Bundesliga Gameweek 33 Sat, May 9 2026 · 14:30 MHPArena, Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart
3–1 Full time · HT 2–1 xG 2.78 – 0.56
Bayer Leverkusen
  • E. Demirović 5’
  • M. Mittelstädt 45+7’ (P)
  • D. Undav 58’
  • 1’ Aleix García
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

VfB Stuttgart come from behind to beat Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen entered as narrow favourites and led 1–0 after 1 minutes through a García goal. But Demirović, Mittelstädt and Undav scored to turn it around for VfB Stuttgart, who won 3–1. VfB Stuttgart finished with the higher xG (2.78 vs 0.56).

VfB Stuttgart ✓34%
Draw22%
Bayer Leverkusen44%

Model vs reality

VfB Stuttgart goals
3
Model 1.78 · xG 2.78
Bayer Leverkusen goals
1
Model 2.03 · xG 0.56
Total goals
4
Model 3.82 · xG 3.34
Score 3–1
4%
Most likely 1–1 (8%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 73%
Both scored
Yes
Model 73%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchA. StillerVfB Stuttgart
8.2
  • RefereeRobert Schröder
  • VenueMHPArena
  • Table before kick-offVfB Stuttgart 5th · Bayer Leverkusen 4th

Timeline

  1. Aleix García 0–1Assist Christian Kofane
    1’
  2. E. Demirović 1–1Assist N. Nartey
    5’
  3. M. Mittelstädt (pen) 2–1
    45+7’
  4. Half time · 2–1
  5. VAR E. DemirovićGoal Disallowed - offside
    47’
  6. D. Undav 3–1Assist J. Leweling
    58’
  7. ⇄ M. TillmanFor Aleix García
    65’
  8. ⇄ ArthurFor Montrell Amare Culbreath
    65’
  9. ⇄ Tiago TomásFor D. Undav
    68’
  10. ⇄ L. JaquezFor M. Mittelstädt
    78’
  11. ⇄ B. El KhannoussFor N. Nartey
    78’
  12. ⇄ E. PokuFor Christian Kofane
    78’
  13. C. FührichYellow card · Holding
    80’
  14. ⇄ E. Ben SeghirFor J. Quansah
    86’
  15. ⇄ L. AssignonFor C. Führich
    87’
  16. ⇄ J. VagnomanFor J. Leweling
    87’
  17. E. PalaciosYellow card
    90+7’
  18. Tiago TomásYellow card
    90+7’
  19. Full time · 3–1

Team stats

VfB Stuttgart20 shots · 13 in box, 7 outside
Bayer Leverkusen6 shots · 4 in box, 2 outside
VfB StuttgartBayer Leverkusen
49% Possession 51%
2.78 Expected goals (xG) 0.56
2.62 Expected points (xPts) 0.27
20 Shots 6
9 Shots on target 5
5 Shots off target 1
6 Blocked shots 0
13 Shots inside the box 4
7 Shots outside the box 2
366 Passes 381
85% Pass accuracy 81%
6 Corners 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
12 Fouls 7
3 Offsides 0
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
7.34 Team rating 6.74

Line-ups

VfB Stuttgart 4-2-3-1

337.9 A. Nübel(G)
77.7 M. Mittelstädt ↓78’ 246.9 J. Chabot 36.0 R. Hendriks 188.0 J. Leweling A↓87’
68.2★ A. Stiller 307.0 Chema Andrés
106.9 C. Führich ↓87’ 267.2 D. Undav ↓68’ 287.6 N. Nartey A↓78’
97.9 E. Demirović
  • 33A. Nübel (G)7.9
  • 7M. Mittelstädt↓78’7.7
  • 24J. Chabot6.9
  • 3R. Hendriks6.0
  • 18J. LewelingA↓87’8.0
  • 6A. Stiller ★8.2
  • 30Chema Andrés7.0
  • 10C. Führich↓87’6.9
  • 26D. Undav↓68’7.2
  • 28N. NarteyA↓78’7.6
  • 9E. Demirović7.9

Substitutes used

  • 22L. Assignon↑87’
  • 4J. Vagnoman↑87’
  • 14L. Jaquez↑78’6.7
  • 11B. El Khannouss↑78’6.3
  • 8Tiago Tomás↑68’6.3

Unused: F. Bredlow, P. Stenzel, D. Zagadou, B. Bouanani

Bayer Leverkusen 3-4-2-1

16.9 M. Flekken(G)
126.3 E. Tapsoba 86.3 R. Andrich 46.2 J. Quansah ↓86’
207.0 Álex Grimaldo 256.9 E. Palacios 247.6 Aleix García ↓65’ 426.3 Montrell Amare Culbreath ↓65’
306.9 I. Maza 146.7 P. Schick
357.2 Christian Kofane A↓78’
  • 1M. Flekken (G)6.9
  • 12E. Tapsoba6.3
  • 8R. Andrich6.3
  • 4J. Quansah↓86’6.2
  • 20Álex Grimaldo7.0
  • 25E. Palacios6.9
  • 24Aleix García↓65’7.6
  • 42Montrell Amare Culbreath↓65’6.3
  • 30I. Maza6.9
  • 14P. Schick6.7
  • 35Christian KofaneA↓78’7.2

Substitutes used

  • 13Arthur↑65’6.5
  • 10M. Tillman↑65’6.9
  • 19E. Poku↑78’6.5
  • 17E. Ben Seghir↑86’

Unused: J. Blaswich, L. Badé, Lucas Vázquez, E. Fernández, J. Hofmann

Player stats

Top rated
A. StillerVfB Stuttgart8.2
2nd
J. LewelingVfB Stuttgart8.0
3rd
A. NübelVfB Stuttgart7.9

VfB Stuttgart

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
A. Nübel G 90 0 0 4 sv 0 59% 32 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.9
M. Mittelstädt D 78 1 0 2 (1) 1 95% 39 1 0 1/1 0/0 7.7
J. Chabot D 90 0 0 1 (1) 1 97% 36 1 2 0/0 3/0 6.9
R. Hendriks D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 92% 25 1 1 0/0 2/1 6.0
J. Leweling F 87 0 1 0 (0) 1 86% 29 0 0 3/4 0/2 8.0
A. Stiller M 90 0 0 1 (1) 3 87% 53 4 0 0/0 1/2 8.2
Chema Andrés M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 85% 40 1 2 0/0 2/0 7.0
C. Führich M 87 0 0 0 (0) 3 82% 34 0 0 0/3 1/0 6.9
D. Undav F 68 1 0 4 (3) 0 81% 27 0 0 1/2 0/0 7.2
N. Nartey M 78 0 1 0 (0) 4 85% 20 1 0 1/1 1/0 7.6
E. Demirović F 90 1 0 6 (3) 1 80% 15 1 0 0/2 2/2 7.9
L. Assignon D 3 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
J. Vagnoman D 3 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
L. Jaquez D 12 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
B. El Khannouss M 12 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 9 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
Tiago Tomás F 22 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 3 0 1 0/0 0/0 6.3

Bayer Leverkusen

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
M. Flekken G 90 0 0 5 sv 0 39% 28 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
E. Tapsoba D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 84% 45 1 0 0/0 3/1 6.3
R. Andrich M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 93% 29 0 1 0/0 0/1 6.3
J. Quansah D 86 0 0 0 (0) 0 72% 25 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
Álex Grimaldo D 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 85% 48 1 1 0/1 0/0 7.0
E. Palacios M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 97% 63 2 1 0/0 1/1 6.9
Aleix García M 65 1 0 1 (1) 1 76% 49 1 0 0/0 0/0 7.6
Montrell Amare Culbreath M 65 0 0 1 (1) 0 64% 14 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
I. Maza F 90 0 0 1 (1) 1 80% 25 2 0 0/2 1/2 6.9
P. Schick F 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 88% 16 2 0 1/3 0/2 6.7
Christian Kofane M 78 0 1 1 (0) 2 82% 11 0 0 1/1 2/3 7.2
Arthur D 25 0 0 0 (0) 1 76% 17 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
M. Tillman M 25 0 0 1 (1) 0 88% 8 0 1 0/0 0/1 6.9
E. Poku F 12 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
E. Ben Seghir M 4 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 —

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.