8. ⇄ David MokwaFor N. Darvich
    71’
  9. ⇄ C. TrimmelFor M. Aebischer
    77’
  10. ⇄ O. BurkeFor T. Skarke
    78’
  11. Livan Burcu 1–0
    81’
  12. ⇄ J. SchmahlFor L. Sirch
    86’
  13. M. KrattenmacherYellow card · Foul
    90+2’
  14. ⇄ A. KemleinFor A. Schäfer
    90+2’
  15. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Union Berlin19 shots · 13 in box, 6 outside
SV Elversberg7 shots · 6 in box, 1 outside
Union BerlinSV Elversberg
43% Possession 57%
1.59 Expected goals (xG) 0.28
2.35 Expected points (xPts) 0.41
19 Shots 7
7 Shots on target 2
6 Shots off target 5
6 Blocked shots 0
13 Shots inside the box 6
6 Shots outside the box 1
322 Passes 452
78% Pass accuracy 82%
7 Corners 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
14 Fouls 8
3 Offsides 8
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
6.92 Team rating 6.66

Line-ups

Union Berlin 4-1-4-1

17.1 F. Rønnow(G)
156.8 T. Rothe 27.5 O. Uduokhai 47.7 Z. Van Den Bosch 196.2 J. Haberer
86.6 R. Khedira
206.7 M. Aebischer ↓77’ 307.2 K. Imeri ↓58’ 117.1 W. Jeong 136.8 A. Schäfer ↓90’
216.1 T. Skarke ↓78’
  • 1F. Rønnow (G)7.1
  • 15T. Rothe6.8
  • 2O. Uduokhai7.5
  • 4Z. Van Den Bosch7.7
  • 19J. Haberer6.2
  • 8R. Khedira6.6
  • 20M. Aebischer↓77’6.7
  • 30K. Imeri↓58’7.2
  • 11W. Jeong7.1
  • 13A. Schäfer↓90’6.8
  • 21T. Skarke↓78’6.1

Substitutes used

  • 9Livan Burcu ★↑58’7.9
  • 7O. Burke↑78’6.6
  • 6A. Kemlein↑90’
  • 28C. Trimmel↑77’7.0

Unused: D. Köhn, M. Ljubičić, L. Querfeld, Matheo Raab

Coach: M. Lustrinelli

SV Elversberg 4-2-3-1

207.8 N. Kristof(G)
216.9 L. Günther ↓71’ 317.1 M. Rohr 196.8 L. Pinckert 267.0 L. Sirch ↓86’
86.3 Ł. Poręba 436.7 F. Keidel
296.5 T. Zimmerschied ↓59’ 106.3 N. Darvich ↓71’ 256.0 L. Petkov
96.1 N. Futkeu ↓70’
  • 20N. Kristof (G)7.8
  • 21L. Günther↓71’6.9
  • 31M. Rohr7.1
  • 19L. Pinckert6.8
  • 26L. Sirch↓86’7.0
  • 8Ł. Poręba6.3
  • 43F. Keidel6.7
  • 29T. Zimmerschied↓59’6.5
  • 10N. Darvich↓71’6.3
  • 25L. Petkov6.0
  • 9N. Futkeu↓70’6.1

Substitutes used

  • 7M. Krattenmacher↑59’6.6
  • 2N. Mickelson↑71’6.4
  • 42David Mokwa↑71’6.3
  • 17J. Schmahl↑86’6.4
  • 39W. Campbell↑70’6.5

Unused: A. Condé, F. Le Joncour, L. Schnellbacher, T. Boss

Coach: Vincent Wagner

Player stats

Top rated
Livan BurcuUnion Berlin7.9
2nd
N. KristofSV Elversberg7.8
3rd
Z. Van Den BoschUnion Berlin7.7

Union Berlin

SV Elversberg

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.