Bundesliga Gameweek 6 Sun, Oct 5 2025 · 14:30 MHPArena, Stuttgart
1–0 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 0.91 – 0.34
  • B. El Khannouss 65’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Khannouss goal decides it for VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart entered as clear favourites and won 1–0 through a Khannouss goal. VfB Stuttgart finished with the higher xG (0.91 vs 0.34). On the chances created, 1. FC Heidenheim deserved more: 0.8 expected points against the 0 points they took.

VfB Stuttgart ✓67%
Draw20%
1. FC Heidenheim14%

Model vs reality

VfB Stuttgart goals
1
Model 2.25 · xG 0.91
1. FC Heidenheim goals
0
Model 0.94 · xG 0.34
Total goals
1
Model 3.19 · xG 1.25
Score 1–0
9%
Most likely 2–0 (10%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 62%
Both scored
No
Model 55%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchJ. ChabotVfB Stuttgart
8.0
  • RefereeTobias Stieler
  • Coaches— · F. Schmidt
  • VenueMHPArena
  • Table before kick-offVfB Stuttgart 7th · 1. FC Heidenheim 17th

Timeline

  1. Half time · 0–0
  2. B. El KhannoussYellow card · Tripping
    55’
  3. ⇄ A. StillerFor A. Karazor
    56’
  4. ⇄ Tiago TomásFor B. Bouanani
    56’
  5. ⇄ A. Al DakhilFor L. Jaquez
    57’
  6. L. KerberYellow card · Holding
    64’
  7. B. El Khannouss 1–0Assist M. Mittelstädt
    65’
  8. ⇄ S. SchimmerFor N. Dorsch
    74’
  9. ⇄ M. BuschFor L. Kerber
    80’
  10. ⇄ Yannik WagnerFor J. Niehues
    80’
  11. ⇄ T. WeigelFor M. Kaufmann
    89’
  12. ⇄ Adam KölleFor A. Ibrahimović
    89’
  13. ⇄ R. HendriksFor J. Leweling
    90’
  14. ⇄ N. NarteyFor B. El Khannouss
    90’
  15. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

VfB Stuttgart18 shots · 7 in box, 11 outside
1. FC Heidenheim4 shots · 3 in box, 1 outside
VfB Stuttgart1. FC Heidenheim
65% Possession 35%
0.91 Expected goals (xG) 0.34
1.83 Expected points (xPts) 0.78
18 Shots 4
6 Shots on target 1
7 Shots off target 2
5 Blocked shots 1
7 Shots inside the box 3
11 Shots outside the box 1
617 Passes 342
86% Pass accuracy 71%
1 Corners 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
11 Fouls 12
2 Offsides 3
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
7.05 Team rating 6.60

Line-ups

VfB Stuttgart 4-2-3-1

336.9 A. Nübel(G)
77.3 M. Mittelstädt A 248.0★ J. Chabot 146.9 L. Jaquez ↓57’ 226.9 L. Assignon
307.3 Chema Andrés 166.6 A. Karazor ↓56’
187.3 J. Leweling ↓90’ 117.9 B. El Khannouss ↓90’ 276.3 B. Bouanani ↓56’
96.0 E. Demirović
  • 33A. Nübel (G)6.9
  • 7M. MittelstädtA7.3
  • 24J. Chabot ★8.0
  • 14L. Jaquez↓57’6.9
  • 22L. Assignon6.9
  • 30Chema Andrés7.3
  • 16A. Karazor↓56’6.6
  • 18J. Leweling↓90’7.3
  • 11B. El Khannouss↓90’7.9
  • 27B. Bouanani↓56’6.3
  • 9E. Demirović6.0

Substitutes used

  • 3R. Hendriks↑90’
  • 2A. Al Dakhil↑57’6.7
  • 28N. Nartey↑90’
  • 6A. Stiller↑56’6.9
  • 8Tiago Tomás↑56’6.7

Unused: F. Bredlow, P. Stenzel, J. Vagnoman, C. Führich

1. FC Heidenheim 4-1-4-1

416.9 D. Ramaj(G)
196.9 J. Föhrenbach 46.6 T. Siersleben 67.2 P. Mainka 236.3 O. Traoré
166.5 J. Niehues ↓80’
226.0 A. Ibrahimović ↓89’ 306.9 N. Dorsch ↓74’ 36.3 J. Schöppner 206.3 L. Kerber ↓80’
296.7 M. Kaufmann ↓89’
  • 41D. Ramaj (G)6.9
  • 19J. Föhrenbach6.9
  • 4T. Siersleben6.6
  • 6P. Mainka7.2
  • 23O. Traoré6.3
  • 16J. Niehues↓80’6.5
  • 22A. Ibrahimović↓89’6.0
  • 30N. Dorsch↓74’6.9
  • 3J. Schöppner6.3
  • 20L. Kerber↓80’6.3
  • 29M. Kaufmann↓89’6.7

Substitutes used

  • 2M. Busch↑80’6.7
  • 28Adam Kölle↑89’
  • 37T. Weigel↑89’
  • 38Yannik Wagner↑80’6.7
  • 9S. Schimmer↑74’6.3

Unused: K. Müller, B. Gimber, T. Keller, N. Rothweiler

Coach: F. Schmidt

Player stats

Top rated
J. ChabotVfB Stuttgart8.0
2nd
B. El KhannoussVfB Stuttgart7.9
3rd
M. MittelstädtVfB Stuttgart7.3

VfB Stuttgart

1. FC Heidenheim

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.